Mexico - Ascenso MXEstadio Olímpico Andrés Quintana RooData current as of September 18, 2026

Cancún vs Atlético Zacatepec: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Cancún vs Atlético Zacatepec: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Cancún plays Atlético Zacatepec in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The game is scheduled for September 20, 2026. Venue: Estadio Olímpico Andrés Quintana Roo.

Recent form

Cancún has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Atlético Zacatepec has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.

Scoring records

Cancún scores 1.75 goals per game and allows 1.38. Atlético Zacatepec scores 0.88 and allows 1.50. Games in this league average 3.28 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 50% of Cancún's games and 38% of Atlético Zacatepec's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 38%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 60% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Cancún has the higher season xG average, 1.64 to 1.36 per game. Cancún takes 13.5 shots per game, while Atlético Zacatepec takes 11.6.

First-half and second-half trends

Cancún leads at halftime in 38% of its games and scores 0.88 goals per game after halftime. Atlético Zacatepec leads at halftime in 13% and scores 0.75 after halftime.

When the teams score

Cancún's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). For Atlético Zacatepec, it is minutes 46-60 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Ascenso MX games average 3.28 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 60% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

CancúnAtlético Zacatepec
1.75Goals scored / game0.88
CancúnAtlético Zacatepec
1.38Goals allowed / game1.5
CancúnAtlético Zacatepec
40%Average possession50%
CancúnAtlético Zacatepec
5.63Shots on target / game3.88
CancúnAtlético Zacatepec

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

13.5Shots per game11.63
CancúnAtlético Zacatepec
5.63Shots on target3.88
CancúnAtlético Zacatepec
13%Shot conversion7.5%
CancúnAtlético Zacatepec
40%Possession50%
CancúnAtlético Zacatepec
1.64xG for1.36
CancúnAtlético Zacatepec
1.58xG against1.36
CancúnAtlético Zacatepec

Shooting quality

Cancún: Counter-attackingAtlético Zacatepec: Balanced
CancúnAtlético Zacatepec
Accuracy (shots on target)42%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.310.23

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Cancún is 14% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / game - Cancún · 1.4 pts / game - Atlético Zacatepec

Cancún
WLWDD
Season result split
38% W25% D38% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-2-3
1.38 pts / game · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-0-2
Last 5 at home
2-0-2
LWLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.75Opponent xG: 1.51BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Atlético Zacatepec
WLDLW
Season result split
38% W13% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-1-4
1.25 pts / game · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-3
Last 5 away
1-0-3
LWLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.29Opponent xG: 1.20BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Cancún is 99% better for: goals scored per game.

1.75 goals / game - Cancún · 0.88 goals / game - Atlético Zacatepec

Cancún is 9% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.38 goals / game - Cancún · 1.5 goals / game - Atlético Zacatepec

Cancún scoring profile: very strong

Cancún scores in 88% of games (7 of 8 games), while Atlético Zacatepec keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 games).

Atlético Zacatepec scoring profile: strong

Atlético Zacatepec scores in 75% of games (6 of 8 games), while Cancún keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 games).

14Goals scored (season)7
CancúnAtlético Zacatepec
11Goals conceded (season)12
CancúnAtlético Zacatepec
3.13Average goals per game2.38
CancúnAtlético Zacatepec
11Goals scored (last 5)5
CancúnAtlético Zacatepec
5Goals conceded (last 5)7
CancúnAtlético Zacatepec

How often they score at least...

88%1 goal75%
CancúnAtlético Zacatepec
38%2 goals13%
CancúnAtlético Zacatepec
13%3 goals0%
CancúnAtlético Zacatepec
13%4 goals0%
CancúnAtlético Zacatepec

How often they concede at least...

63%1 goal63%
CancúnAtlético Zacatepec
50%2 goals50%
CancúnAtlético Zacatepec
13%3 goals25%
CancúnAtlético Zacatepec
13%4 goals13%
CancúnAtlético Zacatepec

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

57%
League average

Goal patterns

25%BTTS at half-time0%
CancúnAtlético Zacatepec
13%BTTS in both halves0%
CancúnAtlético Zacatepec
25%Scored in both halves0%
CancúnAtlético Zacatepec

BTTS and goal count

38%Min. 3 goals and BTTS25%
CancúnAtlético Zacatepec
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS13%
CancúnAtlético Zacatepec
60%BTTS - last 560%
CancúnAtlético Zacatepec

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time50%
CancúnAtlético Zacatepec
75%Min. 2 goals before half-time25%
CancúnAtlético Zacatepec
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
CancúnAtlético Zacatepec

2nd half

63%Min. 1 goal after half-time75%
CancúnAtlético Zacatepec
38%Min. 2 goals after half-time63%
CancúnAtlético Zacatepec
25%Min. 3 goals after half-time25%
CancúnAtlético Zacatepec

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Cancún is 57% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.38 pts / game - Cancún · 0.88 pts / game - Atlético Zacatepec

Cancún - half-time state
38% leading25% draw38% trailing
Atlético Zacatepec - half-time state
13% leading50% draw38% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.38Points per game (1st half)0.88
CancúnAtlético Zacatepec
0.88Goals scored (1st half)0.13
CancúnAtlético Zacatepec
0.88Goals conceded (1st half)0.63
CancúnAtlético Zacatepec
1.75Average goals (1st half)0.75
CancúnAtlético Zacatepec
38%Clean sheet before half-time63%
CancúnAtlético Zacatepec
38%No goal before half-time88%
CancúnAtlético Zacatepec

After half-time (2nd half)

1.63Points per game (2nd half)1.25
CancúnAtlético Zacatepec
0.88Goals scored (2nd half)0.75
CancúnAtlético Zacatepec
0.5Goals conceded (2nd half)0.88
CancúnAtlético Zacatepec
1.38Average goals (2nd half)1.63
CancúnAtlético Zacatepec
75%Clean sheet after half-time50%
CancúnAtlético Zacatepec
50%No goal after half-time38%
CancúnAtlético Zacatepec

Cancún - second-half results

38% W50% D13% L
11
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.38
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.4

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Atlético Zacatepec - second-half results

25% W50% D25% L
7
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.88
PPG before half-time
Lead holding292%

Leads at halftime in 13% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Cancún - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.402.20
Goals scored / game0.81.4
Goals allowed / game0.80.2
Average goals per game1.61.6
1 goal100%80%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference0+6
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Atlético Zacatepec - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.001.20
Goals scored / game0.20.8
Goals allowed / game0.60.8
Average goals per game0.81.6
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-20
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Cancún
ScoredConceded
3
3
0-15
1
2
16-30
3
2
31-45
1
1
46-60
0
0
61-75
6
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Atlético Zacatepec
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
1
4
16-30
0
1
31-45
4
2
46-60
1
1
61-75
1
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.75
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.6 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
84%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
44%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-46%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
66%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Cancún

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.06
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.31
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.11
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.20
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
90%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
105%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.22
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
43% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 21% come in the first quarter-hour.
43%

Atlético Zacatepec

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
0.00
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.62
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.48
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.14
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
67%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
77%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.15
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).

Teams vs league

CancúnLigaAtlético Zacatepec
Average goals per game 3.133.28 2.38
Both teams scored 50%57% 38%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 50%60% 38%
Clean sheets 38%24% 38%
Goal before half-time 100%78% 50%
Goal after half-time 63%77% 75%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.28
Average goals per game
57%
Both teams scored
60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.95
Home goals / game
1.32
Away goals / game
+48%
Home attack advantage
+32%
Home defensive advantage
+19%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
57%
2 goals
37%
3 goals
17%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Cancún's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses against Atlético Zacatepec. Games average 1.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.

Cancún FC
1 : 1
Club Atlético Zacatepec
Club Atlético Zacatepec
0 : 1
Cancún FC

FAQ

When do Cancún and Atlético Zacatepec play?

Cancún face Atlético Zacatepec on September 20, 2026 in Ascenso MX at Estadio Olímpico Andrés Quintana Roo. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Cancún and Atlético Zacatepec?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Cancún won 1, Atlético Zacatepec won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Cancún vs Atlético Zacatepec?

Cancún score 1.75 goals per game on average and Atlético Zacatepec 0.88. The Ascenso MX average is 3.28 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Cancún's matches and 38% of Atlético Zacatepec's.

What form are Cancún and Atlético Zacatepec in?

Over the last 5 games Cancún have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Atlético Zacatepec 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cancún vs Atlético Zacatepec?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Cancún vs Atlético Zacatepec: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.