Mexico - Ascenso MXData current as of October 17, 2026

Cancún vs Venados: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Cancún vs Venados: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Cancún plays Venados in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The game is scheduled for October 18, 2026.

Recent form

Cancún has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Venados has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Cancún scores 1.75 goals per game and allows 1.42. Venados scores 2.25 and allows 1.83. Games in this league average 3.26 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 50% of Cancún's games and 83% of Venados's. The Over 2.5 rates are 58% and 83%, compared with league averages of 59% for BTTS and 61% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Venados has the higher season xG average, 1.87 to 1.72 per game. Cancún takes 14.4 shots per game, while Venados takes 15.2.

First-half and second-half trends

Cancún leads at halftime in 25% of its games and scores 1.08 goals per game after halftime. Venados leads at halftime in 33% and scores 1.50 after halftime.

When the teams score

Cancún's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). For Venados, it is minutes 61-75 (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Ascenso MX games average 3.26 goals. Both teams score in 59% of games, and 61% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(1.70)
(3.90)
(3.95)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.75Goals scored / game2.25
CancúnVenados
1.42Goals allowed / game1.83
CancúnVenados
43%Average possession48%
CancúnVenados
5.58Shots on target / game6.83
CancúnVenados

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

14.42Shots per game15.17
CancúnVenados
5.58Shots on target6.83
CancúnVenados
12.1%Shot conversion14.8%
CancúnVenados
43%Possession48%
CancúnVenados
1.72xG for1.87
CancúnVenados
1.56xG against1.58
CancúnVenados

Shooting quality

Cancún: Counter-attackingVenados: Attacking
CancúnVenados
Accuracy (shots on target)39%45%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.310.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Venados is 25% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / game - Cancún · 2 pts / game - Venados

Cancún
DWLWD
Season result split
42% W25% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-3-4
1.50 pts / game · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-0-2
Last 5 at home
4-0-1
WLWWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.82Opponent xG: 1.49BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Venados
WLWWD
Season result split
50% W17% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-2-4
1.67 pts / game · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-4
Last 5 away
1-0-4
LLLLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.60Opponent xG: 1.80BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Venados is 29% better for: goals scored per game.

1.75 goals / game - Cancún · 2.25 goals / game - Venados

Cancún is 29% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.42 goals / game - Cancún · 1.83 goals / game - Venados

Cancún scoring profile: very strong

Cancún scores in 92% of games (11 of 12 games), while Venados keeps a clean sheet in 17% (2 of 12 games).

Venados scoring profile: very strong

Venados scores in 100% of games (12 of 12 games), while Cancún keeps a clean sheet in 42% (5 of 12 games).

21Goals scored (season)27
CancúnVenados
17Goals conceded (season)22
CancúnVenados
3.17Average goals per game4.08
CancúnVenados
8Goals scored (last 5)11
CancúnVenados
7Goals conceded (last 5)5
CancúnVenados

How often they score at least...

92%1 goal100%
CancúnVenados
42%2 goals58%
CancúnVenados
17%3 goals42%
CancúnVenados
8%4 goals17%
CancúnVenados

How often they concede at least...

58%1 goal83%
CancúnVenados
50%2 goals50%
CancúnVenados
17%3 goals25%
CancúnVenados
17%4 goals17%
CancúnVenados

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

25%BTTS at half-time33%
CancúnVenados
8%BTTS in both halves0%
CancúnVenados
17%Scored in both halves33%
CancúnVenados

BTTS and goal count

42%Min. 3 goals and BTTS67%
CancúnVenados
17%Min. 3 goals without BTTS17%
CancúnVenados
60%BTTS - last 580%
CancúnVenados

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

83%Min. 1 goal before half-time83%
CancúnVenados
67%Min. 2 goals before half-time42%
CancúnVenados
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time33%
CancúnVenados

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
CancúnVenados
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time83%
CancúnVenados
33%Min. 3 goals after half-time50%
CancúnVenados

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Venados is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.17 pts / game - Cancún · 1.33 pts / game - Venados

Cancún - half-time state
25% leading42% draw33% trailing
Venados - half-time state
33% leading33% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.17Points per game (1st half)1.33
CancúnVenados
0.67Goals scored (1st half)0.75
CancúnVenados
0.83Goals conceded (1st half)0.92
CancúnVenados
1.5Average goals (1st half)1.67
CancúnVenados
42%Clean sheet before half-time42%
CancúnVenados
50%No goal before half-time42%
CancúnVenados

After half-time (2nd half)

1.83Points per game (2nd half)1.5
CancúnVenados
1.08Goals scored (2nd half)1.5
CancúnVenados
0.58Goals conceded (2nd half)0.92
CancúnVenados
1.67Average goals (2nd half)2.42
CancúnVenados
75%Clean sheet after half-time42%
CancúnVenados
42%No goal after half-time25%
CancúnVenados

Cancún - second-half results

50% W33% D17% L
14
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
22
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.17
PPG before half-time
Lead holding168%

Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 42%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.3

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Venados - second-half results

33% W50% D17% L
16
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
18
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding152%

Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Cancún - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.602.40
Goals scored / game0.21.4
Goals allowed / game0.80.6
Average goals per game1.02.0
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-3+4
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 0% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Venados - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.001.40
Goals scored / game0.81.4
Goals allowed / game0.40.6
Average goals per game1.22.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+2+4
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Cancún
ScoredConceded
3
3
0-15
2
3
16-30
3
4
31-45
2
1
46-60
4
1
61-75
7
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Venados
ScoredConceded
2
3
0-15
2
2
16-30
5
6
31-45
5
5
46-60
8
3
61-75
5
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.63
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.8 : 1.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
111%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
67%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-59%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
92%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Cancún

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.16
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.17
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.14
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
88%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
112%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

Venados

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.29
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.13
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.38
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.25
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
177%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
92%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.33
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.8
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).

Teams vs league

CancúnLigaVenados
Average goals per game• 3.173.26▲ 4.08
Both teams scored▼ 50%59%▲ 83%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 58%61%▲ 83%
Clean sheets▲ 42%23%▼ 17%
Goal before half-time▲ 83%74%▲ 83%
Goal after half-time▼ 75%81%▲ 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.26
Average goals per game
59%
Both teams scored
61%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.99
Home goals / game
1.27
Away goals / game
+57%
Home attack advantage
+36%
Home defensive advantage
+23%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
58%
2 goals
35%
3 goals
15%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Cancún's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss against Venados. Games average 1.50 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

Venados FC Yucatán
2 : 0
Cancún FC
Cancún FC
1 : 0
Venados FC Yucatán

FAQ

When do Cancún and Venados play?

Cancún face Venados on October 18, 2026 in Ascenso MX. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Cancún and Venados?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Cancún won 1, Venados won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Cancún vs Venados?

Cancún score 1.75 goals per game on average and Venados 2.25. The Ascenso MX average is 3.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Cancún's matches and 83% of Venados's.

What form are Cancún and Venados in?

Over the last 5 games Cancún have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Venados 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cancún vs Venados?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.