Carabobo vs Estudiantes Mérida: match statistics
Carabobo vs Estudiantes Mérida: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Carabobo played against Estudiantes Mérida in Primera División (Venezuela). The game was played on September 7, 2026. Venue: Estadio Polideportivo Misael Delgado. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Carabobo has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Estudiantes Mérida has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Carabobo scores 1.56 goals per game and allows 1.00. Estudiantes Mérida scores 1.19 and allows 1.31. Games in this league average 2.56 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 52% of Carabobo's games and 50% of Estudiantes Mérida's. The Over 2.5 rates are 33% and 46%, compared with league averages of 54% for BTTS and 45% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Carabobo has the higher season xG average, 1.80 to 1.20 per game. Carabobo takes 16.6 shots per game, while Estudiantes Mérida takes 10.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Carabobo leads at halftime in 19% of its games and scores 1.04 goals per game after halftime. Estudiantes Mérida leads at halftime in 23% and scores 0.58 after halftime.
When the teams score
Carabobo's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (14 goals). For Estudiantes Mérida, it is minutes 31-45+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Primera División games average 2.56 goals. Both teams score in 54% of games, and 45% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 5 previous meetings were available. The record was 4 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.60 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Carabobo are unbeaten at home this season, winning 57% of their matches and drawing the remaining 43%, while Estudiantes Mérida have lost 54% of their away fixtures. The hosts average 1.71 goals at home from an xG of 1.76, whereas the visitors create chances worth just 1.05 xG away from home and score an average of 1.08 goals. Carabobo’s defense concedes only 0.57 goals per home match and keeps a clean sheet in 64% of such fixtures, while Estudiantes Mérida fail to score in 46% of their away games. The difference in match control is also reflected in Carabobo’s averages of 16.29 shots and 56% possession, compared with the visitors’ 8.92 shots and 49% possession. Estudiantes Mérida have won 3 of their last 5 matches, but Carabobo’s home advantage and more stable defense point to a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The stronger signal points to BTTS - No, because Carabobo have conceded just 2 goals in their last 5 matches, averaging 0.4 per game, while both teams have scored only 0.8 and 1.0 goals per match respectively during this period. Estudiantes Mérida have failed to score in 46% of their matches this season, clearly increasing the likelihood that at least one team will finish the game without scoring. The hosts’ current form is particularly relevant: BTTS has landed in only 20% of their last five appearances, compared with 40% for the visitors. Over the season, Carabobo’s BTTS rate stands at 58%, but Estudiantes’ is only 38%, while the visitors’ average xG is 1.05 against 1.26 xG conceded by the hosts. Carabobo should create chances, especially as Estudiantes allow opponents 1.67 xG, but a clean sheet for one side is more likely than goals from both teams.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The match profile points to a moderate goal tally: Carabobo score an average of 1.33 goals, while Estudiantes Mérida average 1.08. In their last five matches, Carabobo conceded just 2 goals, or 0.4 per game, although their opponents generated an average of 1.14 xG. The hosts have not gone over 2.5 goals in any of their last five appearances, while Estudiantes did so in only 40% of their matches during this period. Across the season, under 3.5 goals was recorded in 75% of Carabobo’s matches and as many as 85% of Estudiantes’ games, while neither team averages even 1.4 goals scored. The hosts’ advantage of 1.38 xG and the visitors’ weaker defense, allowing an average of 1.67 xG, support a Carabobo goal, but not an open game with four goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Carabobo win at full-time, as the hosts were level after 45 minutes in 58% of their matches, and in as many as 80% of their last five. The first halves should be cautious: Carabobo average 0.50 goals in them, falling to just 0.40 across their last five appearances, while Estudiantes Mérida have recently scored only 0.20 goals before the break. After half-time, the hosts’ advantage becomes more pronounced, as they average 0.83 goals and 1.75 points per match in second halves, compared with 0.38 goals and 0.92 points for the visitors. Carabobo also have stronger full-season metrics: 1.67 points per match, an xG of 1.38 and xG conceded of 1.26, while Estudiantes have 1.08 points, an xG of 1.05 and as much as 1.67 xG conceded.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Carabobo | Estudiantes Mérida | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Estudiantes Mérida is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Carabobo · 1.6 pts / game - Estudiantes Mérida
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Carabobo is 31% better for: goals scored per game.
1.56 goals / game - Carabobo · 1.19 goals / game - Estudiantes Mérida
Carabobo is 31% better for: goals allowed per game.
1 goals / game - Carabobo · 1.31 goals / game - Estudiantes Mérida
Carabobo scores in 74% of games (20 of 27 games), while Estudiantes Mérida keeps a clean sheet in 15% (4 of 26 games).
Estudiantes Mérida scores in 65% of games (17 of 26 games), while Carabobo keeps a clean sheet in 41% (11 of 27 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Carabobo
Over / Under - Estudiantes Mérida
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Carabobo - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 19% of games and wins 37%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Estudiantes Mérida - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 23% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Carabobo
Estudiantes Mérida
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Carabobo | Liga | Estudiantes Mérida | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.56 | 2.56 | • 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 52% | 54% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 45% | • 46% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 41% | 27% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 52% | 68% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 76% | ▲ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Carabobo's perspective: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Estudiantes Mérida. Games average 2.60 goals, and both teams scored in 40% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Carabobo vs Estudiantes Mérida?
The Primera División match finished Carabobo 1:0 Estudiantes Mérida. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Carabobo and Estudiantes Mérida?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Carabobo won 4, Estudiantes Mérida won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.60 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Carabobo vs Estudiantes Mérida?
Carabobo score 1.56 goals per game on average and Estudiantes Mérida 1.19. The Primera División average is 2.56 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Carabobo's matches and 50% of Estudiantes Mérida's.
What form are Carabobo and Estudiantes Mérida in?
Over the last 5 games Carabobo have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Estudiantes Mérida 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Carabobo vs Estudiantes Mérida?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.