Cardiff City vs Stevenage: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Cardiff City play Stevenage in EFL League One (England). The match date is 29 December 2025 at 20:45. Final score: 2:1.

Current form

Cardiff City: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Stevenage: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Cardiff City scores 1.96 and concedes 1.09 goals per match. Stevenage scores 1.02 and concedes 1.02. League average: 2.62 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Cardiff City 54%, Stevenage 44%. Over 2.5: Cardiff City 54%, Stevenage 35%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 51%.

xG, shots and style

Cardiff City has higher xG: 1.81 vs 1.20. Cardiff City: 16.0 shots per match, Stevenage: 10.0.

Match halves

Cardiff City: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.24. Stevenage: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.58.

Goals by minute

Cardiff City: 76-90+ (22 goals). Stevenage: 16-30 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League One: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 51%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
2 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

70Possession (%)30
Cardiff CityStevenage
22Shots6
Cardiff CityStevenage
4Shots on target1
Cardiff CityStevenage
2.11xG0.72
Cardiff CityStevenage
6Corners4
Cardiff CityStevenage
61Dangerous attacks36
Cardiff CityStevenage
11Fouls10
Cardiff CityStevenage
1Cards2
Cardiff CityStevenage

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Cardiff CityStevenage
1.96Goals scored / match1.02
Cardiff CityStevenage
1.09Goals conceded / match1.02
Cardiff CityStevenage
63%Average possession45%
Cardiff CityStevenage
5.43Shots on target / match3.54
Cardiff CityStevenage

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

15.98Shots per match9.98
Cardiff CityStevenage
5.43Shots on target3.54
Cardiff CityStevenage
12.2%Shot conversion10.2%
Cardiff CityStevenage
63%Possession45%
Cardiff CityStevenage
1.81xG for1.2
Cardiff CityStevenage
1.28xG against1.16
Cardiff CityStevenage

Shooting quality

Cardiff City: DominantStevenage: Balanced
Cardiff CityStevenage
Accuracy (shots on target)34%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.360.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Cardiff City is 43% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Cardiff City · 1.4 pts / match - Stevenage

Cardiff City
DWWWL
Season result split
59% W22% R20% P
Season (W-D-L)
27-10-9
1.98 pts / match · goal difference +40
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
17-2-4
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
LDWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.8Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 2.04Opponent xG: 1.42BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Stevenage
WDWLL
Season result split
44% W25% R31% P
Season (W-D-L)
21-12-15
1.56 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
7-5-12
Last 5 away
1-2-2
DWLDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.29Opponent xG: 1.19BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 0%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Cardiff City is 92% better for: goals scored per match.

1.96 goals / match - Cardiff City · 1.02 goals / match - Stevenage

Stevenage is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.09 goals / match - Cardiff City · 1.02 goals / match - Stevenage

Cardiff City scoring profile: very strong

Cardiff City scores in 87% of matches (40 of 46 matches), while Stevenage keeps a clean sheet in 40% (19 of 48 matches).

Stevenage scoring profile: strong

Stevenage scores in 73% of matches (35 of 48 matches), while Cardiff City keeps a clean sheet in 37% (17 of 46 matches).

90Goals scored (season)49
Cardiff CityStevenage
50Goals conceded (season)49
Cardiff CityStevenage
3.04Average goals in match2.04
Cardiff CityStevenage
14Goals scored (last 5)3
Cardiff CityStevenage
8Goals conceded (last 5)4
Cardiff CityStevenage

How often they score at least...

87%1 goal73%
Cardiff CityStevenage
52%2 goals23%
Cardiff CityStevenage
35%3 goals6%
Cardiff CityStevenage
20%4 goals0%
Cardiff CityStevenage

How often they concede at least...

63%1 goal60%
Cardiff CityStevenage
24%2 goals27%
Cardiff CityStevenage
13%3 goals10%
Cardiff CityStevenage
4%4 goals2%
Cardiff CityStevenage

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

52%
League average

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time21%
Cardiff CityStevenage
4%BTTS in both halves4%
Cardiff CityStevenage
33%Scored in both halves10%
Cardiff CityStevenage

BTTS and goal count

39%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
Cardiff CityStevenage
15%Min. 3 goals without BTTS2%
Cardiff CityStevenage
80%BTTS - last 520%
Cardiff CityStevenage

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time50%
Cardiff CityStevenage
35%Min. 2 goals before half-time25%
Cardiff CityStevenage
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time10%
Cardiff CityStevenage

2nd half

83%Min. 1 goal after half-time69%
Cardiff CityStevenage
59%Min. 2 goals after half-time31%
Cardiff CityStevenage
26%Min. 3 goals after half-time17%
Cardiff CityStevenage

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Cardiff City is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.46 pts / match - Cardiff City · 1.29 pts / match - Stevenage

Cardiff City - half-time state
33% leading48% draw20% trailing
Stevenage - half-time state
23% leading60% draw17% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.46Points per match (1st half)1.29
Cardiff CityStevenage
0.72Goals scored (1st half)0.44
Cardiff CityStevenage
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.42
Cardiff CityStevenage
1.22Average goals (1st half)0.85
Cardiff CityStevenage
63%Clean sheet before half-time67%
Cardiff CityStevenage
50%No goal before half-time63%
Cardiff CityStevenage

After half-time (2nd half)

2.02Points per match (2nd half)1.27
Cardiff CityStevenage
1.24Goals scored (2nd half)0.58
Cardiff CityStevenage
0.59Goals conceded (2nd half)0.6
Cardiff CityStevenage
1.83Average goals (2nd half)1.19
Cardiff CityStevenage
59%Clean sheet after half-time54%
Cardiff CityStevenage
30%No goal after half-time54%
Cardiff CityStevenage

Cardiff City - second-half results

59% W26% R15% P
67
Half-time points
33
Half-time goals
+10
Goal difference (1st half)
93
Second-half points
+30
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.46
PPG before half-time
Lead holding179%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 59%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Stevenage - second-half results

29% W40% R31% P
62
Half-time points
21
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
61
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.29
PPG before half-time
Lead holding191%

Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Cardiff City - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.403.00
Goals scored / match0.82.0
Goals conceded / match0.80.8
Average goals in match1.62.8
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals40%60%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%0%
Goal difference0+6
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 100% won - 0% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4
Stevenage - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.00
Goals scored / match0.40.2
Goals conceded / match0.40.4
Average goals in match0.80.6
1 goal60%60%
2 goals20%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference0-1
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Cardiff City
ScoredConceded
8
5
0-15
8
10
16-30
17
8
31-45
21
9
46-60
14
9
61-75
22
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (22 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +13 - wins late phases.

Stevenage
ScoredConceded
4
7
0-15
10
9
16-30
7
4
31-45
10
6
46-60
9
13
61-75
9
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (10 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.54
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
97%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
49%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-61%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
64%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Cardiff City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.53
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.34
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-14.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.15
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.19
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
132%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
95%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.02
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

Stevenage

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.04
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.18
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.14
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
89%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
69%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.16
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).

Teams vs league

Cardiff CityLigaStevenage
Average goals in match 3.042.62 2.04
Both teams scored 54%52% 44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 54%51% 35%
Clean sheets 37%27% 40%
Goal before half-time 67%70% 50%
Goal after half-time 83%81% 69%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.62
Average goals per match
52%
Both teams scored
51%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.48
Home goals / match
1.15
Away goals / match
+29%
Home attack advantage
+22%
Home defence advantage
+17%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
31%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Cardiff City 1 - 0 - 0 Stevenage. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Cardiff City vs Stevenage?

The EFL League One match finished Cardiff City 2:1 Stevenage. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Cardiff City vs Stevenage?

Cardiff City score 1.96 goals per game on average and Stevenage 1.02. The EFL League One average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Cardiff City's matches and 44% of Stevenage's.

What form are Cardiff City and Stevenage in?

Over the last 5 games Cardiff City have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Stevenage 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cardiff City vs Stevenage?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Cardiff City vs Stevenage: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.