Cardiff City has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.40 points per game. Stevenage has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss, with 1.20 points per game.

Scoring records

Cardiff City scores 1.81 goals per game and allows 1.05. Stevenage scores 1.20 and allows 0.75. Games in this league average 2.55 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 48% of Cardiff City's games and 40% of Stevenage's. The Over 2.5 rates are 57% and 30%, compared with league averages of 51% for BTTS and 49% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Cardiff City has the higher season xG average, 1.66 to 1.08 per game. Cardiff City takes 14.3 shots per game, while Stevenage takes 9.0.

First-half and second-half trends

Cardiff City leads at halftime in 29% of its games and scores 1.33 goals per game after halftime. Stevenage leads at halftime in 25% and scores 0.75 after halftime.

When the teams score

Cardiff City's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (11 goals). For Stevenage, it is minutes 61-75 (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

League One games average 2.55 goals. Both teams score in 51% of games, and 49% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Stats by half

0 : 0

First half

2 : 1

Second half

Game stats

70Possession (%)30

Cardiff CityStevenage

22Shots6

Cardiff CityStevenage

4Shots on target1

Cardiff CityStevenage

2.11xG0.72

Cardiff CityStevenage

6Corners4

Cardiff CityStevenage

61Dangerous attacks36

Cardiff CityStevenage

11Fouls10

Cardiff CityStevenage

1Cards2

Cardiff CityStevenage

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

2.1Points per game1.8

Cardiff CityStevenage

1.81Goals scored / game1.2

Cardiff CityStevenage

1.05Goals allowed / game0.75

Cardiff CityStevenage

1.66xG for1.08

Cardiff CityStevenage

61%Average possession44%

Cardiff CityStevenage

5.14Shots on target / game3.2

Cardiff CityStevenage

43%Clean sheets40%

Cardiff CityStevenage

48%Both teams scored40%

Cardiff CityStevenage

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

14.29Shots per game9

Cardiff CityStevenage

5.14Shots on target3.2

Cardiff CityStevenage

12.7%Shot conversion13.3%

Cardiff CityStevenage

61%Possession44%

Cardiff CityStevenage

1.66xG for1.08

Cardiff CityStevenage

1.42xG against1.14

Cardiff CityStevenage

Shooting quality

Cardiff City: DominantStevenage: Counter-attacking

	Cardiff City	Stevenage
Accuracy (shots on target)	36%	36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)	0.12	0.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)	0.35	0.37

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Cardiff City is 100% better for: last-5 form.

2.4 pts / game - Cardiff City · 1.2 pts / game - Stevenage

Cardiff City

WWWLW

Season result split

67% W10% D24% L

Season (W-D-L)

14-2-5

2.10 pts / game · goal difference +16

Last 5 (W-D-L)

4-0-1

2.40 pts / game

Record at home (W-D-L)

9-0-2

Last 5 at home

5-0-0

WWWWW

Last 5 games - averages

Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.58Opponent xG: 1.22BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Stevenage

DLWDD

Season result split

50% W30% D20% L

Season (W-D-L)

10-6-4

1.80 pts / game · goal difference +9

Last 5 (W-D-L)

1-3-1

1.20 pts / game

Record away (W-D-L)

5-3-3

Last 5 away

2-2-1

LWDWD

Last 5 games - averages

Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 0.96Opponent xG: 1.23BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Cardiff City is 51% better for: goals scored per game.

1.81 goals / game - Cardiff City · 1.2 goals / game - Stevenage

Stevenage is 40% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.05 goals / game - Cardiff City · 0.75 goals / game - Stevenage

Cardiff City scoring profile: very strong

Cardiff City scores in 86% of games (18 of 21 meczów), while Stevenage keeps a clean sheet in 40% (8 of 20 meczów).

Stevenage scoring profile: mixed

Stevenage scores in 65% of games (13 of 20 meczów), while Cardiff City keeps a clean sheet in 43% (9 of 21 meczów).

38Goals scored (season)24

Cardiff CityStevenage

22Goals conceded (season)15

Cardiff CityStevenage

2.86Average goals per game1.95

Cardiff CityStevenage

10Goals scored (last 5)5

Cardiff CityStevenage

7Goals conceded (last 5)4

Cardiff CityStevenage

Cardiff City

43%

Clean sheets9 of 21 meczów

14%

No goal3 of 21 meczów

Stevenage

40%

Clean sheets8 of 20 meczów

35%

No goal7 of 20 meczów

How often they score at least...

86%1 goal65%

Cardiff CityStevenage

48%2 goals40%

Cardiff CityStevenage

33%3 goals15%

Cardiff CityStevenage

14%4 goals0%

Cardiff CityStevenage

How often they concede at least...

57%1 goal60%

Cardiff CityStevenage

29%2 goals15%

Cardiff CityStevenage

19%3 goals0%

Cardiff CityStevenage

0%4 goals0%

Cardiff CityStevenage

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

48%

Cardiff City - BTTS10 of 21 meczów

40%

Stevenage - BTTS8 of 20 meczów

51%

League average

Goal patterns

10%BTTS at half-time20%

Cardiff CityStevenage

10%BTTS in both halves10%

Cardiff CityStevenage

38%Scored in both halves20%

Cardiff CityStevenage

BTTS and goal count

43%Min. 3 goals and BTTS30%

Cardiff CityStevenage

14%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%

Cardiff CityStevenage

60%BTTS - last 540%

Cardiff CityStevenage

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

Full game - team comparison (Over)

95%Min. 1 goal (Over 0.5)85%

Cardiff CityStevenage

67%Min. 2 goals (Over 1.5)50%

Cardiff CityStevenage

57%Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)30%

Cardiff CityStevenage

33%Min. 4 goals (Over 3.5)20%

Cardiff CityStevenage

14%Min. 5 goals (Over 4.5)10%

Cardiff CityStevenage

Over / Under - Cardiff City

Line 0.5 (min. 1 goal)

Over 95%Under 5%

Line 1.5 (min. 2 goals)

Over 67%Under 33%

Line 2.5 (min. 3 goals)

Over 57%Under 43%

Line 3.5 (min. 4 goals)

Over 33%Under 67%

Line 4.5 (min. 5 goals)

Over 14%Under 86%

Over / Under - Stevenage

Line 0.5 (min. 1 goal)

Over 85%Under 15%

Line 1.5 (min. 2 goals)

Over 50%Under 50%

Line 2.5 (min. 3 goals)

Over 30%Under 70%

Line 3.5 (min. 4 goals)

Over 20%Under 80%

Line 4.5 (min. 5 goals)

Over 10%Under 90%

1st half

62%Min. 1 goal before half-time55%

Cardiff CityStevenage

19%Min. 2 goals before half-time20%

Cardiff CityStevenage

5%Min. 3 goals before half-time5%

Cardiff CityStevenage

2nd half

95%Min. 1 goal after half-time60%

Cardiff CityStevenage

57%Min. 2 goals after half-time40%

Cardiff CityStevenage

24%Min. 3 goals after half-time15%

Cardiff CityStevenage

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Cardiff City - half-time state

29% leading48% draw24% trailing

Stevenage - half-time state

25% leading60% draw15% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.33Points per game (1st half)1.35

Cardiff CityStevenage

0.48Goals scored (1st half)0.45

Cardiff CityStevenage

0.43Goals conceded (1st half)0.35

Cardiff CityStevenage

0.9Average goals (1st half)0.8

Cardiff CityStevenage

67%Clean sheet before half-time65%

Cardiff CityStevenage

62%No goal before half-time60%

Cardiff CityStevenage

After half-time (2nd half)

2.19Points per game (2nd half)1.55

Cardiff CityStevenage

1.33Goals scored (2nd half)0.75

Cardiff CityStevenage

0.62Goals conceded (2nd half)0.4

Cardiff CityStevenage

1.95Average goals (2nd half)1.15

Cardiff CityStevenage

57%Clean sheet after half-time60%

Cardiff CityStevenage

14%No goal after half-time55%

Cardiff CityStevenage

Cardiff City - second-half results

67% W19% D14% L

Half-time points

Half-time goals

Goal difference (1st half)

Second-half points

+15

Goal difference (2nd half)

1.33

PPG before half-time

Lead holding231%

Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 67%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Stevenage - second-half results

35% W50% D15% L

Half-time points

Half-time goals

Goal difference (1st half)

Second-half points

Goal difference (2nd half)

1.35

PPG before half-time

Lead holding200%

Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Cardiff City - last 5 games by half
	1st half	2nd half
Points per game	1.20	2.20
Goals scored / game	0.6	1.4
Goals allowed / game	0.6	0.8
Average goals per game	1.2	2.2
1 goal	60%	100%
2 goals	20%	60%
3 goals	20%	40%
Clean sheet	60%	40%
No goal	60%	0%
Goal difference	0	+3

Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing

2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost

BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

Stevenage - last 5 games by half
	1st half	2nd half
Points per game	1.20	1.60
Goals scored / game	0.2	0.8
Goals allowed / game	0.2	0.6
Average goals per game	0.4	1.4
1 goal	40%	60%
2 goals	0%	40%
3 goals	0%	40%
Clean sheet	80%	40%
No goal	80%	60%
Goal difference	0	+1

Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing

2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost

BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Cardiff City

ScoredConceded

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.

Stevenage

ScoredConceded

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.41

Estimated goals

attack vs. opponent defense

1.3 : 1.1

Estimated goal split

home : away

94%

Pace vs league

100% = league average

44%

Both teams scored (BTTS)

average from both teams' seasons

-58%

Derby effect

H2H goals vs typical matches

56%

BTTS estimate

from both teams' scoring frequency

0:0 risk

about 1 in 20 matches

0-1

Most common goal range

attack vs. defense for both teams

Cardiff City

Net xG balance

Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.

+0.24

Results compared with xG

Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.

+0.52

Points compared with goal balance

Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.

-3.2 pts

Finishing efficiency

Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.

+0.15

Defensive efficiency

Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.

+0.37

Attack vs league

How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.

125%

Defense vs. league

Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.

96%

Form trend

Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.

+0.30

Stronger second half?

How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.

+0.9

Late goals

29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 5% come in the first quarter-hour.

29%

Stevenage

Net xG balance

Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.

-0.06

Results compared with xG

Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.

+0.51

Points compared with goal balance

Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.

-7.1 pts

Finishing efficiency

Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.

+0.12

Defensive efficiency

Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.

+0.39

Attack vs league

How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.

110%

Defense vs. league

Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.

52%

Form trend

Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.

-0.60

Stronger second half?

How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.

+0.3

Late goals

17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 4% come in the first quarter-hour.

17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).

Teams vs league

	Cardiff City	Liga	Stevenage
Average goals per game	▲ 2.86	2.55	▼ 1.95
Both teams scored	▼ 48%	51%	▼ 40%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)	▲ 57%	49%	▼ 30%
Clean sheets	▲ 43%	27%	▲ 40%
Goal before half-time	▼ 62%	69%	▼ 55%
Goal after half-time	▲ 95%	82%	▼ 60%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.55

Average goals per game

51%

Both teams scored

49%

Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)

27%

Clean sheets

1.45

Home goals / game

1.09

Away goals / game

+33%

Home attack advantage

+25%

Home defensive advantage

+18%

Total home advantage

Goals in 1st half (whole league)

69%

1 goal

28%

2 goals

11%

3 goals

4 goals

Goals in 2nd half (whole league)

82%

1 goal

45%

2 goals

12%

3 goals

4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Home team

Starting lineup

2William Fish 3Joel Bagan 6Ryan Wintle 12Calum Chambers 13Nathan Trott 14David Turnbulloff 83'16Chris WillockA 1 · off 83'22Yousef Salech⚽ 1 38Perry Ngoff 60'39Isaak Daviesoff 60'47Callum Robinson⚽ 1 · off 86'

Substitutes

8Omari Kellymanon 60'11Ollie Tanneron 83'18Alexander Robertsonon 83'27Joel Colwill🟨 1 · on 86'41Matthew Turneron 1'44Ronan Kpakioon 60'48Dylan Lawloron 1'

Away team

Starting lineup

1Filip Marshall 2Luther Ash James-Wildin 4Jordan Houghtonoff 77'5Carl Liam Piergianni 10Daniel Kempoff 69'15Charlie Goode 16Lewis Jay Freestone 18Harvey David White🟨 1 19Jamie Tyrrell Reidoff 83'30Beryly Logos LubalaA 1 · off 69'44Phoenix Patterson⚽ 1 · off 68'

Substitutes

13Taye Ashby-Hammondon 1'

14Saxon Earleyon 1'17Jasper Pattendenon 77'20Chem Campbellon 68'22Jake Youngon 83'23Louis Thompson🟨 1 · on 69'24Jovan Malcolmon 69'

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

54'
StevenageYellow cardHarvey David White
57'
StevenageGoalPhoenix PattersonAssist: Beryly Logos Lubala
64'
Cardiff CityGoalCallum Robinson
68'
StevenageSubstitutionOn: Chem CampbellOff: Phoenix Patterson
77'
StevenageSubstitutionOn: Jasper PattendenOff: Jordan Houghton
82'
Cardiff CityGoalYousef SalechAssist: Chris Willock
83'
StevenageSubstitutionOn: Jake YoungOff: Jamie Tyrrell Reid
86'
Cardiff CitySubstitutionOn: Joel ColwillOff: Callum Robinson
90+3'
StevenageYellow cardLouis Thompson
90+4'
Cardiff CityYellow cardJoel Colwill

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

RefereeCharles Breakspear

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Charles BreakspearMatches officiated: 12

3.67Cards per match

0Penalties per match

1 / X / 250%Home wins17%Draws33%Away wins

Head-to-head

Record from Cardiff City's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Stevenage. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

Stevenage FC

0 : 112/09/2025

Cardiff City FC

FAQ

What was the result of Cardiff City vs Stevenage?

The EFL League One match finished Cardiff City 2:1 Stevenage. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Cardiff City vs Stevenage?

Cardiff City score 1.81 goals per game on average and Stevenage 1.20. The EFL League One average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Cardiff City's matches and 40% of Stevenage's.

What form are Cardiff City and Stevenage in?

Over the last 5 games Cardiff City have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Stevenage 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cardiff City vs Stevenage?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Cardiff City vs Stevenage: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.