Carina Gubin vs Warta Gorzów: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams, which points towards a draw. Carina Gubin present solid home form with a 44% win rate and a -1 goal difference, though their last five games show instability (1.4 PPG). Warta Gorzów boast slightly better overall form (1.8 PPG in their last 5 matches) and superior away offensive stats (1.5 goals on average), but they also concede plenty of goals (1.9 on average). Both teams have a negative goal difference in the analyzed matches, and Warta's high away loss percentage (40%) is balanced by a high draw rate (30%). With an average of 2.78 goals per match for the hosts and 3.4 for the visitors, an exciting, open game can be expected with a slight edge for the hosts stemming from their home-field advantage.
Carina Gubin vs Warta Gorzów: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Carina Gubin play Warta Gorzów in 3 Liga Group 3 (Poland). The match date is 14 March 2026 at 15:00. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Carina Gubin: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Warta Gorzów: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Carina Gubin scores 1.47 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Warta Gorzów scores 1.56 and concedes 1.38. League average: 3.20 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Carina Gubin 74%, Warta Gorzów 65%. Over 2.5: Carina Gubin 62%, Warta Gorzów 65%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
Warta Gorzów has higher xG: 1.40 vs 1.30. Carina Gubin: 2.6 shots per match, Warta Gorzów: 7.2.
Match halves
Carina Gubin: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.44. Warta Gorzów: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.44.
Goals by minute
Carina Gubin: 0-15 (17 goals). Warta Gorzów: 0-15 (34 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3 Liga Group 3: 3.20 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams, which points towards a draw. Carina Gubin present solid home form with a 44% win rate and a -1 goal difference, though their last five games show instability (1.4 PPG). Warta Gorzów boast slightly better overall form (1.8 PPG in their last 5 matches) and superior away offensive stats (1.5 goals on average), but they also concede plenty of goals (1.9 on average). Both teams have a negative goal difference in the analyzed matches, and Warta's high away loss percentage (40%) is balanced by a high draw rate (30%). With an average of 2.78 goals per match for the hosts and 3.4 for the visitors, an exciting, open game can be expected with a slight edge for the hosts stemming from their home-field advantage.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Carina Gubin | Warta Gorzów | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 12% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.50 | 0.20 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 4.59 | 0.54 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Warta Gorzów is 6% better for: goals scored per match.
1.47 goals / match - Carina Gubin · 1.56 goals / match - Warta Gorzów
Warta Gorzów is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.5 goals / match - Carina Gubin · 1.38 goals / match - Warta Gorzów
Carina Gubin scores in 91% of matches (31 of 34 matches), while Warta Gorzów keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 34 matches).
Warta Gorzów scores in 82% of matches (28 of 34 matches), while Carina Gubin keeps a clean sheet in 21% (7 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Carina Gubin
Over / Under — Warta Gorzów
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Carina Gubin is 34% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Carina Gubin · 1.12 pts / match - Warta Gorzów
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Carina Gubin - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Warta Gorzów - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (17 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (18). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (34 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (20). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Carina Gubin
Warta Gorzów
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 3).
Teams vs league
| Carina Gubin | Liga | Warta Gorzów | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.97 | 3.20 | ▼ 2.94 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 74% | 58% | ▲ 65% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 62% | 66% | • 65% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 24% | • 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 59% | 42% | ▲ 47% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 68% | 44% | ▼ 41% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Carina Gubin 0 - 1 - 0 Warta Gorzów. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Carina Gubin vs Warta Gorzów?
The 3 Liga Group 3 match finished Carina Gubin 1:3 Warta Gorzów. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Carina Gubin vs Warta Gorzów?
Carina Gubin score 1.47 goals per game on average and Warta Gorzów 1.56. The 3 Liga Group 3 average is 3.20 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 74% of Carina Gubin's matches and 65% of Warta Gorzów's.
What form are Carina Gubin and Warta Gorzów in?
Over the last 5 games Carina Gubin have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Warta Gorzów 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Carina Gubin vs Warta Gorzów?
The statistical background for Carina Gubin vs Warta Gorzów — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.