Carina Gubin vs Warta Gorzów: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams, which points towards a draw. Carina Gubin present solid home form with a 44% win rate and a -1 goal difference, though their last five games show instability (1.4 PPG). Warta Gorzów boast slightly better overall form (1.8 PPG in their last 5 matches) and superior away offensive stats (1.5 goals on average), but they also concede plenty of goals (1.9 on average). Both teams have a negative goal difference in the analyzed matches, and Warta's high away loss percentage (40%) is balanced by a high draw rate (30%). With an average of 2.78 goals per match for the hosts and 3.4 for the visitors, an exciting, open game can be expected with a slight edge for the hosts stemming from their home-field advantage.
Carina Gubin vs Warta Gorzów: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Carina Gubin played against Warta Gorzów in 3 Liga Group 3 (Poland). The game was played on March 14, 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Recent form
Carina Gubin has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Warta Gorzów has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Carina Gubin scores 1.53 goals per game and allows 1.68. Warta Gorzów scores 1.70 and allows 1.60. Games in this league average 3.33 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 79% of Carina Gubin's games and 70% of Warta Gorzów's. The Over 2.5 rates are 68% and 70%, compared with league averages of 61% for BTTS and 66% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Warta Gorzów has the higher season xG average, 1.49 to 1.25 per game. Carina Gubin takes 2.3 shots per game, while Warta Gorzów takes 7.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Carina Gubin leads at halftime in 37% of its games and scores 0.32 goals per game after halftime. Warta Gorzów leads at halftime in 10% and scores 0.40 after halftime.
When the teams score
Carina Gubin's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (10 goals). For Warta Gorzów, it is minutes 0-15 (25 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
3 Liga Group 3 games average 3.33 goals. Both teams score in 61% of games, and 66% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams, which points towards a draw. Carina Gubin present solid home form with a 44% win rate and a -1 goal difference, though their last five games show instability (1.4 PPG). Warta Gorzów boast slightly better overall form (1.8 PPG in their last 5 matches) and superior away offensive stats (1.5 goals on average), but they also concede plenty of goals (1.9 on average). Both teams have a negative goal difference in the analyzed matches, and Warta's high away loss percentage (40%) is balanced by a high draw rate (30%). With an average of 2.78 goals per match for the hosts and 3.4 for the visitors, an exciting, open game can be expected with a slight edge for the hosts stemming from their home-field advantage.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Carina Gubin | Warta Gorzów | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 5% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.54 | 0.19 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 13.91 | 0.61 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Warta Gorzów is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Carina Gubin · 1.8 pts / game - Warta Gorzów
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Warta Gorzów is 11% better for: goals scored per game.
1.53 goals / game - Carina Gubin · 1.7 goals / game - Warta Gorzów
Warta Gorzów is 5% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.68 goals / game - Carina Gubin · 1.6 goals / game - Warta Gorzów
Carina Gubin scores in 95% of games (18 of 19 games), while Warta Gorzów keeps a clean sheet in 15% (3 of 20 games).
Warta Gorzów scores in 85% of games (17 of 20 games), while Carina Gubin keeps a clean sheet in 16% (3 of 19 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Carina Gubin
Over / Under - Warta Gorzów
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Carina Gubin is 87% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.68 pts / game - Carina Gubin · 0.9 pts / game - Warta Gorzów
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Carina Gubin - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 37% of games and wins 37%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Warta Gorzów - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 10% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (10 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (25 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Carina Gubin
Warta Gorzów
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 3).
Teams vs league
| Carina Gubin | Liga | Warta Gorzów | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 3.21 | 3.33 | • 3.30 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 79% | 61% | ▲ 70% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 68% | 66% | ▲ 70% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 21% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 63% | 30% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 63% | 33% | ▲ 40% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Carina Gubin's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Warta Gorzów. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Carina Gubin vs Warta Gorzów?
The 3 Liga Group 3 match finished Carina Gubin 1:3 Warta Gorzów. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Carina Gubin vs Warta Gorzów?
Carina Gubin score 1.53 goals per game on average and Warta Gorzów 1.70. The 3 Liga Group 3 average is 3.33 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 79% of Carina Gubin's matches and 70% of Warta Gorzów's.
What form are Carina Gubin and Warta Gorzów in?
Over the last 5 games Carina Gubin have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Warta Gorzów 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Carina Gubin vs Warta Gorzów?
The statistical background for Carina Gubin vs Warta Gorzów — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.