Carlisle United vs Forest Green Rovers: match statistics
Carlisle United vs Forest Green Rovers: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Carlisle United played against Forest Green Rovers in National League (England). The game was played on September 15, 2026. Venue: Brunton Park. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Carlisle United has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Forest Green Rovers has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Carlisle United scores 2.14 goals per game and allows 1.71. Forest Green Rovers scores 1.57 and allows 1.43. Games in this league average 3.13 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 100% of Carlisle United's games and 43% of Forest Green Rovers's. The Over 2.5 rates are 71% and 71%, compared with league averages of 65% for BTTS and 63% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Carlisle United has the higher season xG average, 2.21 to 1.76 per game. Carlisle United takes 18.0 shots per game, while Forest Green Rovers takes 14.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Carlisle United leads at halftime in 71% of its games and scores 1.14 goals per game after halftime. Forest Green Rovers leads at halftime in 29% and scores 1.29 after halftime.
When the teams score
Carlisle United's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (4 goals). For Forest Green Rovers, it is minutes 46-60 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
National League games average 3.13 goals. Both teams score in 65% of games, and 63% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Carlisle United have a clearly greater attacking potential at home: they average 3.33 goals per match with an xG of 2.81, while Forest Green Rovers score just 1.00 goal away from home with an xG of 1.60. The hosts average 25.67 shots and 10.33 shots on target, significantly more than the visitors’ 13 and 4 respectively. Carlisle have won 2 of their last 5 matches and scored 11 goals in that period, while Forest Green have managed just 4 goals and lost 3 matches over the same stretch. The hosts’ main weakness is their defense, as they concede an average of 2.00 goals at home and are yet to keep a clean sheet, giving the visitors a realistic chance of scoring. Although both teams have won 67% of their matches played in their respective conditions, Carlisle’s edge in chance creation, possession (59% compared with 43%) and current finishing form points to a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Carlisle have recorded BTTS in 67% of their matches this season and in 100% of their last five, scoring an average of 2.2 goals and conceding 1.4 during that period. The hosts have failed to keep a clean sheet in any match this season, while Forest Green create chances at an average level of 1.60 xG and register 4.0 shots on target per game. However, Forest Green score only 1.0 goal per game this season and just 0.8 across their last five appearances, which significantly limits confidence in the visitors finding the net. On the other hand, their defense allows an average of 1.54 xG, while Carlisle generate 1.74 xG across the season and 2.02 xG in their last five matches. The signal for both teams to score is moderately stronger, mainly due to Carlisle's poor ability to keep a clean sheet and the hosts' strong recent attacking efficiency.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Carlisle have averaged 2.2 goals scored over their last 5 matches, with an xG of 2.02, while Forest Green have conceded 1.6 goals per game during this period. The hosts have failed to keep a clean sheet in any home match and concede an average of 2.33 goals at home, giving the visitors a realistic route to scoring despite their average of just 0.8 goals across their last 5 appearances. At least 2 goals were scored in 100% of Carlisle’s home matches and in 67% of Forest Green’s away fixtures, while the league-wide average is a high 3.06 goals. The Over 1.5 line is therefore strongly supported by both Carlisle’s defensive profile and the hosts’ current attacking output.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is Carlisle leading at the break and the hosts securing the win, as they have won the first half in 60% of their last five matches, compared with just 20% for Forest Green. During this period, Carlisle averaged 1.0 goals scored and 0.4 conceded before half-time, while the visitors scored just 0.2 and conceded 0.6. The hosts are also in better current form: they have averaged 1.6 points per match, scored 2.2 goals, and lost only 20% of their last five fixtures, compared with a 60% defeat rate for Forest Green. After the interval, Carlisle still hold the attacking edge, averaging 1.2 goals in the second half across their last five appearances, while their opponents concede an average of 1.0 goal during this period. Forest Green’s seasonal away results are solid, but Carlisle’s current first-half advantage and the visitors’ markedly weaker form support the 1/1 HT/FT selection.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Carlisle United | Forest Green Rovers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Carlisle United is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Carlisle United · 1.2 pts / game - Forest Green Rovers
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Carlisle United is 36% better for: goals scored per game.
2.14 goals / game - Carlisle United · 1.57 goals / game - Forest Green Rovers
Forest Green Rovers is 20% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.71 goals / game - Carlisle United · 1.43 goals / game - Forest Green Rovers
Carlisle United scores in 100% of games (7 of 7 games), while Forest Green Rovers keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 games).
Forest Green Rovers scores in 71% of games (5 of 7 games), while Carlisle United keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 7 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Carlisle United
Over / Under - Forest Green Rovers
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Carlisle United is 101% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.29 pts / game - Carlisle United · 1.14 pts / game - Forest Green Rovers
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Carlisle United - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 71% of games and wins 29%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 1.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Forest Green Rovers - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 57%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 0% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +5 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Carlisle United
Forest Green Rovers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).
Teams vs league
| Carlisle United | Liga | Forest Green Rovers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.86 | 3.13 | ▼ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 100% | 65% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 71% | 63% | ▲ 71% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 17% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 74% | ▼ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 90% | ▼ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Carlisle United's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses against Forest Green Rovers. Games average 5.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Carlisle United vs Forest Green Rovers?
The National League match finished Carlisle United 1:1 Forest Green Rovers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Carlisle United and Forest Green Rovers?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Carlisle United won 2, Forest Green Rovers won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Carlisle United vs Forest Green Rovers?
Carlisle United score 2.14 goals per game on average and Forest Green Rovers 1.57. The National League average is 3.13 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Carlisle United's matches and 43% of Forest Green Rovers's.
What form are Carlisle United and Forest Green Rovers in?
Over the last 5 games Carlisle United have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Forest Green Rovers 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Carlisle United vs Forest Green Rovers?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.