Italy - Serie BData current as of September 11, 2026

Carrarese vs Bari 1908: match statistics

Carrarese crest
Carrarese
1 : 0half-time 0:0
Bari 1908 crest
Bari 1908
155%(2.00)
X30%(3.02)
215%(4.20)

Carrarese appears to be the favorite for this encounter, mainly due to a significant advantage in home matches. The hosts record 33% wins at home with a +3 goal difference, while Bari 1908 has not won a single away match this season (0% Win%) and has a disastrous goal difference of -13 on the road. Additionally, Carrarese possesses better xG statistics in home matches (1.55 vs 0.99 for Bari away) and greater efficiency in shots taken. In their last five away matches, Bari presents very poor form with a series of draws and losses, failing to secure a single victory. The high percentage of draws for both teams (44% for the hosts at home and 44% for the visitors away) and their goal-scoring struggles also justify a significant probability of sharing the points; however, Carrarese's advantage at their own stadium speaks for their victory.

Carrarese vs Bari 1908: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Carrarese played against Bari 1908 in Serie B (Italy). The game was played on January 10, 2026. Final score: 1:0.

Recent form

Carrarese has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Bari 1908 has 0 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss, with 0.80 points per game.

Scoring records

Carrarese scores 1.33 goals per game and allows 1.61. Bari 1908 scores 0.89 and allows 1.56. Games in this league average 2.48 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 56% of Carrarese's games and 61% of Bari 1908's. The Over 2.5 rates are 56% and 44%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 46% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Carrarese has the higher season xG average, 1.41 to 1.12 per game. Carrarese takes 12.8 shots per game, while Bari 1908 takes 10.7.

First-half and second-half trends

Carrarese leads at halftime in 17% of its games and scores 0.83 goals per game after halftime. Bari 1908 leads at halftime in 6% and scores 0.44 after halftime.

When the teams score

Carrarese's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (6 goals). For Bari 1908, it is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Serie B games average 2.48 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 46% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Carrarese appears to be the favorite for this encounter, mainly due to a significant advantage in home matches. The hosts record 33% wins at home with a +3 goal difference, while Bari 1908 has not won a single away match this season (0% Win%) and has a disastrous goal difference of -13 on the road. Additionally, Carrarese possesses better xG statistics in home matches (1.55 vs 0.99 for Bari away) and greater efficiency in shots taken. In their last five away matches, Bari presents very poor form with a series of draws and losses, failing to secure a single victory. The high percentage of draws for both teams (44% for the hosts at home and 44% for the visitors away) and their goal-scoring struggles also justify a significant probability of sharing the points; however, Carrarese's advantage at their own stadium speaks for their victory.

View the statistical overview

Stats by half

0 : 0
First half
1 : 0
Second half

Game stats

46Possession (%)54
CarrareseBari 1908
16Shots11
CarrareseBari 1908
6Shots on target4
CarrareseBari 1908
1.85xG1.31
CarrareseBari 1908
7Corners3
CarrareseBari 1908
58Dangerous attacks44
CarrareseBari 1908
8Fouls13
CarrareseBari 1908
1Cards0
CarrareseBari 1908

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

CarrareseBari 1908
1.33Goals scored / game0.89
CarrareseBari 1908
1.61Goals allowed / game1.56
CarrareseBari 1908
50%Average possession49%
CarrareseBari 1908
3.89Shots on target / game2.78
CarrareseBari 1908

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

12.78Shots per game10.72
CarrareseBari 1908
3.89Shots on target2.78
CarrareseBari 1908
10.4%Shot conversion8.3%
CarrareseBari 1908
50%Possession49%
CarrareseBari 1908
1.41xG for1.12
CarrareseBari 1908
1.42xG against1.66
CarrareseBari 1908

Shooting quality

Carrarese: BalancedBari 1908: Balanced
CarrareseBari 1908
Accuracy (shots on target)30%26%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.10
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.340.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Carrarese
LLWLD
Season result split
22% W44% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-8-6
1.11 pts / game · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-4-2
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
WLDWD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 2.6xG: 1.26Opponent xG: 1.62BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Bari 1908
DDDLD
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
17% W44% D39% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-8-7
0.94 pts / game · goal difference -12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-4-1
0.80 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
0-4-5
Last 5 away
0-3-2
LDLDD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.16Opponent xG: 1.41BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Carrarese is 49% better for: goals scored per game.

1.33 goals / game - Carrarese · 0.89 goals / game - Bari 1908

Carrarese scoring profile: very strong

Carrarese scores in 67% of games (12 of 18 meczów), while Bari 1908 keeps a clean sheet in 22% (4 of 18 meczów).

Bari 1908 scoring profile: strong

Bari 1908 scores in 72% of games (13 of 18 meczów), while Carrarese keeps a clean sheet in 33% (6 of 18 meczów).

24Goals scored (season)16
CarrareseBari 1908
29Goals conceded (season)28
CarrareseBari 1908
2.94Average goals per game2.44
CarrareseBari 1908
6Goals scored (last 5)3
CarrareseBari 1908
13Goals conceded (last 5)4
CarrareseBari 1908

How often they score at least...

67%1 goal72%
CarrareseBari 1908
44%2 goals17%
CarrareseBari 1908
22%3 goals0%
CarrareseBari 1908
0%4 goals0%
CarrareseBari 1908

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal78%
CarrareseBari 1908
50%2 goals44%
CarrareseBari 1908
22%3 goals22%
CarrareseBari 1908
17%4 goals6%
CarrareseBari 1908

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

56%
League average

Goal patterns

22%BTTS at half-time33%
CarrareseBari 1908
17%BTTS in both halves0%
CarrareseBari 1908
33%Scored in both halves6%
CarrareseBari 1908

BTTS and goal count

44%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
CarrareseBari 1908
11%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
CarrareseBari 1908
60%BTTS - last 560%
CarrareseBari 1908

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

61%Min. 1 goal before half-time61%
CarrareseBari 1908
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
CarrareseBari 1908
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time11%
CarrareseBari 1908

2nd half

78%Min. 1 goal after half-time61%
CarrareseBari 1908
61%Min. 2 goals after half-time44%
CarrareseBari 1908
33%Min. 3 goals after half-time17%
CarrareseBari 1908

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Carrarese is 42% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.11 pts / game - Carrarese · 0.78 pts / game - Bari 1908

Carrarese - half-time state
17% leading61% draw22% trailing
Bari 1908 - half-time state
6% leading61% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.11Points per game (1st half)0.78
CarrareseBari 1908
0.5Goals scored (1st half)0.44
CarrareseBari 1908
0.67Goals conceded (1st half)0.72
CarrareseBari 1908
1.17Average goals (1st half)1.17
CarrareseBari 1908
56%Clean sheet before half-time44%
CarrareseBari 1908
61%No goal before half-time61%
CarrareseBari 1908

After half-time (2nd half)

1.11Points per game (2nd half)1.17
CarrareseBari 1908
0.83Goals scored (2nd half)0.44
CarrareseBari 1908
0.94Goals conceded (2nd half)0.83
CarrareseBari 1908
1.78Average goals (2nd half)1.28
CarrareseBari 1908
33%Clean sheet after half-time56%
CarrareseBari 1908
39%No goal after half-time61%
CarrareseBari 1908

Carrarese - second-half results

22% W44% D33% L
20
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
20
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.11
PPG before half-time
Lead holding129%

Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 22%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Bari 1908 - second-half results

22% W50% D28% L
14
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
21
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.78
PPG before half-time
Lead holding283%

Leads at halftime in 6% of games and wins 17%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Carrarese - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.600.80
Goals scored / game0.40.8
Goals allowed / game1.21.4
Average goals per game1.62.2
1 goal60%80%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals20%60%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-4-3
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Bari 1908 - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.601.40
Goals scored / game0.00.6
Goals allowed / game0.40.4
Average goals per game0.41.0
1 goal40%60%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal100%40%
Goal difference-2+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Carrarese
ScoredConceded
4
2
0-15
3
3
16-30
2
7
31-45
3
6
46-60
6
4
61-75
6
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Bari 1908
ScoredConceded
1
4
0-15
3
3
16-30
4
6
31-45
2
6
46-60
1
3
61-75
5
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.70
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.4 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
109%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
59%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
48%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
9%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 11 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Carrarese

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.01
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.27
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.08
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.19
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
92%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
155%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.31
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Bari 1908

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.54
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.13
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.23
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.10
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
86%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
108%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.14
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
31% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
31%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).

Teams vs league

CarrareseLigaBari 1908
Average goals per game 2.942.48 2.44
Both teams scored 56%56% 61%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 56%46% 44%
Clean sheets 33%26% 22%
Goal before half-time 61%69% 61%
Goal after half-time 78%75% 61%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.48
Average goals per game
56%
Both teams scored
46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.44
Home goals / game
1.04
Away goals / game
+38%
Home attack advantage
+28%
Home defensive advantage
+20%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. CarrareseYellow cardFabio Abiuso
  2. Bari 1908SubstitutionOn: Nicola BellomoOff: Gaetano Castrovilli
  3. CarrareseGoalFabio AbiusoAssist: Nicolo Calabrese
  4. Bari 1908SubstitutionOn: Vincenzo ColangiuliOff: Raffaele Pucino
  5. Bari 1908SubstitutionOn: Leonardo CerriOff: Balla Moussa Manè
  6. CarrareseSubstitutionOn: Gabriele ParlantiOff: Luis Hasa

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Claudio Giuseppe AllegrettaMatches officiated: 14
4.36Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 250%Home wins43%Draws7%Away wins

FAQ

What was the result of Carrarese vs Bari 1908?

The Serie B match finished Carrarese 1:0 Bari 1908. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Carrarese vs Bari 1908?

Carrarese score 1.33 goals per game on average and Bari 1908 0.89. The Serie B average is 2.48 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Carrarese's matches and 61% of Bari 1908's.

What form are Carrarese and Bari 1908 in?

Over the last 5 games Carrarese have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Bari 1908 0-4-1 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Carrarese vs Bari 1908?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Carrarese vs Bari 1908: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.