Carrarese vs Mantova: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Carrarese play Mantova in Serie B (Italy). The match date is 27 December 2025 at 15:00. Final score: 0:0.

Current form

Carrarese: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Mantova: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Carrarese scores 1.24 and concedes 1.37 goals per match. Mantova scores 1.18 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.55 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Carrarese 47%, Mantova 50%. Over 2.5: Carrarese 50%, Mantova 53%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.

xG, shots and style

Mantova has higher xG: 1.55 vs 1.43. Carrarese: 13.3 shots per match, Mantova: 14.1.

Match halves

Carrarese: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.84. Mantova: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.63.

Goals by minute

Carrarese: 76-90+ (13 goals). Mantova: 76-90+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie B: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

52Possession (%)48
CarrareseMantova
18Shots7
CarrareseMantova
4Shots on target1
CarrareseMantova
1.78xG0.85
CarrareseMantova
7Corners5
CarrareseMantova
52Dangerous attacks45
CarrareseMantova
14Fouls19
CarrareseMantova
2Cards2
CarrareseMantova

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.24Goals scored / match1.18
CarrareseMantova
1.37Goals conceded / match1.5
CarrareseMantova
51%Average possession57%
CarrareseMantova
3.92Shots on target / match4.79
CarrareseMantova

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.32Shots per match14.08
CarrareseMantova
3.92Shots on target4.79
CarrareseMantova
9.3%Shot conversion8.4%
CarrareseMantova
51%Possession57%
CarrareseMantova
1.43xG for1.55
CarrareseMantova
1.39xG against1.42
CarrareseMantova

Shooting quality

Carrarese: BalancedMantova: Dominant
CarrareseMantova
Accuracy (shots on target)29%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.25

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Mantova is 350% better for: last-5 form.

0.4 pts / match - Carrarese · 1.8 pts / match - Mantova

Carrarese
LDLDL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
26% W37% R37% P
Season (W-D-L)
10-14-14
1.16 pts / match · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-8-4
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
LWWDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.52Opponent xG: 1.42BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Mantova
WLWWL
Season result split
34% W18% R47% P
Season (W-D-L)
13-7-18
1.21 pts / match · goal difference -12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-4-11
Last 5 away
2-1-2
DLWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.52Opponent xG: 1.45BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Carrarese is 5% better for: goals scored per match.

1.24 goals / match - Carrarese · 1.18 goals / match - Mantova

Carrarese is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.37 goals / match - Carrarese · 1.5 goals / match - Mantova

Carrarese scoring profile: strong

Carrarese scores in 63% of matches (24 of 38 matches), while Mantova keeps a clean sheet in 24% (9 of 38 matches).

Mantova scoring profile: strong

Mantova scores in 68% of matches (26 of 38 matches), while Carrarese keeps a clean sheet in 32% (12 of 38 matches).

47Goals scored (season)45
CarrareseMantova
52Goals conceded (season)57
CarrareseMantova
2.61Average goals in match2.68
CarrareseMantova
3Goals scored (last 5)8
CarrareseMantova
9Goals conceded (last 5)9
CarrareseMantova

How often they score at least...

63%1 goal68%
CarrareseMantova
39%2 goals37%
CarrareseMantova
21%3 goals11%
CarrareseMantova
0%4 goals3%
CarrareseMantova

How often they concede at least...

68%1 goal76%
CarrareseMantova
42%2 goals39%
CarrareseMantova
16%3 goals18%
CarrareseMantova
8%4 goals8%
CarrareseMantova

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

53%
League average

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time16%
CarrareseMantova
13%BTTS in both halves5%
CarrareseMantova
29%Scored in both halves26%
CarrareseMantova

BTTS and goal count

37%Min. 3 goals and BTTS42%
CarrareseMantova
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
CarrareseMantova
40%BTTS - last 520%
CarrareseMantova

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

63%Min. 1 goal before half-time74%
CarrareseMantova
29%Min. 2 goals before half-time39%
CarrareseMantova
8%Min. 3 goals before half-time11%
CarrareseMantova

2nd half

76%Min. 1 goal after half-time84%
CarrareseMantova
53%Min. 2 goals after half-time42%
CarrareseMantova
24%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
CarrareseMantova

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Mantova is 32% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.92 pts / match - Carrarese · 1.21 pts / match - Mantova

Carrarese - half-time state
13% leading53% draw34% trailing
Mantova - half-time state
29% leading34% draw37% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.92Points per match (1st half)1.21
CarrareseMantova
0.39Goals scored (1st half)0.55
CarrareseMantova
0.66Goals conceded (1st half)0.71
CarrareseMantova
1.05Average goals (1st half)1.26
CarrareseMantova
50%Clean sheet before half-time53%
CarrareseMantova
68%No goal before half-time58%
CarrareseMantova

After half-time (2nd half)

1.39Points per match (2nd half)1.32
CarrareseMantova
0.84Goals scored (2nd half)0.63
CarrareseMantova
0.71Goals conceded (2nd half)0.79
CarrareseMantova
1.55Average goals (2nd half)1.42
CarrareseMantova
47%Clean sheet after half-time50%
CarrareseMantova
39%No goal after half-time47%
CarrareseMantova

Carrarese - second-half results

32% W45% R24% P
35
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
-10
Goal difference (1st half)
53
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.92
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Mantova - second-half results

34% W29% R37% P
46
Half-time points
21
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
50
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.21
PPG before half-time
Lead holding117%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Carrarese - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.600.80
Goals scored / match0.20.4
Goals conceded / match0.81.0
Average goals in match1.01.4
1 goal60%60%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-3-3
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 80% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Mantova - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.20
Goals scored / match1.00.6
Goals conceded / match0.41.4
Average goals in match1.42.0
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+3-4
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 0% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Carrarese
ScoredConceded
6
6
0-15
7
8
16-30
2
11
31-45
7
10
46-60
12
6
61-75
13
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Mantova
ScoredConceded
4
13
0-15
7
6
16-30
10
8
31-45
5
11
46-60
4
8
61-75
15
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.65
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
104%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
49%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-24%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
43%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
12%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Carrarese

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.17
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.19
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
84%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
128%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.76
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
28% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
28%

Mantova

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.13
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.45
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.37
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
110%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
101%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.59
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).

Teams vs league

CarrareseLigaMantova
Average goals in match 2.612.55 2.68
Both teams scored 47%53% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 50%48% 53%
Clean sheets 32%27% 24%
Goal before half-time 63%70% 74%
Goal after half-time 76%78% 84%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.55
Average goals per match
53%
Both teams scored
48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.48
Home goals / match
1.07
Away goals / match
+38%
Home attack advantage
+28%
Home defence advantage
+21%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Carrarese 0 - 1 - 0 Mantova. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Carrarese vs Mantova?

The Serie B match finished Carrarese 0:0 Mantova. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Carrarese vs Mantova?

Carrarese score 1.24 goals per game on average and Mantova 1.18. The Serie B average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Carrarese's matches and 50% of Mantova's.

What form are Carrarese and Mantova in?

Over the last 5 games Carrarese have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Mantova 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Carrarese vs Mantova?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.