Italy - Serie BStadio dei MarmiData current as of October 17, 2026

Carrarese vs Modena: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Carrarese vs Modena: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Carrarese plays Modena in Serie B (Italy). The game is scheduled for October 17, 2026. Venue: Stadio dei Marmi.

Recent form

Carrarese has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Modena has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Carrarese scores 0.67 goals per game and allows 1.00. Modena scores 1.83 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 2.70 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 33% of Carrarese's games and 67% of Modena's. The Over 2.5 rates are 17% and 67%, compared with league averages of 62% for BTTS and 54% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Modena has the higher season xG average, 2.22 to 1.19 per game. Carrarese takes 11.8 shots per game, while Modena takes 21.5.

First-half and second-half trends

Carrarese leads at halftime in 17% of its games and scores 0.50 goals per game after halftime. Modena leads at halftime in 17% and scores 1.33 after halftime.

When the teams score

Carrarese's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (2 goals). For Modena, it is minutes 76-90+ (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Serie B games average 2.70 goals. Both teams score in 62% of games, and 54% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(3.47)
(3.25)
(2.09)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

0.67Goals scored / game1.83
CarrareseModena
1Goals allowed / game1
CarrareseModena
40%Average possession56%
CarrareseModena
3.33Shots on target / game6.5
CarrareseModena

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

11.83Shots per game21.5
CarrareseModena
3.33Shots on target6.5
CarrareseModena
5.6%Shot conversion8.5%
CarrareseModena
40%Possession56%
CarrareseModena
1.19xG for2.22
CarrareseModena
1.56xG against1.13
CarrareseModena

Shooting quality

Carrarese: BalancedModena: Dominant
CarrareseModena
Accuracy (shots on target)28%30%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.100.10
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.200.28

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Modena is 150% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / game - Carrarese · 2 pts / game - Modena

Carrarese
DLLLW
Season result split
17% W17% D67% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-4
0.67 pts / game · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-0-3
Last 5 at home
0-0-3
LLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.22Opponent xG: 1.61BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 0%
Modena
WLDWW
Season result split
67% W17% D17% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-1-1
2.17 pts / game · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
2-1-0
Last 5 away
2-1-0
WWD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 2.40Opponent xG: 1.07BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Modena is 173% better for: goals scored per game.

0.67 goals / game - Carrarese · 1.83 goals / game - Modena

Carrarese scoring profile: strong

Carrarese scores in 50% of games (3 of 6 games), while Modena keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 games).

Modena scoring profile: very strong

Modena scores in 83% of games (5 of 6 games), while Carrarese keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 games).

4Goals scored (season)11
CarrareseModena
6Goals conceded (season)6
CarrareseModena
1.67Average goals per game2.83
CarrareseModena
3Goals scored (last 5)9
CarrareseModena
4Goals conceded (last 5)5
CarrareseModena

How often they score at least...

50%1 goal83%
CarrareseModena
17%2 goals67%
CarrareseModena
0%3 goals33%
CarrareseModena
0%4 goals0%
CarrareseModena

How often they concede at least...

83%1 goal83%
CarrareseModena
17%2 goals17%
CarrareseModena
0%3 goals0%
CarrareseModena
0%4 goals0%
CarrareseModena

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time17%
CarrareseModena
0%BTTS in both halves0%
CarrareseModena
17%Scored in both halves33%
CarrareseModena

BTTS and goal count

17%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
CarrareseModena
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS17%
CarrareseModena
20%BTTS - last 560%
CarrareseModena

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

33%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
CarrareseModena
0%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
CarrareseModena
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time17%
CarrareseModena

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
CarrareseModena
33%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
CarrareseModena
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
CarrareseModena

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Carrarese is 134% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.17 pts / game - Carrarese · 0.5 pts / game - Modena

Carrarese - half-time state
17% leading67% draw17% trailing
Modena - half-time state
17% leading0% draw83% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.17Points per game (1st half)0.5
CarrareseModena
0.17Goals scored (1st half)0.5
CarrareseModena
0.17Goals conceded (1st half)1
CarrareseModena
0.33Average goals (1st half)1.5
CarrareseModena
83%Clean sheet before half-time17%
CarrareseModena
83%No goal before half-time67%
CarrareseModena

After half-time (2nd half)

0.83Points per game (2nd half)2.67
CarrareseModena
0.5Goals scored (2nd half)1.33
CarrareseModena
0.83Goals conceded (2nd half)0
CarrareseModena
1.33Average goals (2nd half)1.33
CarrareseModena
17%Clean sheet after half-time100%
CarrareseModena
50%No goal after half-time17%
CarrareseModena

Carrarese - second-half results

17% W33% D50% L
7
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
5
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.17
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 17%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.7

Allows 0.7 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Modena - second-half results

83% W17% D0% L
3
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
16
Second-half points
+8
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding394%

Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 67%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-1.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Carrarese - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.400.80
Goals scored / game0.20.4
Goals allowed / game0.00.8
Average goals per game0.21.2
1 goal20%100%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%20%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference+1-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Modena - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.602.60
Goals scored / game0.61.2
Goals allowed / game1.00.0
Average goals per game1.61.2
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet20%100%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference-2+6
Half-time: 20% leading - 0% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Carrarese
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
0
1
16-30
0
0
31-45
2
0
46-60
0
3
61-75
1
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Modena
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
0
4
16-30
2
1
31-45
1
0
46-60
3
0
61-75
4
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.25
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
0.8 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
83%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-56%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
42%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
9%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 11 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Carrarese

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.37
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.04
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.52
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.56
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
48%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
77%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.13
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 25% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Modena

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.09
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.26
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.39
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.13
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
141%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
71%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.17
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.8
Late goals
36% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
36%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).

Teams vs league

CarrareseLigaModena
Average goals per game▼ 1.672.70▲ 2.83
Both teams scored▼ 33%62%▲ 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 17%54%▲ 67%
Clean sheets▼ 17%21%▼ 17%
Goal before half-time▼ 33%64%▲ 100%
Goal after half-time▲ 100%85%▼ 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.70
Average goals per game
62%
Both teams scored
54%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
21%
Clean sheets
1.41
Home goals / game
1.30
Away goals / game
+8%
Home attack advantage
+8%
Home defensive advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
64%
1 goal
26%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
85%
1 goal
54%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Carrarese's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss against Modena. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

Modena
2 : 0
Carrarese
Carrarese
0 : 0
Modena

FAQ

When do Carrarese and Modena play?

Carrarese face Modena on October 17, 2026 in Serie B at Stadio dei Marmi. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Carrarese and Modena?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Carrarese won 0, Modena won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Carrarese vs Modena?

Carrarese score 0.67 goals per game on average and Modena 1.83. The Serie B average is 2.70 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Carrarese's matches and 67% of Modena's.

What form are Carrarese and Modena in?

Over the last 5 games Carrarese have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Modena 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Carrarese vs Modena?

The statistical background for Carrarese vs Modena — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.