Carrarese vs Monza: match statistics
Monza is in significantly better form than Carrarese, as confirmed by recent results - 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 matches (2.6 PPG) compared to just 1 win for Carrarese (0.8 PPG). The visitors are 3rd in the table with a 15-6-4 record, while the hosts are in 10th position with a negative goal difference (-4 overall). Carrarese fails to score at home in 50% of matches and has poor home form (recently WLDLL), while Monza scores goals regularly (FTS% only 25% away). Monza demonstrates higher efficiency and defensive stability (20 goals conceded this season vs 35 for Carrarese), which, given current form, makes them the favorite for this match. xG statistics also point to the visitors' advantage, as they have a better expected goals balance both in attack and defense.
Carrarese vs Monza: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Carrarese play Monza in Serie B (Italy). The match date is 21 February 2026 at 19:30. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Carrarese: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Monza: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Carrarese scores 1.24 and concedes 1.37 goals per match. Monza scores 1.60 and concedes 0.88. League average: 2.55 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Carrarese 47%, Monza 50%. Over 2.5: Carrarese 50%, Monza 48%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Monza has higher xG: 1.56 vs 1.43. Carrarese: 13.3 shots per match, Monza: 14.1.
Match halves
Carrarese: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.84. Monza: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Carrarese: 76-90+ (13 goals). Monza: 76-90+ (21 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Monza is in significantly better form than Carrarese, as confirmed by recent results - 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 matches (2.6 PPG) compared to just 1 win for Carrarese (0.8 PPG). The visitors are 3rd in the table with a 15-6-4 record, while the hosts are in 10th position with a negative goal difference (-4 overall). Carrarese fails to score at home in 50% of matches and has poor home form (recently WLDLL), while Monza scores goals regularly (FTS% only 25% away). Monza demonstrates higher efficiency and defensive stability (20 goals conceded this season vs 35 for Carrarese), which, given current form, makes them the favorite for this match. xG statistics also point to the visitors' advantage, as they have a better expected goals balance both in attack and defense.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Carrarese | Monza | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Monza is 300% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Carrarese · 1.6 pts / match - Monza
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Monza is 29% better for: goals scored per match.
1.24 goals / match - Carrarese · 1.6 goals / match - Monza
Monza is 56% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.37 goals / match - Carrarese · 0.88 goals / match - Monza
Carrarese scores in 63% of matches (24 of 38 matches), while Monza keeps a clean sheet in 40% (17 of 42 matches).
Monza scores in 86% of matches (36 of 42 matches), while Carrarese keeps a clean sheet in 32% (12 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Carrarese
Over / Under — Monza
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Monza is 52% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.92 pts / match - Carrarese · 1.4 pts / match - Monza
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Carrarese - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Monza - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (21 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Carrarese
Monza
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Carrarese | Liga | Monza | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.61 | 2.55 | • 2.48 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 53% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 48% | • 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 32% | 27% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 70% | ▼ 62% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 78% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Carrarese 0 - 0 - 1 Monza. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Carrarese vs Monza?
The Serie B match finished Carrarese 0:1 Monza. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Carrarese vs Monza?
Carrarese score 1.24 goals per game on average and Monza 1.60. The Serie B average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Carrarese's matches and 50% of Monza's.
What form are Carrarese and Monza in?
Over the last 5 games Carrarese have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Monza 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Carrarese vs Monza?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Carrarese vs Monza: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.