Carrarese vs Palermo: match statistics
Palermo currently sits 4th in the table and is displaying significantly better form than Carrarese (11th place). This is confirmed by the points per match average over the last 5 fixtures: 2.0 for the visitors versus a mere 0.4 for the hosts. Carrarese has failed to win any of their last five matches, conceding as many as 8 goals in that span, while Palermo has scored 12 goals in the same period, securing 3 wins. The hosts have failed to score in 50% of their home games, highlighting offensive issues, whereas the visitors boast a superior shot conversion rate (11% vs 9%) and a lower percentage of away matches without a goal scored (23%). Although Carrarese has a positive goal difference at home (+6), their poor current form and Palermo's superior squad quality and results point towards an away win, though a draw is also a realistic scenario given both teams' high percentage of drawn matches.
Carrarese vs Palermo: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Carrarese played against Palermo in Serie B (Italy). The game was played on March 8, 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
Carrarese has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.40 points per game. Palermo has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Carrarese scores 1.25 goals per game and allows 1.43. Palermo scores 1.71 and allows 0.79. Games in this league average 2.52 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Carrarese's games and 43% of Palermo's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 50%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Palermo has the higher season xG average, 1.53 to 1.44 per game. Carrarese takes 13.2 shots per game, while Palermo takes 14.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Carrarese leads at halftime in 14% of its games and scores 0.82 goals per game after halftime. Palermo leads at halftime in 54% and scores 0.96 after halftime.
When the teams score
Carrarese's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (9 goals). For Palermo, it is minutes 46-60 (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie B games average 2.52 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Palermo currently sits 4th in the table and is displaying significantly better form than Carrarese (11th place). This is confirmed by the points per match average over the last 5 fixtures: 2.0 for the visitors versus a mere 0.4 for the hosts. Carrarese has failed to win any of their last five matches, conceding as many as 8 goals in that span, while Palermo has scored 12 goals in the same period, securing 3 wins. The hosts have failed to score in 50% of their home games, highlighting offensive issues, whereas the visitors boast a superior shot conversion rate (11% vs 9%) and a lower percentage of away matches without a goal scored (23%). Although Carrarese has a positive goal difference at home (+6), their poor current form and Palermo's superior squad quality and results point towards an away win, though a draw is also a realistic scenario given both teams' high percentage of drawn matches.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Carrarese | Palermo | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Palermo is 400% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / game - Carrarese · 2 pts / game - Palermo
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Palermo is 37% better for: goals scored per game.
1.25 goals / game - Carrarese · 1.71 goals / game - Palermo
Palermo is 81% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.43 goals / game - Carrarese · 0.79 goals / game - Palermo
Carrarese scores in 64% of games (18 of 28 meczów), while Palermo keeps a clean sheet in 46% (13 of 28 meczów).
Palermo scores in 79% of games (22 of 28 meczów), while Carrarese keeps a clean sheet in 32% (9 of 28 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Carrarese
Over / Under - Palermo
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Palermo is 94% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.96 pts / game - Carrarese · 1.86 pts / game - Palermo
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Carrarese - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 14% of games and wins 25%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Palermo - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 54% of games and wins 54%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +7 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Carrarese
Palermo
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Carrarese | Liga | Palermo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.68 | 2.52 | • 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 55% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 48% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 32% | 27% | ▲ 46% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 71% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 79% | 75% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Carrarese's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Palermo. Games average 5.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Carrarese vs Palermo?
The Serie B match finished Carrarese 0:1 Palermo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Carrarese vs Palermo?
Carrarese score 1.25 goals per game on average and Palermo 1.71. The Serie B average is 2.52 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Carrarese's matches and 43% of Palermo's.
What form are Carrarese and Palermo in?
Over the last 5 games Carrarese have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Palermo 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Carrarese vs Palermo?
The statistical background for Carrarese vs Palermo — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.