Carrick Rangers vs Crusaders: match statistics
Carrick Rangers are displaying significantly better form in their last five matches, averaging 1.4 points per game compared to Crusaders' mere 0.2 points. The hosts have a home goal difference of -3, while the visitors show a dramatic away goal difference of -17, indicating serious defensive issues. Crusaders have lost as many as 59% of their away matches and in their last five games, they have not secured a single victory, recording four defeats and one draw. Crusaders concede an average of 2.18 goals per away match, which, combined with their poor offensive efficiency (1.18 goals per game), makes them clear underdogs. Carrick Rangers, despite their not-so-impressive league position, should capitalize on their home advantage and the visitors' poor form to secure three points in this encounter.
Carrick Rangers vs Crusaders: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Carrick Rangers play Crusaders in NIFL Premiership (Northern Ireland). The match date is 28 March 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 6:1.
Current form
Carrick Rangers: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Crusaders: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Carrick Rangers scores 1.67 and concedes 1.56 goals per match. Crusaders scores 1.26 and concedes 2.13. League average: 2.94 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Carrick Rangers 67%, Crusaders 50%. Over 2.5: Carrick Rangers 62%, Crusaders 63%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Carrick Rangers has higher xG: 1.32 vs 1.25. Carrick Rangers: 9.7 shots per match, Crusaders: 9.7.
Match halves
Carrick Rangers: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.69. Crusaders: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.58.
Goals by minute
Carrick Rangers: 31-45+ (23 goals). Crusaders: 31-45+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NIFL Premiership: 2.94 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 1-1-1. Average goals 4.67, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Carrick Rangers are displaying significantly better form in their last five matches, averaging 1.4 points per game compared to Crusaders' mere 0.2 points. The hosts have a home goal difference of -3, while the visitors show a dramatic away goal difference of -17, indicating serious defensive issues. Crusaders have lost as many as 59% of their away matches and in their last five games, they have not secured a single victory, recording four defeats and one draw. Crusaders concede an average of 2.18 goals per away match, which, combined with their poor offensive efficiency (1.18 goals per game), makes them clear underdogs. Carrick Rangers, despite their not-so-impressive league position, should capitalize on their home advantage and the visitors' poor form to secure three points in this encounter.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Carrick Rangers | Crusaders | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Crusaders is 43% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Carrick Rangers · 2 pts / match - Crusaders
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Carrick Rangers is 33% better for: goals scored per match.
1.67 goals / match - Carrick Rangers · 1.26 goals / match - Crusaders
Carrick Rangers is 37% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.56 goals / match - Carrick Rangers · 2.13 goals / match - Crusaders
Carrick Rangers scores in 85% of matches (33 of 39 matches), while Crusaders keeps a clean sheet in 16% (6 of 38 matches).
Crusaders scores in 63% of matches (24 of 38 matches), while Carrick Rangers keeps a clean sheet in 21% (8 of 39 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Carrick Rangers
Over / Under — Crusaders
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Carrick Rangers is 29% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.46 pts / match - Carrick Rangers · 1.13 pts / match - Crusaders
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Carrick Rangers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Crusaders - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 26%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (23 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (24). Late-goal balance (76-90): -17 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Carrick Rangers
Crusaders
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NIFL Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Carrick Rangers | Liga | Crusaders | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.23 | 2.94 | ▲ 3.39 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 52% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 62% | 56% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 26% | ▼ 16% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 76% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 77% | 80% | ▲ 87% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Carrick Rangers 1 - 1 - 1 Crusaders. Average goals 4.67, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Carrick Rangers vs Crusaders?
The NIFL Premiership match finished Carrick Rangers 6:1 Crusaders. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Carrick Rangers and Crusaders?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Carrick Rangers won 1, Crusaders won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Carrick Rangers vs Crusaders?
Carrick Rangers score 1.67 goals per game on average and Crusaders 1.26. The NIFL Premiership average is 2.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Carrick Rangers's matches and 50% of Crusaders's.
What form are Carrick Rangers and Crusaders in?
Over the last 5 games Carrick Rangers have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Crusaders 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Carrick Rangers vs Crusaders?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Carrick Rangers vs Crusaders: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.