Northern Ireland - NIFL PremiershipBelfast Loughshore Hotel ArenaData current as of September 19, 2026

Carrick Rangers vs Larne: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Carrick Rangers vs Larne: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Carrick Rangers plays Larne in NIFL Premiership (Northern Ireland). The game is scheduled for September 19, 2026. Venue: Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena.

Recent form

Carrick Rangers has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Larne has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 2.60 points per game.

Scoring records

Carrick Rangers scores 1.29 goals per game and allows 1.14. Larne scores 1.40 and allows 0.20. Games in this league average 2.63 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 43% of Carrick Rangers's games and 20% of Larne's. The Over 2.5 rates are 43% and 20%, compared with league averages of 48% for BTTS and 53% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Larne has the higher season xG average, 1.71 to 1.45 per game. Carrick Rangers takes 12.0 shots per game, while Larne takes 12.0.

First-half and second-half trends

Carrick Rangers leads at halftime in 29% of its games and scores 0.71 goals per game after halftime. Larne leads at halftime in 40% and scores 0.80 after halftime.

When the teams score

Carrick Rangers's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (3 goals). For Larne, it is minutes 0-15 (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

NIFL Premiership games average 2.63 goals. Both teams score in 48% of games, and 53% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

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Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Carrick RangersLarne
1.29Goals scored / game1.4
Carrick RangersLarne
1.14Goals allowed / game0.2
Carrick RangersLarne
42%Average possession51%
Carrick RangersLarne
3.71Shots on target / game5.4
Carrick RangersLarne

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

12Shots per game12
Carrick RangersLarne
3.71Shots on target5.4
Carrick RangersLarne
10.7%Shot conversion11.7%
Carrick RangersLarne
42%Possession51%
Carrick RangersLarne
1.45xG for1.71
Carrick RangersLarne
1.34xG against0.68
Carrick RangersLarne

Shooting quality

Carrick Rangers: BalancedLarne: Balanced
Carrick RangersLarne
Accuracy (shots on target)31%45%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.350.26

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Larne is 225% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / game - Carrick Rangers · 2.6 pts / game - Larne

Carrick Rangers
LWLLD
Season result split
43% W14% D43% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-1-3
1.43 pts / game · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-0-2
Last 5 at home
1-0-2
WLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.37Opponent xG: 1.48BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Larne
DWWWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
80% W20% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / game · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-0
Last 5 away
1-1-0
DW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 0.2xG: 1.71Opponent xG: 0.68BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Larne is 9% better for: goals scored per game.

1.29 goals / game - Carrick Rangers · 1.4 goals / game - Larne

Larne is 470% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.14 goals / game - Carrick Rangers · 0.2 goals / game - Larne

Carrick Rangers scoring profile: more difficult

Carrick Rangers scores in 71% of games (5 of 7 games), while Larne keeps a clean sheet in 80% (4 of 5 games).

Larne scoring profile: very strong

Larne scores in 80% of games (4 of 5 games), while Carrick Rangers keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 games).

9Goals scored (season)7
Carrick RangersLarne
8Goals conceded (season)1
Carrick RangersLarne
2.43Average goals per game1.6
Carrick RangersLarne
6Goals scored (last 5)7
Carrick RangersLarne
7Goals conceded (last 5)1
Carrick RangersLarne

How often they score at least...

71%1 goal80%
Carrick RangersLarne
29%2 goals60%
Carrick RangersLarne
14%3 goals0%
Carrick RangersLarne
14%4 goals0%
Carrick RangersLarne

How often they concede at least...

71%1 goal20%
Carrick RangersLarne
29%2 goals0%
Carrick RangersLarne
14%3 goals0%
Carrick RangersLarne
0%4 goals0%
Carrick RangersLarne

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

14%BTTS at half-time0%
Carrick RangersLarne
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Carrick RangersLarne
14%Scored in both halves20%
Carrick RangersLarne

BTTS and goal count

29%Min. 3 goals and BTTS20%
Carrick RangersLarne
14%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Carrick RangersLarne
40%BTTS - last 520%
Carrick RangersLarne

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

43%Min. 1 goal before half-time40%
Carrick RangersLarne
29%Min. 2 goals before half-time20%
Carrick RangersLarne
14%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Carrick RangersLarne

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time60%
Carrick RangersLarne
43%Min. 2 goals after half-time20%
Carrick RangersLarne
14%Min. 3 goals after half-time20%
Carrick RangersLarne

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Larne is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.43 pts / game - Carrick Rangers · 1.8 pts / game - Larne

Carrick Rangers - half-time state
29% leading57% draw14% trailing
Larne - half-time state
40% leading60% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.43Points per game (1st half)1.8
Carrick RangersLarne
0.57Goals scored (1st half)0.6
Carrick RangersLarne
0.29Goals conceded (1st half)0
Carrick RangersLarne
0.86Average goals (1st half)0.6
Carrick RangersLarne
86%Clean sheet before half-time100%
Carrick RangersLarne
57%No goal before half-time60%
Carrick RangersLarne

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per game (2nd half)2.2
Carrick RangersLarne
0.71Goals scored (2nd half)0.8
Carrick RangersLarne
0.86Goals conceded (2nd half)0.2
Carrick RangersLarne
1.57Average goals (2nd half)1
Carrick RangersLarne
29%Clean sheet after half-time80%
Carrick RangersLarne
57%No goal after half-time40%
Carrick RangersLarne

Carrick Rangers - second-half results

29% W14% D57% L
10
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.43
PPG before half-time
Lead holding148%

Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 43%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.6

Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Larne - second-half results

60% W40% D0% L
9
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.80
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 80%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Carrick Rangers - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.200.80
Goals scored / game0.40.8
Goals allowed / game0.41.0
Average goals per game0.81.8
1 goal40%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference0-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Larne - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.802.20
Goals scored / game0.60.8
Goals allowed / game0.00.2
Average goals per game0.61.0
1 goal40%60%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet100%80%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+3+3
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Carrick Rangers
ScoredConceded
2
0
0-15
0
1
16-30
2
1
31-45
1
4
46-60
3
0
61-75
1
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Larne
ScoredConceded
2
0
0-15
0
0
16-30
1
0
31-45
2
0
46-60
1
0
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.02
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
0.7 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
77%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
32%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+65%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
57%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Carrick Rangers

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.11
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.04
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.16
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.20
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
108%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
80%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.63
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
11% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 22% come in the first quarter-hour.
11%

Larne

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.03
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.17
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.31
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.48
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
98%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
17%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 29% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NIFL Premiership).

Teams vs league

Carrick RangersLigaLarne
Average goals per game 2.432.63 1.60
Both teams scored 43%48% 20%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 43%53% 20%
Clean sheets 29%28% 80%
Goal before half-time 43%65% 40%
Goal after half-time 100%90% 60%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.63
Average goals per game
48%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.20
Home goals / game
1.43
Away goals / game
+-16%
Home attack advantage
+-19%
Home defensive advantage
+-2%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
65%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
90%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
0%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Carrick Rangers's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 2 losses against Larne. Games average 3.33 goals, and both teams scored in 67% of them.

FAQ

When do Carrick Rangers and Larne play?

Carrick Rangers face Larne on September 19, 2026 in NIFL Premiership at Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Carrick Rangers and Larne?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Carrick Rangers won 1, Larne won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Carrick Rangers vs Larne?

Carrick Rangers score 1.29 goals per game on average and Larne 1.40. The NIFL Premiership average is 2.63 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Carrick Rangers's matches and 20% of Larne's.

What form are Carrick Rangers and Larne in?

Over the last 5 games Carrick Rangers have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Larne 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Carrick Rangers vs Larne?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Carrick Rangers vs Larne: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.