Casa Pia vs CD Tondela: match statistics
Casa Pia vs CD Tondela: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Casa Pia play CD Tondela in Liga NOS (Portugal). The match date is 3 May 2026 at 16:30. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Casa Pia: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. CD Tondela: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Casa Pia scores 0.91 and concedes 1.68 goals per match. CD Tondela scores 0.79 and concedes 1.62. League average: 2.68 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Casa Pia 47%, CD Tondela 35%. Over 2.5: Casa Pia 44%, CD Tondela 50%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
CD Tondela has higher xG: 1.17 vs 1.00. Casa Pia: 8.8 shots per match, CD Tondela: 10.6.
Match halves
Casa Pia: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.44. CD Tondela: half-time lead 12%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Casa Pia: 31-45+ (8 goals). CD Tondela: 0-15 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga Portugal: 2.68 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I forecast a draw because Casa Pia averages 1.13 goals scored and concedes 1.6 goals per home match, with as many as 53% of home appearances ending in draws and only 13% wins. CD Tondela away averages just 0.8 goals scored and concedes 2.07 goals, and in the last 5 fixtures the visitors conceded 13 goals versus 7 conceded by Casa Pia, indicating greater defensive vulnerability at Tondela. Offensively both teams are inefficient — Casa Pia scored 3 goals in the last 5 matches, Tondela 4, and xG is 0.92 for the hosts versus 1.02 for the visitors, so scoring opportunities will be limited. The hosts convert shots better at home (15% vs 9% conversion for the visitors away) and have a lower share of goalless matches (Casa Pia 40% FTS vs Tondela 53% FTS), giving them an edge in isolated situations. However, both sides have only 0.4 points per game over the last 5 matches, so I expect a cautious, low-scoring contest with a draw being the most likely outcome.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Casa Pia | CD Tondela | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
CD Tondela is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Casa Pia · 1.4 pts / match - CD Tondela
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Casa Pia is 15% better for: goals scored per match.
0.91 goals / match - Casa Pia · 0.79 goals / match - CD Tondela
Casa Pia scores in 56% of matches (19 of 34 matches), while CD Tondela keeps a clean sheet in 21% (7 of 34 matches).
CD Tondela scores in 47% of matches (16 of 34 matches), while Casa Pia keeps a clean sheet in 21% (7 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Casa Pia
Over / Under — CD Tondela
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Casa Pia is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.18 pts / match - Casa Pia · 0.91 pts / match - CD Tondela
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Casa Pia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 18%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
CD Tondela - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 12% of matches and wins 18%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -10 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Casa Pia
CD Tondela
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).
Teams vs league
| Casa Pia | Liga | CD Tondela | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.59 | 2.68 | ▼ 2.41 |
| Both teams scored | • 47% | 48% | ▼ 35% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 54% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 29% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | • 68% | 69% | ▼ 56% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 80% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Casa Pia 1 - 0 - 0 CD Tondela. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Casa Pia vs CD Tondela?
The Liga NOS match finished Casa Pia 0:1 CD Tondela. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Casa Pia vs CD Tondela?
Casa Pia score 0.91 goals per game on average and CD Tondela 0.79. The Liga NOS average is 2.68 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Casa Pia's matches and 35% of CD Tondela's.
What form are Casa Pia and CD Tondela in?
Over the last 5 games Casa Pia have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and CD Tondela 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Casa Pia vs CD Tondela?
The statistical background for Casa Pia vs CD Tondela — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.