Casa Pia vs FC Arouca: match statistics
Casa Pia is in poor home form with only a 10% win rate at home and a -7 goal difference on their own ground. FC Arouca, despite better recent form (3 wins in their last 5 matches), has a problematic away record with a 50% loss rate and a -11 goal difference. Both teams are characterized by a similar average of goals scored per match (1.2), but also a high number of goals conceded. xG statistics indicate a slight advantage for the visitors (1.15 vs 0.9), however, Casa Pia's history of home draws (50% draws at home) and the balanced nature of both sides suggest a share of the points. The form of both teams and their defensive issues point towards an open, draw-prone encounter.
Casa Pia vs FC Arouca: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Casa Pia play FC Arouca in Liga NOS (Portugal). The match date is 14 February 2026 at 16:30. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Casa Pia: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. FC Arouca: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Casa Pia scores 0.91 and concedes 1.68 goals per match. FC Arouca scores 1.38 and concedes 1.88. League average: 2.68 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Casa Pia 47%, FC Arouca 56%. Over 2.5: Casa Pia 44%, FC Arouca 68%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
FC Arouca has higher xG: 1.20 vs 1.00. Casa Pia: 8.8 shots per match, FC Arouca: 10.7.
Match halves
Casa Pia: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.44. FC Arouca: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.85.
Goals by minute
Casa Pia: 31-45+ (8 goals). FC Arouca: 61-75 (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga Portugal: 2.68 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Casa Pia is in poor home form with only a 10% win rate at home and a -7 goal difference on their own ground. FC Arouca, despite better recent form (3 wins in their last 5 matches), has a problematic away record with a 50% loss rate and a -11 goal difference. Both teams are characterized by a similar average of goals scored per match (1.2), but also a high number of goals conceded. xG statistics indicate a slight advantage for the visitors (1.15 vs 0.9), however, Casa Pia's history of home draws (50% draws at home) and the balanced nature of both sides suggest a share of the points. The form of both teams and their defensive issues point towards an open, draw-prone encounter.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Casa Pia | FC Arouca | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
FC Arouca is 150% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Casa Pia · 2 pts / match - FC Arouca
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
FC Arouca is 52% better for: goals scored per match.
0.91 goals / match - Casa Pia · 1.38 goals / match - FC Arouca
Casa Pia is 12% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.68 goals / match - Casa Pia · 1.88 goals / match - FC Arouca
Casa Pia scores in 56% of matches (19 of 34 matches), while FC Arouca keeps a clean sheet in 21% (7 of 34 matches).
FC Arouca scores in 74% of matches (25 of 34 matches), while Casa Pia keeps a clean sheet in 21% (7 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Casa Pia
Over / Under — FC Arouca
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Casa Pia is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.18 pts / match - Casa Pia · 1.03 pts / match - FC Arouca
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Casa Pia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 18%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
FC Arouca - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (12 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Casa Pia
FC Arouca
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).
Teams vs league
| Casa Pia | Liga | FC Arouca | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.59 | 2.68 | ▲ 3.26 |
| Both teams scored | • 47% | 48% | ▲ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 54% | ▲ 68% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 29% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | • 68% | 69% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 80% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Casa Pia 1 - 0 - 0 FC Arouca. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Casa Pia vs FC Arouca?
The Liga NOS match finished Casa Pia 3:2 FC Arouca. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Casa Pia vs FC Arouca?
Casa Pia score 0.91 goals per game on average and FC Arouca 1.38. The Liga NOS average is 2.68 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Casa Pia's matches and 56% of FC Arouca's.
What form are Casa Pia and FC Arouca in?
Over the last 5 games Casa Pia have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and FC Arouca 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Casa Pia vs FC Arouca?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Casa Pia vs FC Arouca: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.