Italy - Serie C Group CStadio Angelo MassiminoData current as of October 16, 2026

Catania vs Crotone: match statistics

Catania crest
Catania
2 : 1half-time 0:1
Crotone crest
Crotone

Catania vs Crotone: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Catania played against Crotone in Serie C Group C (Italy). The game was played on October 3, 2026. Venue: Stadio Angelo Massimino. Final score: 2:1.

Recent form

Catania has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Crotone has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss, with 1.20 points per game.

Scoring records

Catania scores 1.71 goals per game and allows 1.29. Crotone scores 1.00 and allows 1.43. Games in this league average 2.78 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 57% of Catania's games and 57% of Crotone's. The Over 2.5 rates are 71% and 43%, compared with league averages of 52% for BTTS and 49% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Crotone has the higher season xG average, 1.73 to 1.62 per game. Catania takes 12.6 shots per game, while Crotone takes 15.7.

First-half and second-half trends

Catania leads at halftime in 43% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. Crotone leads at halftime in 29% and scores 0.43 after halftime.

When the teams score

Catania's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (3 goals). For Crotone, it is minutes 0-15 (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Serie C Group C games average 2.78 goals. Both teams score in 52% of games, and 49% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Catania have won 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring 11 goals, while Crotone have managed just 1 win, scoring 7 goals. At home, the hosts average 1.5 goals scored and 1 conceded, while the visitors average 1 goal scored and 1.33 conceded per away match. Shot conversion also favors Catania: 13% compared with Crotone’s 7%, although the visitors’ away xG is slightly higher than the hosts’ home xG (1.54 to 1.50). However, Crotone have yet to win any of their away matches and have not kept a clean sheet in them, strengthening the case for a home win. The risk of a draw remains significant, as 67% of Crotone’s away matches have ended level, while Catania have won only 25% of their home games.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

BTTS has landed in 50% of Catania’s matches and 67% of Crotone’s, rising to 60% and 80%, respectively, across their last five games. Neither team kept a clean sheet in any of the matches analyzed, increasing the likelihood that both will concede. Their attacking potential also supports goals: average xG stands at 1.87 for Catania and 1.54 for Crotone, while the teams scored an average of 2.2 and 1.4 goals, respectively, in their last five matches. The main risk for this market is the home side’s finishing, as they failed to score in 50% of their matches. Even so, the higher BTTS frequency in both teams’ recent form supports the BTTS - Yes pick.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

In their last five matches, Catania averaged 2.2 goals scored, while Crotone conceded 1.6, pointing to goals for the hosts. Crotone scored 1.4 goals per match over the same period, while the teams' average xG stood at 1.72 for Catania and 1.59 for Crotone, suggesting the visitors also have attacking potential. At least two goals were scored in 75% of Catania's home matches and 67% of Crotone's away matches. Over 1.5 goals is the stronger pick than Over 2.5, as the higher total has landed in only 50% of Catania's home matches and 33% of Crotone's away matches.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

The strongest signal is Catania leading at the break in 3 of their last 5 matches, while conceding an average of just 0.2 goals in first halves; Crotone failed to score before half-time in 3 of 5 matches over the same period. The hosts’ current form supports them holding on to their lead: they have won 3 of their last 5 matches and scored an average of 2.2 goals, while the visitors have won once and conceded an average of 1.6 goals. Catania also create more chances at home, averaging 1.87 xG compared with Crotone’s 1.54 away, and registering 5.25 shots on target against the visitors’ 4.33. The 1/1 pick remains only moderately reliable, however, as Catania have been level at half-time in 50% of their home matches to date, making X/1 a significant alternative.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Stats by half

0 : 1
First half
2 : 0
Second half

Game stats

58Possession (%)42
CataniaCrotone
23Shots12
CataniaCrotone
8Shots on target5
CataniaCrotone
0xG0
CataniaCrotone
8Corners3
CataniaCrotone
0Dangerous attacks0
CataniaCrotone
21Fouls17
CataniaCrotone
2Cards1
CataniaCrotone

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.71Goals scored / game1
CataniaCrotone
1.29Goals allowed / game1.43
CataniaCrotone
55%Average possession54%
CataniaCrotone
4.86Shots on target / game4.86
CataniaCrotone

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

12.57Shots per game15.71
CataniaCrotone
4.86Shots on target4.86
CataniaCrotone
13.6%Shot conversion6.4%
CataniaCrotone
55%Possession54%
CataniaCrotone
1.62xG for1.73
CataniaCrotone
1.19xG against1.29
CataniaCrotone

Shooting quality

Catania: Efficient finishingCrotone: Attacking
CataniaCrotone
Accuracy (shots on target)39%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.350.21

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Catania is 67% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / game - Catania · 1.2 pts / game - Crotone

Catania
WLWDW
Season result split
43% W14% D43% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-1-3
1.43 pts / game · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-1-2
Last 5 at home
1-1-2
LWLD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.72Opponent xG: 1.10BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Crotone
DDLDW
Season result split
14% W43% D43% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-3-3
0.86 pts / game · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
0-2-1
Last 5 away
0-2-1
LDD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.65Opponent xG: 1.47BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Catania is 71% better for: goals scored per game.

1.71 goals / game - Catania · 1 goals / game - Crotone

Catania is 11% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.29 goals / game - Catania · 1.43 goals / game - Crotone

Catania scoring profile: very strong

Catania scores in 71% of games (5 of 7 games), while Crotone keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 7 games).

Crotone scoring profile: strong

Crotone scores in 57% of games (4 of 7 games), while Catania keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 games).

12Goals scored (season)7
CataniaCrotone
9Goals conceded (season)10
CataniaCrotone
3Average goals per game2.43
CataniaCrotone
11Goals scored (last 5)7
CataniaCrotone
5Goals conceded (last 5)8
CataniaCrotone

How often they score at least...

71%1 goal57%
CataniaCrotone
43%2 goals43%
CataniaCrotone
29%3 goals0%
CataniaCrotone
29%4 goals0%
CataniaCrotone

How often they concede at least...

71%1 goal100%
CataniaCrotone
57%2 goals43%
CataniaCrotone
0%3 goals0%
CataniaCrotone
0%4 goals0%
CataniaCrotone

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time29%
CataniaCrotone
0%BTTS in both halves0%
CataniaCrotone
43%Scored in both halves0%
CataniaCrotone

BTTS and goal count

57%Min. 3 goals and BTTS43%
CataniaCrotone
14%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
CataniaCrotone
60%BTTS - last 580%
CataniaCrotone

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

86%Min. 1 goal before half-time57%
CataniaCrotone
29%Min. 2 goals before half-time29%
CataniaCrotone
14%Min. 3 goals before half-time29%
CataniaCrotone

2nd half

86%Min. 1 goal after half-time71%
CataniaCrotone
57%Min. 2 goals after half-time29%
CataniaCrotone
29%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%
CataniaCrotone

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Catania is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.43 pts / game - Catania · 1.29 pts / game - Crotone

Catania - half-time state
43% leading14% draw43% trailing
Crotone - half-time state
29% leading43% draw29% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.43Points per game (1st half)1.29
CataniaCrotone
0.71Goals scored (1st half)0.57
CataniaCrotone
0.57Goals conceded (1st half)0.57
CataniaCrotone
1.29Average goals (1st half)1.14
CataniaCrotone
57%Clean sheet before half-time43%
CataniaCrotone
57%No goal before half-time71%
CataniaCrotone

After half-time (2nd half)

1.29Points per game (2nd half)0.86
CataniaCrotone
1Goals scored (2nd half)0.43
CataniaCrotone
0.71Goals conceded (2nd half)0.86
CataniaCrotone
1.71Average goals (2nd half)1.29
CataniaCrotone
43%Clean sheet after half-time43%
CataniaCrotone
29%No goal after half-time71%
CataniaCrotone

Catania - second-half results

29% W43% D29% L
10
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.43
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 43% of games and wins 43%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Crotone - second-half results

14% W43% D43% L
9
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.29
PPG before half-time
Lead holding48%

Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 14%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Catania - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.001.20
Goals scored / game1.01.2
Goals allowed / game0.20.8
Average goals per game1.22.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+4+2
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 5
Crotone - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.601.00
Goals scored / game0.80.6
Goals allowed / game0.61.0
Average goals per game1.41.6
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+1-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Catania
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
1
2
16-30
3
2
31-45
3
2
46-60
2
1
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Crotone
ScoredConceded
2
0
0-15
1
3
16-30
1
1
31-45
0
1
46-60
2
4
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.71
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.6 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
98%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
57%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-26%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
40%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
12%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Catania

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.43
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.01
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.09
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.10
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
106%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
111%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.57
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

Crotone

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.44
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.87
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.73
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.14
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
86%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
88%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.34
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 29% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group C).

Teams vs league

CataniaLigaCrotone
Average goals per game▲ 3.002.78▼ 2.43
Both teams scored▲ 57%52%▲ 57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 71%49%▼ 43%
Clean sheets• 29%29%▼ 0%
Goal before half-time▲ 86%74%▼ 57%
Goal after half-time▲ 86%73%▼ 71%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.78
Average goals per game
52%
Both teams scored
49%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.62
Home goals / game
1.16
Away goals / game
+40%
Home attack advantage
+28%
Home defensive advantage
+22%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
26%
3 goals
12%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. CrotoneGoalMarco Zunno
  2. CrotoneYellow cardKevin Barcella
  3. CataniaYellow cardAlessandro Quaini
  4. CataniaYellow cardNicolò Cavuoti
  5. CrotoneSubstitutionOn: Cristian AndreoniOff: Francesco Crapisto
  6. CrotoneSubstitutionOn: Zak RuggieroOff: Filippo Grosso
  7. CataniaSubstitutionOn: Michael LiguoriOff: Edoardo Masciangelo
  8. CataniaGoalMassimo Coda

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Record from Catania's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss against Crotone. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

FAQ

What was the result of Catania vs Crotone?

The Serie C Group C match finished Catania 2:1 Crotone. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Catania and Crotone?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Catania won 1, Crotone won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Catania vs Crotone?

Catania score 1.71 goals per game on average and Crotone 1.00. The Serie C Group C average is 2.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Catania's matches and 57% of Crotone's.

What form are Catania and Crotone in?

Over the last 5 games Catania have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Crotone 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Catania vs Crotone?

The statistical background for Catania vs Crotone — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.