CD El Nacional vs Atlético JBG: match statistics
CD El Nacional vs Atlético JBG: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
CD El Nacional play Atlético JBG in Primera Categoría Serie B (Ecuador). The match date is 17 April 2026 at 02:00. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
CD El Nacional: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Atlético JBG: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
CD El Nacional scores 0.59 and concedes 1.71 goals per match. Atlético JBG scores 1.25 and concedes 0.75. League average: 1.97 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: CD El Nacional 59%, Atlético JBG 50%. Over 2.5: CD El Nacional 47%, Atlético JBG 38%. League level: BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 35%.
xG, shots and style
CD El Nacional has higher xG: 1.32 vs 0.96. CD El Nacional: 9.8 shots per match, Atlético JBG: 6.3.
Match halves
CD El Nacional: half-time lead 6%, second-half goals 0.35. Atlético JBG: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
CD El Nacional: 76-90+ (3 goals). Atlético JBG: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera Categoría Serie B: 1.97 goals per match, BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 35%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Atlético JBG is the clear favorite: in the last 5 matches they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss and average 2.0 points per match, while CD El Nacional have 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses and only 0.2 points per match. In attack the visitors score an average of 2.0 goals per away match and have 6 goals this season, whereas the hosts score only 0.5 goals per home match and have 3 goals this season. The visitors’ efficiency is significantly higher: Atlético converts 31% of attempts and averages 4 shots on target per match with 0% matches without a goal, while El Nacional have 6% conversion, 3.5 shots on target per match and 50% of matches without scoring. Although the hosts’ average xG at home is 1.33 versus 0.98 for the visitors, El Nacional fail to turn that into goals (0.5 goals per match) and have conceded 11 goals in the last 5 matches compared to Atlético’s 5 conceded, indicating greater defensive vulnerability for the hosts. Considering the form gap (2.0 vs 0.2 points), the advantage in efficiency (31%–6%) and the fact that the visitors regularly score (0% FTS), I predict an Atlético JBG victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| CD El Nacional | Atlético JBG | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.16 | 0.50 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Atlético JBG is 1000% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - CD El Nacional · 2.2 pts / match - Atlético JBG
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlético JBG is 112% better for: goals scored per match.
0.59 goals / match - CD El Nacional · 1.25 goals / match - Atlético JBG
Atlético JBG is 128% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.71 goals / match - CD El Nacional · 0.75 goals / match - Atlético JBG
CD El Nacional scores in 59% of matches (10 of 17 matches), while Atlético JBG keeps a clean sheet in 44% (7 of 16 matches).
Atlético JBG scores in 75% of matches (12 of 16 matches), while CD El Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 6% (1 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — CD El Nacional
Over / Under — Atlético JBG
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlético JBG is 179% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.47 pts / match - CD El Nacional · 1.31 pts / match - Atlético JBG
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
CD El Nacional - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 6% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Atlético JBG - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
CD El Nacional
Atlético JBG
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera Categoría Serie B).
Teams vs league
| CD El Nacional | Liga | Atlético JBG | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.29 | 1.97 | • 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 59% | 41% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 47% | 35% | ▲ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 6% | 38% | ▲ 44% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 76% | 58% | ▼ 56% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 76% | 61% | ▲ 63% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: CD El Nacional 0 - 0 - 1 Atlético JBG. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of CD El Nacional vs Atlético JBG?
The Primera Categoría Serie B match finished CD El Nacional 1:1 Atlético JBG. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before CD El Nacional vs Atlético JBG?
CD El Nacional score 0.59 goals per game on average and Atlético JBG 1.25. The Primera Categoría Serie B average is 1.97 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 59% of CD El Nacional's matches and 50% of Atlético JBG's.
What form are CD El Nacional and Atlético JBG in?
Over the last 5 games CD El Nacional have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Atlético JBG 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for CD El Nacional vs Atlético JBG?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.