CD Feirense vs Felgueiras 1932: match statistics

Felgueiras 1932 have shown significantly better form in their last five matches, winning 3 games, scoring 9 goals and conceding just 4. Over the same period, CD Feirense managed only 1 victory, scored 5 goals and conceded 8. The visitors are averaging 1.8 goals per game in this run, compared with just 1.0 for the hosts, highlighting Felgueiras’ greater attacking consistency. The difference without the ball is equally important: Felgueiras are conceding an average of 0.8 goals per match, compared with 1.6 for Feirense. With three wins in their last five matches, the visitors have the best chance of taking all three points, although Feirense’s two draws in this run leave a significant possibility of a share of the spoils.

The signal for both teams to score is driven primarily by recent form: both CD Feirense and Felgueiras 1932 recorded BTTS in 60% of their five previous matches. Feirense conceded an average of 1.6 goals per game during this period, while Felgueiras scored as many as 1.8, clearly increasing the visitors’ chances of finding the net. The hosts averaged only 1.0 goal per match, but the Felgueiras defense allowed opponents an average xG of 1.39, compared with Feirense’s xG of 1.22. Felgueiras conceded just 4 goals in five matches, so the BTTS - Yes scenario does not have a significant edge; however, the combination of Feirense’s defensive vulnerability and the hosts’ decent attacking potential makes BTTS - Yes the slight preference.

Data from the last five matches indicates that Feirense scored an average of 1.0 goals and conceded 1.6, while Felgueiras averaged 1.8 goals scored and conceded just 0.8. The hosts had Over 2.5 goals in 80% of these matches, but the figure for the visitors is only 40%, which limits the strength of the signal for a high-scoring game. The average xG for both teams over their last five matches is moderate, at 1.22 for Feirense and 1.15 for Felgueiras, while the projected total of 2.45 goals remains clearly below the 3.5 line. Both teams scored in 60% of their last five matches, but their profiles support a total in the 2–3 goals range more strongly than four or more. Therefore, the safest selection is Under 3.5 goals, with a probability estimate of 75%.

The latest form clearly favors Felgueiras: the visitors have won 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 1.8 goals and conceding just 0.8, while Feirense have recorded only 1 win, with an average of 1.0 goal scored and 1.6 conceded per match. At half-time, Felgueiras were level in 60% of these games, while Feirense were leading, drawing and trailing after 45 minutes in 40%, 20% and 40% of their matches respectively, supporting a cautious first-half draw option. After the break, the visitors scored an average of 1.0 goal and conceded none, earning 2.2 points per match in this period; the hosts scored just 0.4 goals and conceded 1.0. Moreover, Felgueiras kept a clean sheet after half-time in 100% of their last five matches, making a draw at half-time followed by an away win at the final whistle the most likely HT/FT outcome.