CD Nacional vs Casa Pia: match statistics
CD Nacional has a clear home advantage, which is confirmed by their 33% win rate at home and a better goal difference in home matches (-1) compared to Casa Pia's away record (-10). The hosts score an average of 1.78 goals per home match, while the visitors concede an average of 2 goals away, highlighting Casa Pia's defensive vulnerability. xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.27 vs 1.02), and Casa Pia has failed to score in as many as 40% of their away matches. Both teams' form in their last five matches is average, but Casa Pia has only a 30% win rate away from home compared to 56% losses, making them a difficult opponent for the hosts to overcome. Considering all factors, I expect a closely contested match with a slight edge for CD Nacional, although a draw is also a realistic scenario due to both teams' low efficiency.
CD Nacional vs Casa Pia: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
CD Nacional played against Casa Pia in Liga NOS (Portugal). The game was played on February 8, 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Recent form
CD Nacional has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Casa Pia has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
CD Nacional scores 1.35 goals per game and allows 1.50. Casa Pia scores 1.10 and allows 1.95. Games in this league average 2.78 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 65% of CD Nacional's games and 50% of Casa Pia's. The Over 2.5 rates are 55% and 55%, compared with league averages of 45% for BTTS and 55% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
CD Nacional has the higher season xG average, 1.29 to 0.96 per game. CD Nacional takes 11.6 shots per game, while Casa Pia takes 8.4.
First-half and second-half trends
CD Nacional leads at halftime in 30% of its games and scores 0.80 goals per game after halftime. Casa Pia leads at halftime in 25% and scores 0.65 after halftime.
When the teams score
CD Nacional's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). For Casa Pia, it is minutes 61-75 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Liga Portugal games average 2.78 goals. Both teams score in 45% of games, and 55% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
CD Nacional has a clear home advantage, which is confirmed by their 33% win rate at home and a better goal difference in home matches (-1) compared to Casa Pia's away record (-10). The hosts score an average of 1.78 goals per home match, while the visitors concede an average of 2 goals away, highlighting Casa Pia's defensive vulnerability. xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.27 vs 1.02), and Casa Pia has failed to score in as many as 40% of their away matches. Both teams' form in their last five matches is average, but Casa Pia has only a 30% win rate away from home compared to 56% losses, making them a difficult opponent for the hosts to overcome. Considering all factors, I expect a closely contested match with a slight edge for CD Nacional, although a draw is also a realistic scenario due to both teams' low efficiency.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| CD Nacional | Casa Pia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Casa Pia is 25% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - CD Nacional · 1 pts / game - Casa Pia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
CD Nacional is 23% better for: goals scored per game.
1.35 goals / game - CD Nacional · 1.1 goals / game - Casa Pia
CD Nacional is 30% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.5 goals / game - CD Nacional · 1.95 goals / game - Casa Pia
CD Nacional scores in 80% of games (16 of 20 meczów), while Casa Pia keeps a clean sheet in 15% (3 of 20 meczów).
Casa Pia scores in 60% of games (12 of 20 meczów), while CD Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 15% (3 of 20 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - CD Nacional
Over / Under - Casa Pia
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
CD Nacional is 29% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.35 pts / game - CD Nacional · 1.05 pts / game - Casa Pia
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
CD Nacional - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 25%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Casa Pia - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 20%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -5 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
CD Nacional
Casa Pia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).
Teams vs league
| CD Nacional | Liga | Casa Pia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.85 | 2.78 | ▲ 3.05 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 45% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 55% | 55% | • 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 30% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 70% | 72% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 78% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from CD Nacional's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Casa Pia. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of CD Nacional vs Casa Pia?
The Liga NOS match finished CD Nacional 0:0 Casa Pia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before CD Nacional vs Casa Pia?
CD Nacional score 1.35 goals per game on average and Casa Pia 1.10. The Liga NOS average is 2.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 65% of CD Nacional's matches and 50% of Casa Pia's.
What form are CD Nacional and Casa Pia in?
Over the last 5 games CD Nacional have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Casa Pia 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for CD Nacional vs Casa Pia?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for CD Nacional vs Casa Pia: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.