CD Nacional vs Estrela Amadora: match statistics
CD Nacional vs Estrela Amadora: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
CD Nacional played against Estrela Amadora in Liga NOS (Portugal). The game was played on August 30, 2026. Venue: Estádio da Madeira. Final score: 2:3.
Recent form
CD Nacional has 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.33 points per game. Estrela Amadora has 0 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
CD Nacional scores 1.33 goals per game and allows 1.00. Estrela Amadora scores 2.00 and allows 2.00. Games in this league average 2.82 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 33% of CD Nacional's games and 100% of Estrela Amadora's. The Over 2.5 rates are 33% and 100%, compared with league averages of 43% for BTTS and 50% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
CD Nacional has the higher season xG average, 1.25 to 1.16 per game. CD Nacional takes 12.3 shots per game, while Estrela Amadora takes 9.0.
First-half and second-half trends
CD Nacional leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 0.67 goals per game after halftime. Estrela Amadora leads at halftime in 0% and scores 2.00 after halftime.
When the teams score
CD Nacional's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (2 goals). For Estrela Amadora, it is minutes 61-75 (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Liga Portugal games average 2.82 goals. Both teams score in 43% of games, and 50% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
CD Nacional have a clearly superior record across their last five matches: they have collected 8 points from 2 wins, 2 draws and just 1 defeat, while Estrela Amadora have managed only 4 points and are yet to win a match. At home, Nacional have won 100% of their matches so far, averaging 2 goals scored and having yet to concede, with an xG of 1.90. Estrela also average 2 goals per away match, but concede as many as 2 per game, have yet to keep a clean sheet, and their attacking xG stands at just 1.33. The visitors can be clinical in front of goal, recording 7 shots on target per match compared with Nacional’s 3; however, their defense has conceded 9 goals in their last five appearances. The hosts’ advantage in game control, with average possession of 59% compared with 54%, combined with a considerably stronger defensive profile, points towards a CD Nacional victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The early-season data strongly point towards goals at both ends: CD Nacional and Estrela Amadora have recorded BTTS in 100% of their matches, and neither side has kept a clean sheet. Estrela creates more danger, averaging 7 shots on target compared with the hosts’ 3, while its xG stands at 1.33 versus Nacional’s 0.98. At the same time, Nacional’s defense allows opponents an xG of 1.85, whereas Estrela has conceded an average of 1.8 goals per match across its last five fixtures. However, the signal is not entirely clear, as Nacional recorded BTTS in only 20% of its last five matches and conceded just 0.6 goals per game. Despite this improvement from the hosts, Estrela’s defensive vulnerability and its 80% BTTS rate in its last five appearances slightly shift the prediction towards a scenario in which both teams score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams have scored and conceded an average of 2.0 goals in their league matches so far, with each side exceeding the 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goal lines in 100% of their games. Estrela Amadora pose a greater threat in the final third, averaging 10 shots and as many as 7 on target, compared with Nacional’s 8 shots and 3 on target. However, the hosts’ record over their last five matches has been more conservative, with 1.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game, which is why the 2.5 line remains finely balanced despite 80% of Estrela’s matches going Over this mark. The model projects 1.31 goals for Nacional and 1.30 for Estrela, giving a total of 2.61, so the safest edge is with Over 1.5 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome, as both teams were level after 45 minutes in 80% of their last five matches, while their average first-half goals total is only 1.0 each. However, CD Nacional are showing clearly better current form: they are averaging 1.6 points per game compared with Estrela’s 0.8, have won 40% of their last five matches, while the visitors have not won any. After the break, the hosts have conceded no goals on average in their last five matches and kept a clean sheet in the second half in 100% of those games, whereas Estrela concede an average of 1.4 goals after half-time. Nacional’s advantage is also supported defensively, as they have conceded an average of 0.6 goals per match across their last five games, compared with 1.8 for the visitors. The most logical scenario is therefore a cautious, level first half, followed by the hosts exploiting Estrela’s defensive weakness and winning the match.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| CD Nacional | Estrela Amadora | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 19% | 56% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.57 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
CD Nacional is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.33 pts / game - CD Nacional · 1 pts / game - Estrela Amadora
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Estrela Amadora is 50% better for: goals scored per game.
1.33 goals / game - CD Nacional · 2 goals / game - Estrela Amadora
CD Nacional is 100% better for: goals allowed per game.
1 goals / game - CD Nacional · 2 goals / game - Estrela Amadora
CD Nacional scores in 67% of games (2 of 3 meczów), while Estrela Amadora keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 2 meczów).
Estrela Amadora scores in 100% of games (2 of 2 meczów), while CD Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - CD Nacional
Over / Under - Estrela Amadora
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Estrela Amadora is 49% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.67 pts / game - CD Nacional · 1 pts / game - Estrela Amadora
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
CD Nacional - second-half results
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Estrela Amadora - second-half results
Allows 2.0 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.67 | 1.67 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.7 | 0.7 |
| 1 goal | 67% | 33% |
| 2 goals | 33% | 33% |
| 3 goals | 33% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 33% | 100% |
| No goal | 67% | 67% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 2.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 2.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.0 | 4.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 100% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 0% |
| No goal | 100% | 0% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
CD Nacional
Estrela Amadora
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).
Teams vs league
| CD Nacional | Liga | Estrela Amadora | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.33 | 2.82 | ▲ 4.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 43% | ▲ 100% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 50% | ▲ 100% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 29% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 71% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 33% | 71% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from CD Nacional's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses against Estrela Amadora. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of CD Nacional vs Estrela Amadora?
The Liga NOS match finished CD Nacional 2:3 Estrela Amadora. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between CD Nacional and Estrela Amadora?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches CD Nacional won 1, Estrela Amadora won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before CD Nacional vs Estrela Amadora?
CD Nacional score 1.33 goals per game on average and Estrela Amadora 2.00. The Liga NOS average is 2.82 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 33% of CD Nacional's matches and 100% of Estrela Amadora's.
What form are CD Nacional and Estrela Amadora in?
Over the last 5 games CD Nacional have a 1-1-1 record (1.33 points per game) and Estrela Amadora 0-2-0 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for CD Nacional vs Estrela Amadora?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.