Brazil - Serie BEstádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo CasteloData current as of October 16, 2026

Ceará vs Criciúma: match statistics

Ceará crest
Ceará
1 : 0half-time 0:0
Criciúma crest
Criciúma

Ceará vs Criciúma: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Ceará played against Criciúma in Serie B (Brazil). The game was played on October 8, 2026. Venue: Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo. Final score: 1:0.

Recent form

Ceará has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Criciúma has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.

Scoring records

Ceará scores 1.10 goals per game and allows 1.26. Criciúma scores 1.06 and allows 0.87. Games in this league average 2.34 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 55% of Ceará's games and 35% of Criciúma's. The Over 2.5 rates are 39% and 23%, compared with league averages of 47% for BTTS and 44% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

The teams have nearly identical season xG averages at 1.52 per game. Ceará takes 13.8 shots per game, while Criciúma takes 14.3.

First-half and second-half trends

Ceará leads at halftime in 16% of its games and scores 0.74 goals per game after halftime. Criciúma leads at halftime in 39% and scores 0.58 after halftime.

When the teams score

Ceará's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). For Criciúma, it is minutes 46-60 (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Serie B games average 2.34 goals. Both teams score in 47% of games, and 44% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Although Criciúma sit 5th and Ceará 15th, the home and away stats give the hosts a slight edge. Ceará win 47% of their home games and score an average of 1.27 goals, while Criciúma win 40% of their away games and average 1 goal. The hosts also create more chances: their average home xG is 1.66, compared with 1.30 for the visitors away from home, while both teams concede an average of 1.13 goals in these conditions. In their last five matches, Ceará have collected 8 points and conceded 6 goals, while Criciúma have taken 6 points and conceded 8. The visitors’ stronger overall season record calls for caution, but Ceará’s edge in chance creation and recent form tips the prediction slightly in their favor.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

The strongest signal that at least one team will fail to score is Ceará’s defensive record at home: they concede an average of 0.63 goals and keep a clean sheet in 56% of matches. Criciúma score an average of 1.00 goals away from home, and both teams have not scored in any of their last 5 matches. Ceará’s home matches have seen both teams score in just 25% of cases, compared with 47% of Criciúma’s away matches. The main risk to this pick is Ceará’s recent run, in which both sides scored in 80% of matches, and Criciúma’s xG of 1.76 over their last 5 games. Even so, the hosts’ season results and effective home defense support the BTTS - No pick.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

The strongest signal is Under 3.5 goals: this line has not been exceeded in 94% of Ceará's home matches and 87% of Criciúma's away games. The hosts concede an average of just 0.63 goals at home and keep a clean sheet in 56% of matches, limiting the visitors' scoring potential. Ceará average 1.13 goals at home, while Criciúma average 1.00 away; the league average of 2.34 goals also points against a high-scoring game. Ceará's last five matches have been more open, averaging 2.6 goals, with three games going Over 2.5, so I remain cautious about taking the lower line. A projected total of 2.05 goals gives the strongest edge to Under 3.5 goals.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

A draw at half-time is the most likely starting point: Ceará have not led at the break in any of their last five matches, while Criciúma were level at half-time in three of their five and failed to score in the first half in those games. Over the full season, the hosts led at the break in 50% of their matches, so an early lead remains a realistic alternative, but their recent results weaken that signal. Ceará’s case for victory is supported by an average xG of 1.73 compared with 1.30 for the visitors, and a win rate of 56% versus 40%. The second half is particularly significant: in their last five matches, the hosts averaged 1.2 goals after the break and won the second half in 80% of games, while Criciúma conceded an average of 1.0 goals. Therefore, a half-time draw followed by a Ceará win has the strongest support, combining current form with the hosts’ season-long advantage.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Stats by half

0 : 0
First half
1 : 0
Second half

Game stats

50Possession (%)50
CearáCriciúma
16Shots15
CearáCriciúma
3Shots on target1
CearáCriciúma
1.63xG1.32
CearáCriciúma
5Corners6
CearáCriciúma
56Dangerous attacks41
CearáCriciúma
16Fouls17
CearáCriciúma
0Cards3
CearáCriciúma

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.1Goals scored / game1.06
CearáCriciúma
1.26Goals allowed / game0.87
CearáCriciúma
51%Average possession53%
CearáCriciúma
4.35Shots on target / game3.77
CearáCriciúma

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

13.77Shots per game14.26
CearáCriciúma
4.35Shots on target3.77
CearáCriciúma
8%Shot conversion7.5%
CearáCriciúma
51%Possession53%
CearáCriciúma
1.52xG for1.52
CearáCriciúma
1.46xG against1.28
CearáCriciúma

Shooting quality

Ceará: BalancedCriciúma: Attacking
CearáCriciúma
Accuracy (shots on target)32%26%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.250.28

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Ceará is 33% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / game - Ceará · 1.2 pts / game - Criciúma

Ceará
LDWDW
Season result split
32% W29% D39% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-9-12
1.26 pts / game · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-3-5
Last 5 at home
4-0-1
WLWWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.63Opponent xG: 1.61BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Criciúma
LLLWW
Season result split
48% W26% D26% L
Season (W-D-L)
15-8-8
1.71 pts / game · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
6-4-5
Last 5 away
1-1-3
LDLLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.76Opponent xG: 1.01BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Criciúma is 45% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.26 goals / game - Ceará · 0.87 goals / game - Criciúma

Ceará scoring profile: mixed

Ceará scores in 68% of games (21 of 31 games), while Criciúma keeps a clean sheet in 45% (14 of 31 games).

Criciúma scoring profile: very strong

Criciúma scores in 74% of games (23 of 31 games), while Ceará keeps a clean sheet in 19% (6 of 31 games).

34Goals scored (season)33
CearáCriciúma
39Goals conceded (season)27
CearáCriciúma
2.35Average goals per game1.94
CearáCriciúma
7Goals scored (last 5)5
CearáCriciúma
6Goals conceded (last 5)8
CearáCriciúma

How often they score at least...

68%1 goal74%
CearáCriciúma
32%2 goals26%
CearáCriciúma
6%3 goals6%
CearáCriciúma
3%4 goals0%
CearáCriciúma

How often they concede at least...

81%1 goal55%
CearáCriciúma
35%2 goals23%
CearáCriciúma
10%3 goals6%
CearáCriciúma
0%4 goals3%
CearáCriciúma

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

13%BTTS at half-time6%
CearáCriciúma
0%BTTS in both halves3%
CearáCriciúma
6%Scored in both halves19%
CearáCriciúma

BTTS and goal count

39%Min. 3 goals and BTTS16%
CearáCriciúma
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
CearáCriciúma
80%BTTS - last 50%
CearáCriciúma

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

68%Min. 1 goal before half-time65%
CearáCriciúma
19%Min. 2 goals before half-time13%
CearáCriciúma
6%Min. 3 goals before half-time3%
CearáCriciúma

2nd half

77%Min. 1 goal after half-time74%
CearáCriciúma
39%Min. 2 goals after half-time35%
CearáCriciúma
13%Min. 3 goals after half-time3%
CearáCriciúma

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Criciúma is 78% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.87 pts / game - Ceará · 1.55 pts / game - Criciúma

Ceará - half-time state
16% leading39% draw45% trailing
Criciúma - half-time state
39% leading39% draw23% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.87Points per game (1st half)1.55
CearáCriciúma
0.35Goals scored (1st half)0.48
CearáCriciúma
0.61Goals conceded (1st half)0.32
CearáCriciúma
0.97Average goals (1st half)0.81
CearáCriciúma
45%Clean sheet before half-time74%
CearáCriciúma
74%No goal before half-time55%
CearáCriciúma

After half-time (2nd half)

1.45Points per game (2nd half)1.26
CearáCriciúma
0.74Goals scored (2nd half)0.58
CearáCriciúma
0.65Goals conceded (2nd half)0.55
CearáCriciúma
1.39Average goals (2nd half)1.13
CearáCriciúma
52%Clean sheet after half-time52%
CearáCriciúma
52%No goal after half-time52%
CearáCriciúma

Ceará - second-half results

39% W29% D32% L
27
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
-8
Goal difference (1st half)
45
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.87
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at halftime in 16% of games and wins 32%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Criciúma - second-half results

26% W48% D26% L
48
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
39
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.55
PPG before half-time
Lead holding123%

Leads at halftime in 39% of games and wins 48%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Ceará - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.202.60
Goals scored / game0.21.2
Goals allowed / game1.00.2
Average goals per game1.21.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet20%80%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-4+5
Half-time: 0% leading - 20% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Criciúma - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.601.20
Goals scored / game0.01.0
Goals allowed / game0.61.0
Average goals per game0.62.0
1 goal40%100%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal100%60%
Goal difference-30
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 0% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Ceará
ScoredConceded
2
7
0-15
2
7
16-30
7
5
31-45
4
9
46-60
9
5
61-75
10
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Criciúma
ScoredConceded
7
3
0-15
4
2
16-30
4
5
31-45
8
6
46-60
3
4
61-75
7
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.15
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.0 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
92%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
45%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-7%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
50%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Ceará

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.06
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.22
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.42
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.20
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
81%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
126%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.34
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

Criciúma

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.24
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.05
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.46
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.41
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
106%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
64%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.51
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 21% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).

Teams vs league

CearáLigaCriciúma
Average goals per game• 2.352.34▼ 1.94
Both teams scored▲ 55%47%▼ 35%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 39%44%▼ 23%
Clean sheets▼ 19%31%▲ 45%
Goal before half-time• 68%67%▼ 65%
Goal after half-time▲ 77%75%• 74%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.34
Average goals per game
47%
Both teams scored
44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
31%
Clean sheets
1.35
Home goals / game
1.00
Away goals / game
+35%
Home attack advantage
+26%
Home defensive advantage
+17%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. CriciúmaYellow cardMarcelo Hermes
  2. CriciúmaYellow cardRodrigo Fagundes de Freitas
  3. CriciúmaYellow cardRonald dos Santos Lopes

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Record from Ceará's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Criciúma. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

FAQ

What was the result of Ceará vs Criciúma?

The Serie B match finished Ceará 1:0 Criciúma. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Ceará vs Criciúma?

Ceará score 1.10 goals per game on average and Criciúma 1.06. The Serie B average is 2.34 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Ceará's matches and 35% of Criciúma's.

What form are Ceará and Criciúma in?

Over the last 5 games Ceará have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Criciúma 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ceará vs Criciúma?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.