Ceará vs Náutico: match statistics
Ceará vs Náutico: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ceará play Náutico in Serie B (Brazil). The match date is 12 April 2026 at 01:30. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Ceará: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Náutico: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ceará scores 0.89 and concedes 1.17 goals per match. Náutico scores 1.22 and concedes 1.28. League average: 2.27 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ceará 50%, Náutico 33%. Over 2.5: Ceará 28%, Náutico 39%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 42%.
xG, shots and style
Náutico has higher xG: 1.77 vs 1.48. Ceará: 13.4 shots per match, Náutico: 16.6.
Match halves
Ceará: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.44. Náutico: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.89.
Goals by minute
Ceará: 31-45+ (5 goals). Náutico: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.27 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 42%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
Ceará clearly dominates in chance creation: on average 21 shots and 6 on target with xG 2.14 in home matches versus 9 shots, 4 on target and xG 1.12 for Náutico (xG difference = 1.02). Despite this, Náutico is far more efficient in finishing sequences — conversion 22% vs 5% for Ceará, translating to an average of 2.0 away goals versus 1.0 for the hosts. Defensively Ceará also looks more solid by quality of chances: xG against 0.67 for the hosts versus 1.11 for the visitors, and in the last 5 matches the goal records are 7–5 for Ceará and 6–8 for Náutico. Considering the higher volume of created chances (21 vs 9) and the lower xG against, I favour the home side, although the visitors’ high finishing efficiency suggests the game could be tight.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ceará | Náutico | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 26% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ceará is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Ceará · 0.2 pts / match - Náutico
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Náutico is 37% better for: goals scored per match.
0.89 goals / match - Ceará · 1.22 goals / match - Náutico
Ceará is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.17 goals / match - Ceará · 1.28 goals / match - Náutico
Ceará scores in 61% of matches (11 of 18 matches), while Náutico keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).
Náutico scores in 56% of matches (10 of 18 matches), while Ceará keeps a clean sheet in 22% (4 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Ceará
Over / Under — Náutico
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ceará is 41% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.17 pts / match - Ceará · 0.83 pts / match - Náutico
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ceará - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Náutico - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -6 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ceará
Náutico
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Ceará | Liga | Náutico | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.06 | 2.27 | ▲ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 47% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 28% | 42% | ▼ 39% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 32% | ▼ 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 56% | 66% | • 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 78% | 73% | ▲ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Ceará vs Náutico?
The Serie B match finished Ceará 1:0 Náutico. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ceará vs Náutico?
Ceará score 0.89 goals per game on average and Náutico 1.22. The Serie B average is 2.27 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Ceará's matches and 33% of Náutico's.
What form are Ceará and Náutico in?
Over the last 5 games Ceará have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Náutico 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ceará vs Náutico?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.