Ceará vs Vila Nova: match statistics
Ceará vs Vila Nova: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Ceará played against Vila Nova in Serie B (Brazil). The game was played on April 26, 2026. Final score: 3:3.
Recent form
Ceará has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Vila Nova has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Ceará scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 0.40. Vila Nova scores 1.60 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 2.07 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 40% of Ceará's games and 80% of Vila Nova's. The Over 2.5 rates are 0% and 60%, compared with league averages of 49% for BTTS and 40% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Ceará has the higher season xG average, 1.44 to 1.38 per game. Ceará takes 13.0 shots per game, while Vila Nova takes 13.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Ceará leads at halftime in 20% of its games and scores 0.80 goals per game after halftime. Vila Nova leads at halftime in 20% and scores 1.20 after halftime.
When the teams score
Ceará's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (2 goals). For Vila Nova, it is minutes 46-60 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie B games average 2.07 goals. Both teams score in 49% of games, and 40% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ceará holds a slight edge heading into this match: at home they generate 1.69 xG and 5.5 shots on target on average, while Vila Nova away posts 1.52 xG and only 3.5 shots on target. The visitors dominate possession on the road (56% vs 46%), but higher possession does not translate into more shots on target. Defensively the hosts look more solid — Ceará concedes only 1.05 xG at home and has conceded 2 goals this season, whereas Vila Nova’s away xG against is 1.57 and they have conceded 5 goals this season. In the last 5 matches both teams have scored 8 goals, with Ceará at 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss (2.0 points per game) and Vila Nova at 3 wins and 2 draws (2.2 points per game). Considering the superiority in quality of chances (1.69 vs 1.52 xG), the higher number of shots on target (5.5 vs 3.5) and the lower xG against for the hosts (1.05 vs 1.57), I predict a narrow Ceará victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The key signal for BTTS - Yes is that Ceará has a seasonal BTTS rate of 100% and 0% clean sheets at home, with an average of 2.0 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per match. Vila Nova has a seasonal BTTS of 50% and 50% clean sheets, but in the last 5 matches shows BTTS 80% with an average of 1.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, so they have been scoring more recently. xG analysis indicates a real chance for both sides: Ceará has xG_for 1.29 and in the last 5 matches xG_against 1.64, while Vila Nova has seasonal xG_for 1.52 and a low shooting conversion rate of 7% despite averaging 15 shots. Additionally both teams have scored 8 goals in the last 5 matches (avg. 1.6), and Ceará has 100% of home matches over 2.5 goals, so the Both Teams To Score scenario looks more likely.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I estimate 1.43 goals for Ceará and 1.38 for Vila Nova, totaling approximately 2.81 goals (calculated as the average of attack xG and opponent defense xG: (1.29+1.57)/2 = 1.43 and (1.52+1.23)/2 = 1.38). Ceará averages 2.0 goals at home and all their home matches this season have exceeded 2.5 goals (100%), while Ceará’s matches are 100% over 1.5; Vila Nova scores 1.0 goals on average away and has 50% clean sheets. Vila Nova generates 1.52 xG per away match, but a low shot conversion of 7% limits conversion, whereas Ceará has 1.29 xG and high conversion of 17%, which translates to an average of 2.0 goals scored at home. Considering the combined xG = 2.81 and the fact that Ceará have 100% of home games over 1.5, the strongest signal is Over 1.5; Over 2.5 has moderate support (last 5 matches: over2.5 ~40–60% by side), and Over 3.5 is unlikely.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
First-half statistics indicate a Vila Nova advantage: Ceará did not lead at the break in any match (0%), and was trailing at the break in 67% of games; Vila Nova led after the first 45 minutes in 50% of matches and averages 0.5 goals by half-time with 0.0 conceded. However, Ceará stages second-half turnarounds — scoring an average of 1.67 goals in the second half and winning that half in 100% of cases, demonstrating strong comeback ability. The home side also has a better points return at home: 2.33 points per game versus 2.0 for the visitors, and a higher seasonal goals-per-game average 2.0 vs 1.0. On this basis the most probable scenario is Vila Nova leading at half-time with Ceará winning ultimately (HT/FT = 2/1) — I assign this a 40% probability; other significant scenarios are X/1 15%, 2/X 16%, X/X 12% and 2/2 10%.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Ceará | Vila Nova | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.22 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Vila Nova is 22% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - Ceará · 2.2 pts / game - Vila Nova
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Vila Nova is 60% better for: goals scored per game.
1 goals / game - Ceará · 1.6 goals / game - Vila Nova
Ceará is 150% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.4 goals / game - Ceará · 1 goals / game - Vila Nova
Ceará scores in 80% of games (4 of 5 meczów), while Vila Nova keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 meczów).
Vila Nova scores in 100% of games (5 of 5 meczów), while Ceará keeps a clean sheet in 60% (3 of 5 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ceará
Over / Under - Vila Nova
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ceará is 40% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.4 pts / game - Ceará · 1 pts / game - Vila Nova
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ceará - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Vila Nova - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 60%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Ceará
Vila Nova
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Ceará | Liga | Vila Nova | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.40 | 2.07 | ▲ 2.60 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 49% | ▲ 80% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 0% | 40% | ▲ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 60% | 32% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 20% | 56% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 73% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Ceará vs Vila Nova?
The Serie B match finished Ceará 3:3 Vila Nova. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ceará vs Vila Nova?
Ceará score 1.00 goals per game on average and Vila Nova 1.60. The Serie B average is 2.07 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 40% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Ceará's matches and 80% of Vila Nova's.
What form are Ceará and Vila Nova in?
Over the last 5 games Ceará have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Vila Nova 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ceará vs Vila Nova?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.