Bosnia & Herzegovina - Premier League of BosniaStadion Bilino PoljeData current as of November 01, 2026

Čelik vs Borac Banja Luka: match statistics

Čelik crest
Čelik
2 : 4half-time 2:2
Borac Banja Luka crest
Borac Banja Luka

Čelik vs Borac Banja Luka: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Čelik played against Borac Banja Luka in Premier League of Bosnia (Bosnia & Herzegovina). The game was played on October 31, 2026. Venue: Stadion Bilino Polje. Final score: 2:4.

Recent form

Čelik has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Borac Banja Luka has 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses, with 3.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Čelik scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 1.36. Borac Banja Luka scores 1.90 and allows 0.70. Games in this league average 2.54 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 45% of Čelik's games and 40% of Borac Banja Luka's. The Over 2.5 rates are 55% and 40%, compared with league averages of 48% for BTTS and 41% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Borac Banja Luka has the higher season xG average, 1.79 to 1.10 per game. Čelik takes 8.9 shots per game, while Borac Banja Luka takes 12.8.

First-half and second-half trends

Čelik leads at halftime in 27% of its games and scores 0.45 goals per game after halftime. Borac Banja Luka leads at halftime in 60% and scores 1.10 after halftime.

When the teams score

Čelik's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (3 goals). For Borac Banja Luka, it is minutes 31-45+ (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Premier League of Bosnia games average 2.54 goals. Both teams score in 48% of games, and 41% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Borac Banja Luka are second in the table with 8 wins from 10 matches, while seventh-placed Čelik have won 2 of their 11 games. The visitors have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 10 goals in the process; over the same period, the hosts recorded one win and scored 4 goals. Away from home, Borac average 1.75 goals with an xG of 1.72, while Čelik have an xG of 1.15 at home and have failed to score in 40% of their matches. The visitors also have the edge defensively: away from home, they concede chances worth an average xG of 0.94, compared with 1.54 for Čelik at home. However, Borac concede an average of 1.5 goals away and have yet to keep a clean sheet on the road, so an away win is the most likely outcome, but not a certainty.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

The strongest argument for BTTS - No is Čelik’s defense: they concede an average of 0.17 goals at home and keep a clean sheet in 83% of matches. At the same time, the hosts have scored in every home match, but across their last 5 games they have managed only 0.8 goals per match with an xG of 0.91, increasing the risk that they fail to score this time. Borac pose a serious threat to this pick, averaging 1.75 goals away from home and 2.0 goals per match across their last 5 games. Even so, BTTS has landed in only 17% of Čelik’s home matches, compared with 75% of Borac’s away matches. I view this discrepancy, together with the hosts’ recent drop in scoring output, as giving a slight edge to the scenario in which at least one team fails to score.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

The strongest signal points to Under 3.5 goals: this line was hit in 83% of Čelik’s matches and 50% of Borac’s, while in each team’s last five matches, only 40% went Over 2.5 goals. Borac’s form increases the visitors’ chances of scoring—they have averaged 2.0 goals across their last five matches, compared with Čelik’s average of 0.8. On the other hand, Čelik have conceded just 0.17 goals per game at home and kept a clean sheet in 83% of matches, limiting the potential for a high-scoring game. Although season-long attacking xG stands at 1.82 for the hosts and 1.72 for the visitors, the 2.55-goal projection accounts for both Čelik’s defensive strength and the teams’ recent results, making the 3.5 line a clearer value play than 2.5.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

Čelik have won all 6 of the analyzed home matches, but have claimed just 1 victory in their last 5 matches overall, while Borac have won 4 of 5. A draw at half-time is likely: Čelik went into the break level in 4 of their last 5 matches, and Borac did so in 2 of 5; both teams averaged 0.4 goals in the first half. After the break in those same matches, Borac averaged 1.6 goals compared with Čelik’s 0.4 and won the second half 3 times, while the hosts did not win it once. Therefore, despite Čelik’s strong home record, a half-time draw followed by a Borac win is the most likely HT/FT outcome.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Stats by half

2 : 2
First half
0 : 2
Second half

Game stats

32Possession (%)68
ČelikBorac Banja Luka
11Shots17
ČelikBorac Banja Luka
8Shots on target7
ČelikBorac Banja Luka
1.49xG2.1
ČelikBorac Banja Luka
1Corners10
ČelikBorac Banja Luka
33Dangerous attacks74
ČelikBorac Banja Luka
8Fouls10
ČelikBorac Banja Luka
1Cards0
ČelikBorac Banja Luka

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

ČelikBorac Banja Luka
1Goals scored / game1.9
ČelikBorac Banja Luka
1.36Goals allowed / game0.7
ČelikBorac Banja Luka
45%Average possession61%
ČelikBorac Banja Luka
3.09Shots on target / game5.9
ČelikBorac Banja Luka

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

8.91Shots per game12.8
ČelikBorac Banja Luka
3.09Shots on target5.9
ČelikBorac Banja Luka
11.2%Shot conversion14.8%
ČelikBorac Banja Luka
45%Possession61%
ČelikBorac Banja Luka
1.1xG for1.79
ČelikBorac Banja Luka
1.56xG against0.93
ČelikBorac Banja Luka

Shooting quality

Čelik: BalancedBorac Banja Luka: Efficient finishing
ČelikBorac Banja Luka
Accuracy (shots on target)35%46%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Borac Banja Luka is 150% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / game - Čelik · 3 pts / game - Borac Banja Luka

Čelik
WDDLD
Season result split
18% W36% D45% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-4-5
0.91 pts / game · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-2
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
LWWDL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 0.91Opponent xG: 1.30BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Borac Banja Luka
WWWWW
5 wins in a row
Season result split
80% W10% D10% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-1-1
2.50 pts / game · goal difference +12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
5-0-0
3.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
2-1-1
Last 5 away
2-1-1
DLWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.74Opponent xG: 0.76BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Borac Banja Luka is 90% better for: goals scored per game.

1 goals / game - Čelik · 1.9 goals / game - Borac Banja Luka

Borac Banja Luka is 94% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.36 goals / game - Čelik · 0.7 goals / game - Borac Banja Luka

Čelik scoring profile: mixed

Čelik scores in 55% of games (6 of 11 games), while Borac Banja Luka keeps a clean sheet in 50% (5 of 10 games).

Borac Banja Luka scoring profile: very strong

Borac Banja Luka scores in 90% of games (9 of 10 games), while Čelik keeps a clean sheet in 36% (4 of 11 games).

11Goals scored (season)19
ČelikBorac Banja Luka
15Goals conceded (season)7
ČelikBorac Banja Luka
2.36Average goals per game2.6
ČelikBorac Banja Luka
4Goals scored (last 5)10
ČelikBorac Banja Luka
6Goals conceded (last 5)3
ČelikBorac Banja Luka

How often they score at least...

55%1 goal90%
ČelikBorac Banja Luka
27%2 goals80%
ČelikBorac Banja Luka
18%3 goals20%
ČelikBorac Banja Luka
0%4 goals0%
ČelikBorac Banja Luka

How often they concede at least...

64%1 goal50%
ČelikBorac Banja Luka
55%2 goals20%
ČelikBorac Banja Luka
18%3 goals0%
ČelikBorac Banja Luka
0%4 goals0%
ČelikBorac Banja Luka

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

48%
League average

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time10%
ČelikBorac Banja Luka
9%BTTS in both halves0%
ČelikBorac Banja Luka
27%Scored in both halves40%
ČelikBorac Banja Luka

BTTS and goal count

36%Min. 3 goals and BTTS40%
ČelikBorac Banja Luka
18%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
ČelikBorac Banja Luka
40%BTTS - last 540%
ČelikBorac Banja Luka

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

55%Min. 1 goal before half-time70%
ČelikBorac Banja Luka
27%Min. 2 goals before half-time20%
ČelikBorac Banja Luka
9%Min. 3 goals before half-time10%
ČelikBorac Banja Luka

2nd half

73%Min. 1 goal after half-time80%
ČelikBorac Banja Luka
45%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
ČelikBorac Banja Luka
18%Min. 3 goals after half-time20%
ČelikBorac Banja Luka

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Borac Banja Luka is 54% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.36 pts / game - Čelik · 2.1 pts / game - Borac Banja Luka

Čelik - half-time state
27% leading55% draw18% trailing
Borac Banja Luka - half-time state
60% leading30% draw10% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.36Points per game (1st half)2.1
ČelikBorac Banja Luka
0.55Goals scored (1st half)0.8
ČelikBorac Banja Luka
0.36Goals conceded (1st half)0.2
ČelikBorac Banja Luka
0.91Average goals (1st half)1
ČelikBorac Banja Luka
64%Clean sheet before half-time80%
ČelikBorac Banja Luka
64%No goal before half-time40%
ČelikBorac Banja Luka

After half-time (2nd half)

0.82Points per game (2nd half)1.9
ČelikBorac Banja Luka
0.45Goals scored (2nd half)1.1
ČelikBorac Banja Luka
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.5
ČelikBorac Banja Luka
1.45Average goals (2nd half)1.6
ČelikBorac Banja Luka
36%Clean sheet after half-time60%
ČelikBorac Banja Luka
55%No goal after half-time30%
ČelikBorac Banja Luka

Čelik - second-half results

9% W55% D36% L
15
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.36
PPG before half-time
Lead holding67%

Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 18%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+0.6

Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Borac Banja Luka - second-half results

50% W40% D10% L
21
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
19
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.10
PPG before half-time
Lead holding133%

Leads at halftime in 60% of games and wins 80%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Čelik - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.400.80
Goals scored / game0.40.4
Goals allowed / game0.21.0
Average goals per game0.61.4
1 goal20%60%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference+1-3
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 80% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Borac Banja Luka - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.201.80
Goals scored / game0.81.2
Goals allowed / game0.20.4
Average goals per game1.01.6
1 goal60%60%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+3+4
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Čelik
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
3
1
16-30
2
3
31-45
2
5
46-60
2
2
61-75
1
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Borac Banja Luka
ScoredConceded
2
0
0-15
1
1
16-30
5
1
31-45
4
3
46-60
3
0
61-75
4
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.48
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
0.8 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
98%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
43%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-19%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
50%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Čelik

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.46
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.10
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.10
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.20
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
68%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
127%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.29
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
9% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
9%

Borac Banja Luka

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.86
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.34
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.11
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.23
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
178%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
48%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.50
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League of Bosnia).

Teams vs league

ČelikLigaBorac Banja Luka
Average goals per game▼ 2.362.54• 2.60
Both teams scored▼ 45%48%▼ 40%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 55%41%• 40%
Clean sheets▲ 36%31%▲ 50%
Goal before half-time▼ 55%59%▲ 70%
Goal after half-time▼ 73%77%▲ 80%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.54
Average goals per game
48%
Both teams scored
41%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
31%
Clean sheets
1.46
Home goals / game
1.07
Away goals / game
+36%
Home attack advantage
+27%
Home defensive advantage
+27%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
59%
1 goal
25%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
21%
3 goals
9%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. ČelikGoalFaruk Gogić
  2. Borac Banja LukaGoalLuka Juričić
  3. ČelikGoalSamy Faraj
  4. Borac Banja LukaGoalAbel Pascual Urbón
  5. ČelikYellow cardAndrés García Mohedano
  6. ČelikSubstitutionOn: Dejan VidićOff: Anes Mašić
  7. Borac Banja LukaGoalStefan Savić
  8. Borac Banja LukaSubstitutionOn: Anderson EsitiOff: Matej Deket
  9. Borac Banja LukaGoalLuka Juričić

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Record from Čelik's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Borac Banja Luka. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

FAQ

What was the result of Čelik vs Borac Banja Luka?

The Premier League of Bosnia match finished Čelik 2:4 Borac Banja Luka. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Čelik vs Borac Banja Luka?

Čelik score 1.00 goals per game on average and Borac Banja Luka 1.90. The Premier League of Bosnia average is 2.54 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 41% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Čelik's matches and 40% of Borac Banja Luka's.

What form are Čelik and Borac Banja Luka in?

Over the last 5 games Čelik have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Borac Banja Luka 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Čelik vs Borac Banja Luka?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Čelik vs Borac Banja Luka: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.