Celje vs Aluminij: match statistics
Celje vs Aluminij: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Celje played against Aluminij in PrvaLiga (Slovenia). The game was played on April 26, 2026. Final score: 5:0.
Recent form
Celje has 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 3.00 points per game. Aluminij has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Celje scores 2.43 goals per game and allows 0.90. Aluminij scores 1.40 and allows 1.73. Games in this league average 3.10 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 53% of Celje's games and 77% of Aluminij's. The Over 2.5 rates are 67% and 73%, compared with league averages of 60% for BTTS and 64% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Celje has the higher season xG average, 1.79 to 1.33 per game. Celje takes 14.2 shots per game, while Aluminij takes 9.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Celje leads at halftime in 63% of its games and scores 1.37 goals per game after halftime. Aluminij leads at halftime in 23% and scores 0.93 after halftime.
When the teams score
Celje's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (18 goals). For Aluminij, it is minutes 76-90+ (17 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
PrvaLiga games average 3.10 goals. Both teams score in 60% of games, and 64% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Celje is the clear favorite: they sit 1st in the table versus Aluminij's 7th and have 21 wins this season compared to the visitors' 10. At home Celje average 2.5 goals scored and concede only 0.5 per match, while Aluminij away score 1.43 and concede 1.71, giving the hosts a significant advantage both offensively and defensively. In the last 5 matches Celje have won 5, scoring 13 and conceding 2, averaging 3 points per game, whereas Aluminij have 2 wins, 5 scored and 6 conceded with an average of 1.2 points per game. Additionally Celje create more chances: on average 16.64 shots and 6.64 on target at home with xG 2.07, while Aluminij average 9.36 shots, 3.57 on target and xG 1.32 away. Considering a 79% home win rate for Celje, a 50% clean sheet rate and virtually 0% home loss rate, I predict a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I recommend BTTS - Yes — both teams display very high season BTTS rates: Celje 75% and Aluminij 79% versus a league average of 60%. Both sides generate similar xG: Celje 1.34 and Aluminij 1.32, while conceding substantial xG against: Celje 1.88 and Aluminij 1.85, indicating both create chances and are vulnerable to conceding. Low clean sheet expected figures (Celje 13%, Aluminij 14%) and solid shooting stats — 9.88/4.06 (shots/shots on target) for Celje and 9.36/3.57 for Aluminij — increase the likelihood of goals from both teams. Mitigating factors include Celje’s recent form with BTTS in only 40% of last 5 matches and an average of 0.4 goals conceded, which could suppress Aluminij’s chances, but Aluminij scored 5 and conceded 6 in their last 5 (avg 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded), so they still produce goals. Overall, seasonal trends 75%/79%, a high share of over 2.5 matches with BTTS (69% at home and 64% away) and a league average of 3.08 goals per match provide a strong signal for BTTS.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on seasonal xG: Celje has an attacking xG of 1.34 while Aluminij concedes an average xG against of 1.85 — the mean of these values yields about 1.60 goals for Celje; similarly Aluminij (attacking xG 1.32 vs Celje xG against 1.88) comes out around ~1.60, giving a combined total of 3.20 goals. Seasonal shares of matches with over 1.5 goals are 81% for Celje and 100% for Aluminij (average 90.5%), and over 2.5 goals stand at 75% and 71% (average 73%), so both lines lean toward Over. Additionally both teams have high BTTS: 75% (Celje) and 79% (Aluminij), and Celje has scored 13 goals in the last 5 matches (2.6 avg) while conceding only 2 (0.4), which increases the likelihood of further goals. The 3.5 line is clearly less certain — seasonal values 38% and 21% give an average of ~30% for Over 3.5, i.e. a much lower probability. The strongest play signal is Over 1.5, because both the modelled xG 1.60+1.60=3.20 and the high Over1.5 percentages (~90.5%) along with BTTS 75–79% indicate a high chance of more than 1.5 goals in the match.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Celje have been very strong in the recent period: they have won 5 of 5 matches (100%) and held a lead at the break in all of those games (5/5, 100%), averaging 1.4 goals before half-time and conceding 0.2. Over the season xG is almost equal (1.34 for Celje vs 1.32 for Aluminij), but the hosts register more on-target shots on average (4.06 vs 3.57) and have a half-time goals average of 0.63 compared to the visitors’ 0.29, which favors a scenario where the hosts lead at the break. Season-long data show the hosts led at half-time in 6 of 16 matches (38%), while the visitors did so in only 1 of 14 (7%), so historically the first half has tended to favor Celje; combined with the form in the last 5 matches this provides a strong HT 1 signal. It should be noted, however, that the visitors can score late goals (12 strikes in minutes 76–90) and both teams frequently score during the season (75% of the hosts’ matches see both teams scoring vs 79% for the visitors), so a turnaround after the break is realistic. Given Celje’s low number of goals conceded after half-time in the last 5 matches (an average of 0.2), the most likely and strongest signal is the hosts leading at half-time and winning the match (1/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Celje | Aluminij | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.43 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Celje is 275% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / game - Celje · 0.8 pts / game - Aluminij
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Celje is 74% better for: goals scored per game.
2.43 goals / game - Celje · 1.4 goals / game - Aluminij
Celje is 92% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.9 goals / game - Celje · 1.73 goals / game - Aluminij
Celje scores in 90% of games (27 of 30 meczów), while Aluminij keeps a clean sheet in 13% (4 of 30 meczów).
Aluminij scores in 87% of games (26 of 30 meczów), while Celje keeps a clean sheet in 43% (13 of 30 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Celje
Over / Under - Aluminij
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Celje is 109% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.03 pts / game - Celje · 0.97 pts / game - Aluminij
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Celje - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 63% of games and wins 70%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Aluminij - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 23% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 3.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 0% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +6 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (18 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +14 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Celje
Aluminij
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (PrvaLiga).
Teams vs league
| Celje | Liga | Aluminij | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.33 | 3.10 | • 3.13 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 53% | 60% | ▲ 77% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 64% | ▲ 73% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 43% | 22% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 93% | 86% | ▼ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 77% | 80% | ▼ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Celje's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Aluminij. Games average 3.67 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Celje vs Aluminij?
The PrvaLiga match finished Celje 5:0 Aluminij. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Celje and Aluminij?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Celje won 2, Aluminij won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Celje vs Aluminij?
Celje score 2.43 goals per game on average and Aluminij 1.40. The PrvaLiga average is 3.10 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Celje's matches and 77% of Aluminij's.
What form are Celje and Aluminij in?
Over the last 5 games Celje have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Aluminij 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Celje vs Aluminij?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.