Slovenia - PrvaLigaStadion Z'deželeData current as of November 02, 2026

Celje vs Nafta: match statistics

Celje crest
Celje
4 : 0half-time 3:0
Nafta crest
Nafta

Celje vs Nafta: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Celje played against Nafta in PrvaLiga (Slovenia). The game was played on November 1, 2026. Venue: Stadion Z'dežele. Final score: 4:0.

Recent form

Celje has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Nafta has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.

Scoring records

Celje scores 1.17 goals per game and allows 1.00. Nafta scores 1.38 and allows 1.23. Games in this league average 2.57 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 50% of Celje's games and 46% of Nafta's. The Over 2.5 rates are 33% and 46%, compared with league averages of 48% for BTTS and 46% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Celje has the higher season xG average, 1.60 to 1.40 per game. Celje takes 12.4 shots per game, while Nafta takes 11.1.

First-half and second-half trends

Celje leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 0.58 goals per game after halftime. Nafta leads at halftime in 23% and scores 0.92 after halftime.

When the teams score

Celje's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (4 goals). For Nafta, it is minutes 46-60 (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

PrvaLiga games average 2.57 goals. Both teams score in 48% of games, and 46% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Celje have a slight home advantage: they have won 40% of their home matches, while Nafta have won 33% of their away games. The hosts have won 3 of their last 5 matches, compared with 2 for the visitors, although Nafta have been impressive in front of goal during this run, scoring 13 goals to Celje’s 6. Celje’s chance creation at home is in their favor: their average xG stands at 1.63, compared with Nafta’s 1.31 away from home, while the visitors allow opponents chances worth an average of 1.93 xG. Both teams concede fewer than a goal per game at these venues—0.80 and 0.83 respectively—so the match could be decided by a narrow margin. The risk of a draw remains significant, as Celje have drawn 40% of their home matches and Nafta 33% of their away games.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

In the last 5 matches involving these teams, both sides scored in only 20% of games, which is a strong signal against BTTS. Nafta failed to score in 50% of their away matches, although Celje concede an average of 1.83 goals at home, so a Nafta goal cannot be ruled out. Celje score an average of 2.0 goals at home and register 6.33 shots on target per match, while Nafta keep a clean sheet in 33% of their away matches. Although Nafta have averaged 2.6 goals in their last 5 matches, the frequency of games in which at least one side fails to score supports the BTTS - No pick.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

At least two goals were scored in 83% of Celje’s matches and 67% of Nafta’s, making Over 1.5 the clearest signal. Celje average 2.0 goals scored at home and 6.33 shots on target per match, supporting the expectation that they will contribute to the scoreline. Nafta average 1.0 goal away from home, but have scored an average of 2.6 goals over their last five matches, so they could also get on the scoresheet. The higher line is less convincing: Over 2.5 landed in 67% of Celje’s matches, but only 33% of Nafta’s. The 2.58-goal forecast therefore points to Over 1.5, without equally strong backing for Over 2.5.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

A half-time draw is the most likely starting point: Nafta were level at the break in 50% of their away matches, scoring an average of just 0.17 goals in the first half while also conceding little—0.33. The hosts could gain the upper hand after the break: at home, they score an average of 2.0 goals per match, compared with Nafta’s 1.0 away, and register 6.33 shots on target versus the visitors’ 3.5. Celje score an average of 1.17 goals in second halves at home, supporting a scenario in which the match is decided after the break. However, this is not a strong pick: Nafta concede only 0.5 goals in second halves away from home, and have averaged 2.6 goals across their last five matches overall, so a draw or an away win remain significant alternatives.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Stats by half

3 : 0
First half
1 : 0
Second half

Game stats

68Possession (%)32
CeljeNafta
22Shots10
CeljeNafta
8Shots on target0
CeljeNafta
2.79xG0.98
CeljeNafta
6Corners3
CeljeNafta
116Dangerous attacks48
CeljeNafta
8Fouls6
CeljeNafta
1Cards0
CeljeNafta

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.17Goals scored / game1.38
CeljeNafta
1Goals allowed / game1.23
CeljeNafta
62%Average possession42%
CeljeNafta
3.75Shots on target / game4.85
CeljeNafta

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

12.42Shots per game11.08
CeljeNafta
3.75Shots on target4.85
CeljeNafta
9.4%Shot conversion12.5%
CeljeNafta
62%Possession42%
CeljeNafta
1.6xG for1.4
CeljeNafta
1.31xG against1.83
CeljeNafta

Shooting quality

Celje: BalancedNafta: Counter-attacking
CeljeNafta
Accuracy (shots on target)30%44%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.310.28

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Celje
LDWWD
Season result split
42% W33% D25% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-4-3
1.58 pts / game · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-2-1
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
DDWLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.45Opponent xG: 1.26BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%
Nafta
WLWDD
Season result split
38% W23% D38% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-3-5
1.38 pts / game · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
2-2-2
Last 5 away
1-2-2
DLWLD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.28Opponent xG: 1.42BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Nafta is 18% better for: goals scored per game.

1.17 goals / game - Celje · 1.38 goals / game - Nafta

Celje is 23% better for: goals allowed per game.

1 goals / game - Celje · 1.23 goals / game - Nafta

Celje scoring profile: very strong

Celje scores in 83% of games (10 of 12 games), while Nafta keeps a clean sheet in 31% (4 of 13 games).

Nafta scoring profile: mixed

Nafta scores in 62% of games (8 of 13 games), while Celje keeps a clean sheet in 42% (5 of 12 games).

14Goals scored (season)18
CeljeNafta
12Goals conceded (season)16
CeljeNafta
2.17Average goals per game2.62
CeljeNafta
4Goals scored (last 5)3
CeljeNafta
3Goals conceded (last 5)3
CeljeNafta

How often they score at least...

83%1 goal62%
CeljeNafta
25%2 goals38%
CeljeNafta
8%3 goals23%
CeljeNafta
0%4 goals8%
CeljeNafta

How often they concede at least...

58%1 goal69%
CeljeNafta
25%2 goals38%
CeljeNafta
8%3 goals15%
CeljeNafta
8%4 goals0%
CeljeNafta

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

25%BTTS at half-time23%
CeljeNafta
0%BTTS in both halves15%
CeljeNafta
8%Scored in both halves23%
CeljeNafta

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS38%
CeljeNafta
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS8%
CeljeNafta
40%BTTS - last 520%
CeljeNafta

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

75%Min. 1 goal before half-time62%
CeljeNafta
25%Min. 2 goals before half-time23%
CeljeNafta
8%Min. 3 goals before half-time23%
CeljeNafta

2nd half

58%Min. 1 goal after half-time77%
CeljeNafta
33%Min. 2 goals after half-time38%
CeljeNafta
17%Min. 3 goals after half-time23%
CeljeNafta

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Celje is 31% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.42 pts / game - Celje · 1.08 pts / game - Nafta

Celje - half-time state
33% leading42% draw25% trailing
Nafta - half-time state
23% leading38% draw38% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.42Points per game (1st half)1.08
CeljeNafta
0.58Goals scored (1st half)0.46
CeljeNafta
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.62
CeljeNafta
1.08Average goals (1st half)1.08
CeljeNafta
50%Clean sheet before half-time54%
CeljeNafta
50%No goal before half-time62%
CeljeNafta

After half-time (2nd half)

1.67Points per game (2nd half)1.46
CeljeNafta
0.58Goals scored (2nd half)0.92
CeljeNafta
0.5Goals conceded (2nd half)0.62
CeljeNafta
1.08Average goals (2nd half)1.54
CeljeNafta
75%Clean sheet after half-time38%
CeljeNafta
58%No goal after half-time54%
CeljeNafta

Celje - second-half results

42% W42% D17% L
17
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
20
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.42
PPG before half-time
Lead holding127%

Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 42%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Nafta - second-half results

38% W31% D31% L
14
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
19
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.08
PPG before half-time
Lead holding165%

Leads at halftime in 23% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Celje - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.200.80
Goals scored / game0.80.0
Goals allowed / game0.20.4
Average goals per game1.00.4
1 goal80%20%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal20%100%
Goal difference+3-2
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 80% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Nafta - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.201.20
Goals scored / game0.20.4
Goals allowed / game0.20.4
Average goals per game0.40.8
1 goal40%40%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Celje
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
4
2
16-30
1
2
31-45
1
3
46-60
2
0
61-75
4
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Nafta
ScoredConceded
1
3
0-15
1
3
16-30
4
2
31-45
7
1
46-60
2
3
61-75
3
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.39
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.2 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
93%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
48%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+67%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
51%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Celje

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.29
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.12
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.43
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.31
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
86%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
83%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.02
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

Nafta

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.43
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.58
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.02
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.60
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
114%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
90%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.22
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (PrvaLiga).

Teams vs league

CeljeLigaNafta
Average goals per game▼ 2.172.57• 2.62
Both teams scored▲ 50%48%▼ 46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 33%46%• 46%
Clean sheets▲ 42%32%• 31%
Goal before half-time▲ 75%72%▼ 62%
Goal after half-time▼ 58%75%▲ 77%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.57
Average goals per game
48%
Both teams scored
46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
32%
Clean sheets
1.36
Home goals / game
1.21
Away goals / game
+12%
Home attack advantage
+11%
Home defensive advantage
+1%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
24%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. CeljeGoalMario Kvesić
  2. CeljeGoalMario Kvesić
  3. CeljeSubstitutionOn: Mark ZabukovnikOff: Mario Kvesić
  4. CeljeYellow cardBenjamin Verbič
  5. NaftaSubstitutionOn: Divaio Jhaïr-BobsonOff: Amadej Maroša
  6. CeljeSubstitutionOn: Papa Mustapha DanielOff: Ivan Ćalušić

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Record from Celje's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Nafta. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

FAQ

What was the result of Celje vs Nafta?

The PrvaLiga match finished Celje 4:0 Nafta. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Celje vs Nafta?

Celje score 1.17 goals per game on average and Nafta 1.38. The PrvaLiga average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Celje's matches and 46% of Nafta's.

What form are Celje and Nafta in?

Over the last 5 games Celje have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Nafta 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Celje vs Nafta?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Celje vs Nafta: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.