Central Coast Mariners vs Brisbane Roar: match statistics
Central Coast Mariners vs Brisbane Roar: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Central Coast Mariners play Brisbane Roar in A-League (Australia). The match date is 10 April 2026 at 11:35. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Central Coast Mariners: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Brisbane Roar: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Central Coast Mariners scores 1.35 and concedes 1.62 goals per match. Brisbane Roar scores 1.04 and concedes 1.38. League average: 2.82 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Central Coast Mariners 65%, Brisbane Roar 58%. Over 2.5: Central Coast Mariners 65%, Brisbane Roar 54%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Brisbane Roar has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.10. Central Coast Mariners: 10.0 shots per match, Brisbane Roar: 13.5.
Match halves
Central Coast Mariners: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.65. Brisbane Roar: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Central Coast Mariners: 31-45+ (8 goals). Brisbane Roar: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
A-League: 2.82 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 1-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
A draw appears the most likely outcome: the home side have as many as 50% draws in home matches, and Brisbane have recorded 3 draws in their last 5 games. Central Coast Mariners have scored 32 goals this season (8 in the last 5), while Brisbane Roar have 22 goals this season (4 in the last 5), giving the hosts a clear advantage in finishing efficiency. Defensively the situation is more balanced — the hosts concede on average 1.25 goals per home game, the visitors 1.27 on the road, but in the last 5 matches the Mariners conceded 10 goals (2.0 per game) versus 6 goals (1.2 per game) for Brisbane, which reduces the hosts’ advantage. Brisbane register more shots (avg. 12.27) and more shots on target (4 vs 3.25) and have a higher away xG (1.29 vs 1.1 for the hosts), however their conversion is only around 7% versus the Mariners’ 13% and they have a higher share of matches without scoring (27% vs 17%). Considering the hosts’ better finishing, Brisbane’s poor away form (0 wins in the last 5) and the Mariners’ high draw rate, I tip a draw; I approximate probabilities as 35% home, 45% draw and 20% away.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Central Coast Mariners | Brisbane Roar | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Central Coast Mariners is 150% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Central Coast Mariners · 0.4 pts / match - Brisbane Roar
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Central Coast Mariners is 30% better for: goals scored per match.
1.35 goals / match - Central Coast Mariners · 1.04 goals / match - Brisbane Roar
Brisbane Roar is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.62 goals / match - Central Coast Mariners · 1.38 goals / match - Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners scores in 81% of matches (21 of 26 matches), while Brisbane Roar keeps a clean sheet in 27% (7 of 26 matches).
Brisbane Roar scores in 73% of matches (19 of 26 matches), while Central Coast Mariners keeps a clean sheet in 23% (6 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Central Coast Mariners
Over / Under — Brisbane Roar
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Brisbane Roar is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.15 pts / match - Central Coast Mariners · 1.27 pts / match - Brisbane Roar
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Central Coast Mariners - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Brisbane Roar - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 23%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -5 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Central Coast Mariners
Brisbane Roar
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (A-League).
Teams vs league
| Central Coast Mariners | Liga | Brisbane Roar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.96 | 2.82 | ▼ 2.42 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 60% | ▼ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 65% | 56% | ▼ 54% |
| Clean sheets | • 23% | 23% | ▲ 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 77% | 72% | ▲ 77% |
| Goal after half-time | • 81% | 82% | ▼ 69% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Central Coast Mariners 1 - 0 - 1 Brisbane Roar. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Central Coast Mariners vs Brisbane Roar?
The A-League match finished Central Coast Mariners 2:2 Brisbane Roar. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Central Coast Mariners and Brisbane Roar?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Central Coast Mariners won 1, Brisbane Roar won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Central Coast Mariners vs Brisbane Roar?
Central Coast Mariners score 1.35 goals per game on average and Brisbane Roar 1.04. The A-League average is 2.82 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Central Coast Mariners's matches and 58% of Brisbane Roar's.
What form are Central Coast Mariners and Brisbane Roar in?
Over the last 5 games Central Coast Mariners have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Brisbane Roar 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Central Coast Mariners vs Brisbane Roar?
The statistical background for Central Coast Mariners vs Brisbane Roar — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.