Central Norte vs Ferro Carril Oeste: match statistics
Central Norte vs Ferro Carril Oeste: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Central Norte played against Ferro Carril Oeste in Prim B Nacional (Argentina). The game was played on October 11, 2026. Venue: Estadio Padre Ernesto Martearena. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Central Norte has 0 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Ferro Carril Oeste has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Central Norte scores 0.63 goals per game and allows 0.91. Ferro Carril Oeste scores 1.13 and allows 0.84. Games in this league average 1.94 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 38% of Central Norte's games and 38% of Ferro Carril Oeste's. The Over 2.5 rates are 22% and 34%, compared with league averages of 39% for BTTS and 33% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Ferro Carril Oeste has the higher season xG average, 1.36 to 1.26 per game. Central Norte takes 10.4 shots per game, while Ferro Carril Oeste takes 11.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Central Norte leads at halftime in 22% of its games and scores 0.28 goals per game after halftime. Ferro Carril Oeste leads at halftime in 25% and scores 0.75 after halftime.
When the teams score
Central Norte's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (6 goals). For Ferro Carril Oeste, it is minutes 46-60 (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Prim B Nacional games average 1.94 goals. Both teams score in 39% of games, and 33% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ferro Carril Oeste are the favorites: they have won 18 of 32 matches this season, compared with just 6 wins for Central Norte, and have won 56% of their away fixtures. The visitors are more clinical despite taking fewer shots: away from home, they average 1.19 goals from 9.5 shots, while the hosts average 0.69 goals from 12.06 shots at home. In their last five matches, Ferro have recorded 2 wins, whereas Central Norte have not won once and have scored just 1 goal. The hosts’ defense remains a strength: they concede an average of 0.63 goals at home, while opponents create chances worth just 0.98 xG against them. Since 56% of Central Norte’s home matches have ended in a draw, a share of the points is a realistic possibility, but the visitors’ greater clinical edge points to an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I’m backing BTTS - No, meaning at least one team will fail to score, as Central Norte and Ferro Carril Oeste’s matches ended with both teams scoring in only 38% of cases this season, compared with the league average of 39%. Over their last 5 matches, that rate fell to 20% for the hosts and 0% for the visitors, while the teams averaged just 0.2 and 0.4 goals per game, respectively. Ferro kept a clean sheet in 56% of its matches this season, while Central Norte failed to score in 31%, which particularly weakens the hosts’ chances of finding the net. Although the hosts’ season xG stands at 1.52 and the visitors’ at 1.20, their poor finishing over the last five matches makes it more likely that at least one team will be held scoreless.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Under 3.5 goals: this outcome occurred in 87% of Central Norte matches and 81% of Ferro Carril Oeste matches. In their last 5 matches, neither team saw more than 2 goals scored, while Central Norte averaged 0.2 goals and Ferro 0.4. The hosts’ defense has conceded an average of 0.88 goals per match this season, compared with 0.81 for the visitors, further reducing the likelihood of a high-scoring game. Although their attacking xG averages are 1.52 and 1.20, respectively, their finishing and results to date support a more cautious forecast of around 1.90 total goals. The 3.5 line offers a larger margin than 2.5 and is the strongest signal in the available data.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome: 44% of Central Norte’s matches and 56% of Ferro Carril Oeste’s matches were level at the break, rising to 60% across both teams’ last five appearances. There is also little to suggest a high-scoring first half—the hosts average 0.44 goals before the break, compared with 0.31 for the visitors. Recent form supports the draw holding: Central Norte drew four of its last five matches, and neither team scored after half-time in any of those five games. Ferro did win two of its last five, while Central Norte failed to win any, so an away win after a draw at half-time remains a significant alternative. However, with so few goals in recent matches, the signal for a draw at both half-time and full-time is stronger.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Central Norte | Ferro Carril Oeste | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.18 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Ferro Carril Oeste is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Central Norte · 1.6 pts / game - Ferro Carril Oeste
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ferro Carril Oeste is 79% better for: goals scored per game.
0.63 goals / game - Central Norte · 1.13 goals / game - Ferro Carril Oeste
Ferro Carril Oeste is 8% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.91 goals / game - Central Norte · 0.84 goals / game - Ferro Carril Oeste
Central Norte scores in 50% of games (16 of 32 games), while Ferro Carril Oeste keeps a clean sheet in 47% (15 of 32 games).
Ferro Carril Oeste scores in 72% of games (23 of 32 games), while Central Norte keeps a clean sheet in 38% (12 of 32 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Central Norte
Over / Under - Ferro Carril Oeste
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ferro Carril Oeste is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.16 pts / game - Central Norte · 1.25 pts / game - Ferro Carril Oeste
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Central Norte - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 19%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Ferro Carril Oeste - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 56%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Central Norte
Ferro Carril Oeste
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prim B Nacional).
Teams vs league
| Central Norte | Liga | Ferro Carril Oeste | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.53 | 1.94 | • 1.97 |
| Both teams scored | • 38% | 39% | • 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 22% | 33% | • 34% |
| Clean sheets | • 38% | 38% | ▲ 47% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 53% | 55% | • 56% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 44% | 70% | ▲ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Central Norte's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Ferro Carril Oeste. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Central Norte vs Ferro Carril Oeste?
The Prim B Nacional match finished Central Norte 1:1 Ferro Carril Oeste. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Central Norte vs Ferro Carril Oeste?
Central Norte score 0.63 goals per game on average and Ferro Carril Oeste 1.13. The Prim B Nacional average is 1.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Central Norte's matches and 38% of Ferro Carril Oeste's.
What form are Central Norte and Ferro Carril Oeste in?
Over the last 5 games Central Norte have a 0-4-1 record (0.80 points per game) and Ferro Carril Oeste 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Central Norte vs Ferro Carril Oeste?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Central Norte vs Ferro Carril Oeste: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.