Cercle Brugge vs FCV Dender EH: match statistics
Cercle Brugge vs FCV Dender EH: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Cercle Brugge played against FCV Dender EH in Pro League (Belgium). The game was played on April 24, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Cercle Brugge has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. FCV Dender EH has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses, with 0.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Cercle Brugge scores 1.45 goals per game and allows 1.52. FCV Dender EH scores 0.82 and allows 1.73. Games in this league average 2.62 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 64% of Cercle Brugge's games and 58% of FCV Dender EH's. The Over 2.5 rates are 55% and 52%, compared with league averages of 54% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Cercle Brugge has the higher season xG average, 1.62 to 1.27 per game. Cercle Brugge takes 14.4 shots per game, while FCV Dender EH takes 10.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Cercle Brugge leads at halftime in 30% of its games and scores 0.61 goals per game after halftime. FCV Dender EH leads at halftime in 15% and scores 0.42 after halftime.
When the teams score
Cercle Brugge's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (15 goals). For FCV Dender EH, it is minutes 0-15 (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Pro League games average 2.62 goals. Both teams score in 54% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 2 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Cercle Brugge are the favorites: in the last 5 matches they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss and have scored 13 goals, while FCV Dender EH have 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses and 4 goals. The home side have an advantage in quality of chances — Cercle’s average xG is 1.74 versus 1.23 for the visitors, and they also register more shots and shots on target (15.63 and 5.31 compared to 10.38 and 4.13). Form corroborates the edge: hosts average 2 points per match over the last 5 fixtures, visitors only 0.6, and Dender failed to score in 38% of away games versus 19% for hosts. However both teams have defensive issues — Cercle concede on average 1.94 goals at home, and Dender have a negative goal difference on the road (-10) and conceded 11 goals in the last 5 matches, which increases the outcome uncertainty. Considering the attacking superiority, xG and current form, I expect a home win, but with a moderate probability of a draw.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Strong grounds for BTTS - Yes stem from seasonal indicators: Cercle has BTTS 59%, Dender 56%, with a league average of 55%. In the last 5 matches Cercle has BTTS 80% and scored 13 goals (2.6 per match), while Dender has BTTS 60% and only 4 goals (0.8 per match), highlighting Cercle's offensive form and Dender's poor finishing. Additionally, Dender concedes an average of 2.2 goals in the last 5 matches, and recent xG shows 2.02 xG_for for Cercle versus 2.02 xG_against for Dender, which increases the likelihood of goals from both sides. Frequent goals are also supported by low clean sheet percentages: 18% for Cercle and 19% for Dender, and seasonal average goals conceded of 2.0 (Cercle) and 1.44 (Dender). Considering the seasonal 59%/56%, recent 80%/60%, low CS 18%/19%, plus xG and goal numbers, I price BTTS at 67% vs 33% and recommend the "yes" bet as the strongest signal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
A model based on average xG yields expected goals of 1.57 for Cercle (attacking xG 1.30 vs away defense concedes 1.84 xG) and 1.47 for Dender (attacking xG 1.23 vs home defense 1.71), total 3.04. With this forecast a Poisson distribution estimates probability of Over 1.5 at ~81%, Over 2.5 at ~59% and Over 3.5 at ~36%. Match data confirm the signal: Cercle scored 13 goals in the last 5 matches (2.6 avg) with 100% of matches over 2.5, Dender scored 4 in the last 5 (0.8 avg) with 60% over 2.5; season-to-date the share of matches over 2.5 is 59% for Cercle and 44% for Dender. Both teams concede many goals (season: Cercle 50, Dender 57), and average shooting stats of 11.24 shots (3.53 on target) for the home side and 10.38 (4.13 on target) for the away side support a higher goal count. In light of these figures the strongest signal is to play Over on the 2.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
In the last 5 matches Cercle Brugge led at the break in 3 of 5 fixtures (60%) and averaged 1.4 goals by half-time (10 goals in 5), while FCV Dender averaged 0.4 first-half goals (4 goals) over the same period. Cercle have won 60% of their last 5 matches (3 of 5) and average 2.6 goals scored per match, whereas Dender have only a 20% win rate and average 0.8 goals, which favors the home side for the full-time result. However, seasonally the hosts concede an average of 2.0 goals per match and have only a 6% win rate this season, indicating defensive instability and a risk of surrendering a lead in the second half. xG is balanced (1.30 for the hosts versus 1.23 for the visitors) and the hosts’ seasonal BTTS rate is 59%, so I expect goals at both ends, but the strongest signal (given the 1.4 first-half goals and 60% recent win rate for the hosts) points to Cercle leading at half-time and winning at full-time (1/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Cercle Brugge | FCV Dender EH | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.21 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Cercle Brugge is 233% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Cercle Brugge · 0.6 pts / game - FCV Dender EH
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cercle Brugge is 77% better for: goals scored per game.
1.45 goals / game - Cercle Brugge · 0.82 goals / game - FCV Dender EH
Cercle Brugge is 14% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.52 goals / game - Cercle Brugge · 1.73 goals / game - FCV Dender EH
Cercle Brugge scores in 79% of games (26 of 33 meczów), while FCV Dender EH keeps a clean sheet in 18% (6 of 33 meczów).
FCV Dender EH scores in 64% of games (21 of 33 meczów), while Cercle Brugge keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 33 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Cercle Brugge
Over / Under - FCV Dender EH
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cercle Brugge is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.24 pts / game - Cercle Brugge · 1 pts / game - FCV Dender EH
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cercle Brugge - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 27%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
FCV Dender EH - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 15% of games and wins 12%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -7 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (15 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Cercle Brugge
FCV Dender EH
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Pro League).
Teams vs league
| Cercle Brugge | Liga | FCV Dender EH | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.97 | 2.62 | • 2.55 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 64% | 54% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 55% | 48% | ▲ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 27% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 85% | 70% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 75% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Cercle Brugge's perspective: 1 win, 2 draws and 0 losses against FCV Dender EH. Games average 1.67 goals, and both teams scored in 33% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Cercle Brugge vs FCV Dender EH?
The Pro League match finished Cercle Brugge 2:1 FCV Dender EH. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Cercle Brugge and FCV Dender EH?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Cercle Brugge won 1, FCV Dender EH won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Cercle Brugge vs FCV Dender EH?
Cercle Brugge score 1.45 goals per game on average and FCV Dender EH 0.82. The Pro League average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Cercle Brugge's matches and 58% of FCV Dender EH's.
What form are Cercle Brugge and FCV Dender EH in?
Over the last 5 games Cercle Brugge have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and FCV Dender EH 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cercle Brugge vs FCV Dender EH?
The statistical background for Cercle Brugge vs FCV Dender EH — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.


