Cerro Largo vs Progreso: match statistics
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Cerro Largo vs Progreso: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Cerro Largo plays Progreso in Primera División (Uruguay). The game is scheduled for November 12, 2026. Venue: Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla.
Recent form
Cerro Largo has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Progreso has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Cerro Largo scores 0.94 goals per game and allows 1.17. Progreso scores 0.89 and allows 1.40. Games in this league average 2.38 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 43% of Cerro Largo's games and 43% of Progreso's. The Over 2.5 rates are 31% and 40%, compared with league averages of 51% for BTTS and 44% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Cerro Largo has the higher season xG average, 1.23 to 1.20 per game. Cerro Largo takes 9.5 shots per game, while Progreso takes 8.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Cerro Largo leads at halftime in 23% of its games and scores 0.63 goals per game after halftime. Progreso leads at halftime in 20% and scores 0.54 after halftime.
When the teams score
Cerro Largo's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (13 goals). For Progreso, it is minutes 76-90+ (13 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Primera División games average 2.38 goals. Both teams score in 51% of games, and 44% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 3 home wins, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
Before kickoff
1X2 odds
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Cerro Largo | Progreso | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Progreso is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Cerro Largo · 1.4 pts / game - Progreso
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cerro Largo is 6% better for: goals scored per game.
0.94 goals / game - Cerro Largo · 0.89 goals / game - Progreso
Cerro Largo is 20% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.17 goals / game - Cerro Largo · 1.4 goals / game - Progreso
Cerro Largo scores in 63% of games (22 of 35 games), while Progreso keeps a clean sheet in 17% (6 of 35 games).
Progreso scores in 60% of games (21 of 35 games), while Cerro Largo keeps a clean sheet in 26% (9 of 35 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Cerro Largo
Over / Under - Progreso
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cerro Largo - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 23% of games and wins 26%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Progreso - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Cerro Largo
Progreso
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Cerro Largo | Liga | Progreso | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.11 | 2.38 | • 2.29 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 51% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 31% | 44% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 26% | 29% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 66% | ▲ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 77% | 73% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Cerro Largo's perspective: 3 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses against Progreso. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 67% of them.
FAQ
When do Cerro Largo and Progreso play?
Cerro Largo face Progreso on November 12, 2026 in Primera División at Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Cerro Largo and Progreso?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Cerro Largo won 3, Progreso won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Cerro Largo vs Progreso?
Cerro Largo score 0.94 goals per game on average and Progreso 0.89. The Primera División average is 2.38 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Cerro Largo's matches and 43% of Progreso's.
What form are Cerro Largo and Progreso in?
Over the last 5 games Cerro Largo have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Progreso 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cerro Largo vs Progreso?
The statistical background for Cerro Largo vs Progreso — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.