Cerro Porteño vs Guaraní: match statistics
Cerro Porteño vs Guaraní: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Cerro Porteño play Guaraní in Division Profesional (Paraguay). The match date is 12 May 2026 at 01:00. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Cerro Porteño: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Guaraní: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Cerro Porteño scores 1.43 and concedes 0.90 goals per match. Guaraní scores 1.23 and concedes 1.05. League average: 2.44 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Cerro Porteño 38%, Guaraní 45%. Over 2.5: Cerro Porteño 33%, Guaraní 41%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 43%.
xG, shots and style
Cerro Porteño has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.24. Cerro Porteño: 13.6 shots per match, Guaraní: 11.0.
Match halves
Cerro Porteño: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.76. Guaraní: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.68.
Goals by minute
Cerro Porteño: 76-90+ (9 goals). Guaraní: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Division Profesional: 2.44 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 43%.
Head-to-head
5 H2H matches: 4-0-1. Average goals 2.60, BTTS 20%.
Match description
Cerro Porteño has a clear advantage in key creative metrics: at home they average 15.44 shots and 5 shots on target per match with xG 1.54, while Guaraní away averages 9.56 shots, 3.33 on target and xG 1.11. The hosts’ defense looks more solid — Cerro Porteño concedes 0.67 goals at home on average and keeps a clean sheet in 44% of matches, whereas Guaraní concede 1.33 goals away and have 33% clean sheets. This dominance is reflected in results: the hosts win 56% of home matches versus just 11% away wins for Guaraní, and in the last 5 meetings both teams scored 5 goals each with average points of 1.6 for Cerro Porteño and 1.4 for Guaraní. Cerro also has superior possession (59% vs 48%), which combined with more shots (15.44 vs 9.56) generates more chances despite the visitors’ higher finishing rate (13% vs 9%). Considering the xG edge (1.54 vs 1.11), better defense (0.67 vs 1.33 conceded per match) and markedly higher home win rate (56% vs 11%), I predict a home win; estimated probabilities are 65% for 1, 20% for draw and 15% for 2.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Cerro Porteño | Guaraní | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cerro Porteño is 16% better for: goals scored per match.
1.43 goals / match - Cerro Porteño · 1.23 goals / match - Guaraní
Cerro Porteño is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.9 goals / match - Cerro Porteño · 1.05 goals / match - Guaraní
Cerro Porteño scores in 71% of matches (15 of 21 matches), while Guaraní keeps a clean sheet in 36% (8 of 22 matches).
Guaraní scores in 64% of matches (14 of 22 matches), while Cerro Porteño keeps a clean sheet in 48% (10 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Cerro Porteño
Over / Under — Guaraní
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cerro Porteño is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.48 pts / match - Cerro Porteño · 1.41 pts / match - Guaraní
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cerro Porteño - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 52%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Guaraní - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Cerro Porteño
Guaraní
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Profesional).
Teams vs league
| Cerro Porteño | Liga | Guaraní | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.33 | 2.44 | ▼ 2.27 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 51% | ▼ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 43% | ▼ 41% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 48% | 29% | ▲ 36% |
| Goal before half-time | • 62% | 63% | ▼ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 78% | ▼ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Cerro Porteño 4 - 0 - 1 Guaraní. Average goals 2.60, both teams scored in 20% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Cerro Porteño vs Guaraní?
The Division Profesional match finished Cerro Porteño 0:0 Guaraní. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Cerro Porteño and Guaraní?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Cerro Porteño won 4, Guaraní won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.60 goals, with both teams scoring in 20% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Cerro Porteño vs Guaraní?
Cerro Porteño score 1.43 goals per game on average and Guaraní 1.23. The Division Profesional average is 2.44 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Cerro Porteño's matches and 45% of Guaraní's.
What form are Cerro Porteño and Guaraní in?
Over the last 5 games Cerro Porteño have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Guaraní 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cerro Porteño vs Guaraní?
The statistical background for Cerro Porteño vs Guaraní — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.