Cerro Porteño vs Sportivo Luqueño: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates very balanced chances for both teams. Cerro Porteño shows solid form with three wins in their last five matches overall and remains unbeaten at home, although their only home match ended in a draw. Sportivo Luqueño has a 100% away record this season (1 match, 1 win) along with a higher shot conversion rate (29% vs 11%) and an advantage in ball possession (63% vs 52%). However, the visitors show inconsistent overall form with a record of 2-0-3 in their last five matches. Considering the hosts' history of draws at home, the visitors' high shooting efficiency, and balanced xG statistics, the most likely outcome is a share of the points, with a slight advantage for the hosts due to playing in front of their home crowd.
Cerro Porteño vs Sportivo Luqueño: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Cerro Porteño play Sportivo Luqueño in Division Profesional (Paraguay). The match date is 3 February 2026 at 00:15. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Cerro Porteño: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Sportivo Luqueño: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Cerro Porteño scores 1.43 and concedes 0.90 goals per match. Sportivo Luqueño scores 1.09 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.44 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Cerro Porteño 38%, Sportivo Luqueño 64%. Over 2.5: Cerro Porteño 33%, Sportivo Luqueño 55%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 43%.
xG, shots and style
Cerro Porteño has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.25. Cerro Porteño: 13.6 shots per match, Sportivo Luqueño: 11.4.
Match halves
Cerro Porteño: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.76. Sportivo Luqueño: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.41.
Goals by minute
Cerro Porteño: 76-90+ (9 goals). Sportivo Luqueño: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Division Profesional: 2.44 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 43%.
Head-to-head
5 H2H matches: 2-3-0. Average goals 1.60, BTTS 40%.
Match description
Statistical analysis indicates very balanced chances for both teams. Cerro Porteño shows solid form with three wins in their last five matches overall and remains unbeaten at home, although their only home match ended in a draw. Sportivo Luqueño has a 100% away record this season (1 match, 1 win) along with a higher shot conversion rate (29% vs 11%) and an advantage in ball possession (63% vs 52%). However, the visitors show inconsistent overall form with a record of 2-0-3 in their last five matches. Considering the hosts' history of draws at home, the visitors' high shooting efficiency, and balanced xG statistics, the most likely outcome is a share of the points, with a slight advantage for the hosts due to playing in front of their home crowd.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Cerro Porteño | Sportivo Luqueño | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cerro Porteño is 31% better for: goals scored per match.
1.43 goals / match - Cerro Porteño · 1.09 goals / match - Sportivo Luqueño
Cerro Porteño is 67% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.9 goals / match - Cerro Porteño · 1.5 goals / match - Sportivo Luqueño
Cerro Porteño scores in 71% of matches (15 of 21 matches), while Sportivo Luqueño keeps a clean sheet in 9% (2 of 22 matches).
Sportivo Luqueño scores in 64% of matches (14 of 22 matches), while Cerro Porteño keeps a clean sheet in 48% (10 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Cerro Porteño
Over / Under — Sportivo Luqueño
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cerro Porteño is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.48 pts / match - Cerro Porteño · 1.23 pts / match - Sportivo Luqueño
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cerro Porteño - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 52%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Sportivo Luqueño - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Cerro Porteño
Sportivo Luqueño
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Profesional).
Teams vs league
| Cerro Porteño | Liga | Sportivo Luqueño | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.33 | 2.44 | ▲ 2.59 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 51% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 43% | ▲ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 48% | 29% | ▼ 9% |
| Goal before half-time | • 62% | 63% | ▲ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 78% | • 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Cerro Porteño 2 - 3 - 0 Sportivo Luqueño. Average goals 1.60, both teams scored in 40% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Cerro Porteño vs Sportivo Luqueño?
The Division Profesional match finished Cerro Porteño 2:0 Sportivo Luqueño. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Cerro Porteño and Sportivo Luqueño?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Cerro Porteño won 2, Sportivo Luqueño won 0 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 1.60 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Cerro Porteño vs Sportivo Luqueño?
Cerro Porteño score 1.43 goals per game on average and Sportivo Luqueño 1.09. The Division Profesional average is 2.44 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Cerro Porteño's matches and 64% of Sportivo Luqueño's.
What form are Cerro Porteño and Sportivo Luqueño in?
Over the last 5 games Cerro Porteño have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Sportivo Luqueño 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cerro Porteño vs Sportivo Luqueño?
The statistical background for Cerro Porteño vs Sportivo Luqueño — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.