Cerro vs Juventud: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates an evenly matched encounter between two weak teams in poor form. Cerro has not won any home matches this season (0% win rate), scoring only 0.5 goals per game, although they maintain a balanced xG (1.16 vs 1.13). Juventud has also not won away (0% Win%), conceding an average of 2.67 goals, but they display better offensive efficiency (1.33 goals/game) and never finish matches without scoring (0% FTS%). Both teams have a negative goal difference and poor form in their last five matches (0.4 and 0.8 PPG). Considering Cerro's high draw rate at home (50%) and the overall weakness of both sides, a draw appears to be the most likely outcome of this match.
Cerro vs Juventud: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Cerro played against Juventud in Primera División (Uruguay). The game was played on March 25, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Cerro has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.40 points per game. Juventud has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses, with 0.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Cerro scores 0.43 goals per game and allows 1.57. Juventud scores 1.00 and allows 1.71. Games in this league average 2.33 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 43% of Cerro's games and 57% of Juventud's. The Over 2.5 rates are 29% and 57%, compared with league averages of 47% for BTTS and 47% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Juventud has the higher season xG average, 1.45 to 1.20 per game. Cerro takes 10.6 shots per game, while Juventud takes 10.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Cerro leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 0.14 goals per game after halftime. Juventud leads at halftime in 29% and scores 0.43 after halftime.
When the teams score
Cerro's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (1 goals). For Juventud, it is minutes 16-30 (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Primera División games average 2.33 goals. Both teams score in 47% of games, and 47% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates an evenly matched encounter between two weak teams in poor form. Cerro has not won any home matches this season (0% win rate), scoring only 0.5 goals per game, although they maintain a balanced xG (1.16 vs 1.13). Juventud has also not won away (0% Win%), conceding an average of 2.67 goals, but they display better offensive efficiency (1.33 goals/game) and never finish matches without scoring (0% FTS%). Both teams have a negative goal difference and poor form in their last five matches (0.4 and 0.8 PPG). Considering Cerro's high draw rate at home (50%) and the overall weakness of both sides, a draw appears to be the most likely outcome of this match.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Juventud has a very strong BTTS profile: a 100% BTTS rate this season, 0% clean sheets, and a high average of goals conceded (2.67) with an xG against of 1.56, which favors a Cerro goal. On the other hand, Cerro does not keep clean sheets (0% CS) and concedes an average of 1.0 goals, so Juventud, with a scoring rate of 1.33 goals per match and an xG for of 1.12, has a realistic chance of scoring. Although Cerro has a low average goals scored (0.75) and a high percentage of failed-to-score matches (75% FTS), its creative parameters are good (xG for 1.71 and 6.25 shots on target), which, against the opponent's weak defense, increases the likelihood of breaking through. The last 5 matches support the BTTS scenario (Cerro 60%, Juventud 80%) with concurrently elevated average goals conceded (1.4 and 1.8). Compared to the league average (46% BTTS), this match has above-average potential for both teams to score, despite the risk stemming from Cerro's inefficiency.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The goal model based on xG and seasonal averages indicates approximately 2.78 goals per match (1.66 Cerro vs 1.12 Juventud). The key factor is Juventud's very poor defense: 2.67 goals conceded per match and an xG against of 1.56, with 0% clean sheets for both sides. Cerro generates high xG for (1.71) and many shots on target (6.25 SOT), which increases the probability of at least two goals despite a low conversion rate (6%) and frequent failure to score (FTS 75%). Juventud in league matches has a 100% over 1.5 and 100% over 2.5 record, which supports the scenario of a high-scoring game. The strongest and most stable signal is the over 1.5 line, because even with the risk of Cerro's inefficiency, the defensive weakness of the visitors and their scoring ability (1.33 goals/match) favor surpassing this threshold.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal for a 1/1 outcome stems from Juventud's very weak defense: conceding 2.67 goals on average away from home and 1.33 goals conceded by halftime. Cerro generates significantly better chance quality (xG for 1.71 vs 1.12) and more shots on target (6.25 vs 3.33), which should translate into a lead already in the first half. Additionally, Juventud often trails at the break (67% of matches), reinforcing the scenario of the hosts leading at HT. At the FT level, Cerro has better PPG (0.75 vs 0.33) and, given the opponent's high concession rate, is favored to maintain the advantage. The risk for a clean 1/1 is that both teams have 0% clean sheets this season and Juventud has a 100% BTTS rate, hence significant probability has been allocated to comeback/turnaround variants.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Cerro | Juventud | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 24% | 47% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.17 | 0.20 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Juventud is 50% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / game - Cerro · 0.6 pts / game - Juventud
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Juventud is 133% better for: goals scored per game.
0.43 goals / game - Cerro · 1 goals / game - Juventud
Cerro is 9% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.57 goals / game - Cerro · 1.71 goals / game - Juventud
Cerro scores in 43% of games (3 of 7 meczów), while Juventud keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 7 meczów).
Juventud scores in 57% of games (4 of 7 meczów), while Cerro keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 7 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Cerro
Over / Under - Juventud
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Juventud is 41% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.71 pts / game - Cerro · 1 pts / game - Juventud
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cerro - second-half results
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Juventud - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 14%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Cerro
Juventud
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Cerro | Liga | Juventud | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.00 | 2.33 | ▲ 2.71 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 47% | ▲ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 29% | 47% | ▲ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 30% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 43% | 67% | ▲ 86% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 75% | ▼ 57% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Record from Cerro's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss against Juventud. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Cerro vs Juventud?
The Primera División match finished Cerro 1:0 Juventud. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Cerro and Juventud?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Cerro won 1, Juventud won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Cerro vs Juventud?
Cerro score 0.43 goals per game on average and Juventud 1.00. The Primera División average is 2.33 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Cerro's matches and 57% of Juventud's.
What form are Cerro and Juventud in?
Over the last 5 games Cerro have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Juventud 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cerro vs Juventud?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.