Cerro vs Wanderers: match statistics
Cerro vs Wanderers: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Cerro played against Wanderers in Primera División (Uruguay). The game was played on October 4, 2026. Venue: Estadio Monumental Luis Tróccoli. Final score: 0:2.
Recent form
Cerro has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Wanderers has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Cerro scores 0.77 goals per game and allows 1.43. Wanderers scores 1.26 and allows 1.32. Games in this league average 2.39 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 43% of Cerro's games and 55% of Wanderers's. The Over 2.5 rates are 40% and 48%, compared with league averages of 51% for BTTS and 45% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Wanderers has the higher season xG average, 1.36 to 1.20 per game. Cerro takes 9.9 shots per game, while Wanderers takes 10.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Cerro leads at halftime in 17% of its games and scores 0.27 goals per game after halftime. Wanderers leads at halftime in 32% and scores 0.68 after halftime.
When the teams score
Cerro's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). For Wanderers, it is minutes 31-45+ (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Primera División games average 2.39 goals. Both teams score in 51% of games, and 45% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Cerro have a slight home advantage: they have won 43% of their home matches, while Wanderers have lost 50% of their away games. The hosts’ defense could prove decisive, conceding an average of 0.71 goals per game at home compared with 1.81 goals conceded by the visitors away. Wanderers create slightly better scoring chances, with an away xG of 1.41 against Cerro’s 1.22 at home, and score an average of 1.25 goals compared with the hosts’ 0.79. However, both teams have won just one of their last five matches, and Wanderers conceded 10 goals during that period, compared with Cerro’s 7. The hosts’ lower scoring output makes this pick less certain, but their stronger defense and the visitors’ away struggles point towards a Cerro win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
In their last five matches, both teams scored in 60% of Cerro's games and 100% of Wanderers' games, supporting a BTTS - Yes pick. Wanderers conceded an average of 2.0 goals per game during this period, while Cerro conceded 1.4, giving both sides a chance to exploit their opponents' weaknesses. Across the full season, the teams averaged 1.27 and 1.25 goals scored per game, respectively, with xG of 1.31 for Cerro and 1.41 for Wanderers. However, caution is warranted: Cerro kept a clean sheet in 47% of its matches, and its season-long BTTS rate is 47%, compared with 63% for Wanderers. The stronger signals from the last five matches and the goals conceded give a slight edge to the scenario in which both teams score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal points to Under 3.5 goals: this line has not been exceeded in 93% of Cerro's matches and 75% of Wanderers' matches. Cerro concede an average of 0.8 goals per match, limiting the visitors' scoring potential despite their average xG of 1.41. On the other hand, Wanderers concede an average of 1.81 goals, giving the hosts a chance to score, although their own average is 1.27 goals. In each team's last five matches, Over 2.5 goals landed 60% of the time, making this line a less clear signal. The forecast of 2.50 total goals suggests that a match with two or three goals is more likely than one with at least four.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is Cerro leading at the break and holding on to their advantage until full time: the hosts were ahead at half-time in 47% of their matches, while Wanderers were trailing at that point in 44%. Cerro average 0.80 goals scored before the break, while Wanderers concede 0.81; the visitors score just 0.38 goals in this period, compared with 0.33 conceded by the hosts. Across full matches, Cerro won 47% and conceded an average of 0.80 goals, whereas Wanderers lost 50% and conceded 1.81 goals. A draw at half-time remains a notable alternative, as both teams were level after 45 minutes in 3 of their last 5 matches. However, Cerro’s season-long edge in first halves makes 1/1 the more compelling HT/FT pick. Confidence is tempered by the hosts’ recent form—they have won just once in their previous 5 matches—so I assign this outcome a 29% probability rather than making it a clear majority scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Cerro | Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Wanderers is 64% better for: goals scored per game.
0.77 goals / game - Cerro · 1.26 goals / game - Wanderers
Wanderers is 8% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.43 goals / game - Cerro · 1.32 goals / game - Wanderers
Cerro scores in 63% of games (19 of 30 games), while Wanderers keeps a clean sheet in 35% (11 of 31 games).
Wanderers scores in 81% of games (25 of 31 games), while Cerro keeps a clean sheet in 23% (7 of 30 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Cerro
Over / Under - Wanderers
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Wanderers is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.1 pts / game - Cerro · 1.39 pts / game - Wanderers
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cerro - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 30%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Wanderers - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 32% of games and wins 42%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -10 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Cerro
Wanderers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Cerro | Liga | Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.20 | 2.39 | ▲ 2.58 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 51% | ▲ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 45% | ▲ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 23% | 29% | ▲ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 67% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 77% | 73% | ▲ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Cerro's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses against Wanderers. Games average 2.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Cerro vs Wanderers?
The Primera División match finished Cerro 0:2 Wanderers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Cerro and Wanderers?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Cerro won 2, Wanderers won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Cerro vs Wanderers?
Cerro score 0.77 goals per game on average and Wanderers 1.26. The Primera División average is 2.39 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Cerro's matches and 55% of Wanderers's.
What form are Cerro and Wanderers in?
Over the last 5 games Cerro have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Wanderers 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cerro vs Wanderers?
The statistical background for Cerro vs Wanderers — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.