Ceuta vs Málaga CF: match statistics
Ceuta vs Málaga CF: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ceuta play Málaga CF in Segunda División (Spain). The match date is 16 May 2026 at 16:15. Final score: 1:4.
Current form
Ceuta: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Málaga CF: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ceuta scores 1.21 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Málaga CF scores 1.72 and concedes 1.17. League average: 2.63 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ceuta 55%, Málaga CF 61%. Over 2.5: Ceuta 55%, Málaga CF 57%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Málaga CF has higher xG: 1.60 vs 1.23. Ceuta: 10.5 shots per match, Málaga CF: 13.9.
Match halves
Ceuta: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.50. Málaga CF: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Ceuta: 0-15 (11 goals). Málaga CF: 76-90+ (22 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Segunda División: 2.63 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Ceuta holds a slight edge in this match due to a markedly better home defense: the hosts concede 1.00 goal per home game on average and keep 32% clean sheets, while Málaga concedes 1.42 goals away and has a 21% clean sheet rate. In attack Málaga looks more dangerous — the visitors have scored 12 goals in their last five matches (2.4 per game) versus Ceuta’s 5 goals (1.0 per game), and over the season Málaga has 68 goals for compared to Ceuta’s 47. Quality of chances is even: average xG is 1.40 for Ceuta at home against 1.38 for Málaga away, with similar shot volumes (11.84 vs 12.26) and shots on target (4.37 vs 4.05). Form shows divergent trends — Ceuta in their last 5 matches have a record of 1 win and 4 draws, scored 5 and conceded 4, averaging 1.4 points in that period, while Málaga have 3 wins and 2 losses, scored 12 and conceded 9, averaging 1.8 points. Considering Ceuta’s superior home results (58% wins) and positive home goal difference (+7) versus Málaga’s zero goal difference away, I give a slight lean towards a home win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ceuta | Málaga CF | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Málaga CF is 10% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Ceuta · 2.2 pts / match - Málaga CF
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Málaga CF is 42% better for: goals scored per match.
1.21 goals / match - Ceuta · 1.72 goals / match - Málaga CF
Málaga CF is 28% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.5 goals / match - Ceuta · 1.17 goals / match - Málaga CF
Ceuta scores in 74% of matches (31 of 42 matches), while Málaga CF keeps a clean sheet in 28% (13 of 46 matches).
Málaga CF scores in 85% of matches (39 of 46 matches), while Ceuta keeps a clean sheet in 29% (12 of 42 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Ceuta
Over / Under — Málaga CF
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Málaga CF is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.4 pts / match - Ceuta · 1.57 pts / match - Málaga CF
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ceuta - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Málaga CF - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (11 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (22 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (18). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ceuta
Málaga CF
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Segunda División).
Teams vs league
| Ceuta | Liga | Málaga CF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.71 | 2.63 | ▲ 2.89 |
| Both teams scored | • 55% | 56% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 55% | 50% | ▲ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 26% | ▲ 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 68% | • 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 60% | 75% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Ceuta 0 - 0 - 1 Málaga CF. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ceuta vs Málaga CF?
The Segunda División match finished Ceuta 1:4 Málaga CF. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ceuta vs Málaga CF?
Ceuta score 1.21 goals per game on average and Málaga CF 1.72. The Segunda División average is 2.63 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Ceuta's matches and 61% of Málaga CF's.
What form are Ceuta and Málaga CF in?
Over the last 5 games Ceuta have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Málaga CF 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ceuta vs Málaga CF?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.