Chapecoense vs Bahia: match statistics
Chapecoense vs Bahia: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Chapecoense played against Bahia in Serie A (Brazil). The game was played on August 16, 2026. Venue: Arena Condá. Final score: 3:3.
Recent form
Chapecoense has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.20 points per game. Bahia has 1 win, 4 draws and 0 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Chapecoense scores 0.95 goals per game and allows 2.05. Bahia scores 1.32 and allows 1.14. Games in this league average 2.58 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 62% of Chapecoense's games and 64% of Bahia's. The Over 2.5 rates are 52% and 45%, compared with league averages of 58% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Bahia has the higher season xG average, 1.55 to 1.25 per game. Chapecoense takes 12.3 shots per game, while Bahia takes 14.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Chapecoense leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 0.67 goals per game after halftime. Bahia leads at halftime in 32% and scores 0.64 after halftime.
When the teams score
Chapecoense's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). For Bahia, it is minutes 31-45+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie A games average 2.58 goals. Both teams score in 58% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Bahia sit 5th, while Chapecoense are 20th, with the season-long record reinforcing the gap: 8 away wins compared with just 1 home victory. Chapecoense have failed to win any of their last five matches, scoring only 3 goals and conceding 10, whereas Bahia remain unbeaten during this period, drawing 4 times and conceding just 2 goals. The home side’s defense allows opponents an average of 2.4 goals per match at home, with only 10% clean sheets, which should create opportunities for Bahia despite their average of 1.2 goals scored away from home. The visitors are also more efficient in converting shots, turning 9% of their attempts into goals compared with Chapecoense’s 8%, while the hosts lose 50% of their home matches. Chapecoense’s high 40% home-draw rate limits confidence in the pick, but Bahia’s more stable defense and clearly superior form point to an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The seasonal metrics of both teams suggest goals at both ends, as Chapecoense have recorded BTTS in 67% of their matches and Bahia in 60%, both above the league average of 56%. However, the current-form signal is significantly weaker: in their last 5 matches, BTTS landed in only 40% of cases for both sides, while Chapecoense scored just 3 goals, averaging 0.6 per game. Bahia have been particularly solid defensively, conceding only 2 goals during this period, or 0.4 per match, which increases the risk of the hosts failing to score. Chapecoense do have a high seasonal average of 1.70 xG, but their xG has recently dropped to 0.93, while Bahia have kept a clean sheet in 30% of matches. Bahia should have chances to score against a team that has recently conceded an average of 2.0 goals, but the most likely scenario remains BTTS - No, meaning that at least one team will fail to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal is the low share of matches with at least 4 goals: this outcome occurred in only 8% of Chapecoense’s games and 30% of Bahia’s matches, supporting the Under 3.5 goals pick. Bahia have conceded just 2 goals in their last 5 matches, averaging 0.4 per game, while Chapecoense have scored only 3 goals during that period. The hosts do have a season xG of 1.70, but their recent xG has fallen to 0.93, while Bahia have allowed opponents an average of 1.52 xG. The projected total of 2.16 goals suggests a realistic chance of 1–2 goals, while leaving a clear safety margin below the 3.5-goal line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is Bahia leading at the break and securing the win at full time, as Chapecoense have failed to score a single first-half goal in their last five matches and were trailing at half-time in as many as 80% of them. Over the same period, Bahia averaged 0.6 goals scored and just 0.4 conceded before the break, while the hosts conceded an average of 1.0 goal. The full-time form also favors the visitors: Chapecoense have lost three of their last five matches and averaged only 0.6 goals scored, whereas Bahia are unbeaten in their last five games, conceding just 0.4 goals per match. Across the season, the hosts do have a higher xG, 1.70 compared with 1.38, but Bahia’s defense has clearly limited opponents in their recent run, strengthening the possibility of them holding on to any lead. Additionally, Chapecoense have been trailing at half-time in only 8% of their matches this season, but their current attacking crisis and an average of 2.0 goals conceded in their last five outings increase the risk of a defeat from start to finish.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Chapecoense | Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Bahia is 600% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / game - Chapecoense · 1.4 pts / game - Bahia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bahia is 39% better for: goals scored per game.
0.95 goals / game - Chapecoense · 1.32 goals / game - Bahia
Bahia is 80% better for: goals allowed per game.
2.05 goals / game - Chapecoense · 1.14 goals / game - Bahia
Chapecoense scores in 62% of games (13 of 21 games), while Bahia keeps a clean sheet in 32% (7 of 22 games).
Bahia scores in 86% of games (19 of 22 games), while Chapecoense keeps a clean sheet in 5% (1 of 21 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Chapecoense
Over / Under - Bahia
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bahia is 105% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.62 pts / game - Chapecoense · 1.27 pts / game - Bahia
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Chapecoense - second-half results
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Bahia - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 32% of games and wins 36%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -6 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Chapecoense
Bahia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Chapecoense | Liga | Bahia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.00 | 2.58 | ▼ 2.45 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 62% | 58% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 52% | 48% | ▼ 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 5% | 24% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 62% | 75% | ▲ 86% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 77% | ▼ 59% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Chapecoense's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Bahia. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Chapecoense vs Bahia?
The Serie A match finished Chapecoense 3:3 Bahia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Chapecoense vs Bahia?
Chapecoense score 0.95 goals per game on average and Bahia 1.32. The Serie A average is 2.58 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Chapecoense's matches and 64% of Bahia's.
What form are Chapecoense and Bahia in?
Over the last 5 games Chapecoense have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Bahia 1-4-0 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Chapecoense vs Bahia?
The statistical background for Chapecoense vs Bahia — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.