Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Sarasota Paradise: match statistics
Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Sarasota Paradise: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Chattanooga Red Wolves play Sarasota Paradise in USL League One (United States). The match date is 9 May 2026 at 21:00. Final score: 4:1.
Current form
Chattanooga Red Wolves: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Sarasota Paradise: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Chattanooga Red Wolves scores 1.93 and concedes 1.21 goals per match. Sarasota Paradise scores 0.94 and concedes 1.56. League average: 2.85 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Chattanooga Red Wolves 57%, Sarasota Paradise 50%. Over 2.5: Chattanooga Red Wolves 64%, Sarasota Paradise 50%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 59%.
xG, shots and style
Chattanooga Red Wolves has higher xG: 1.52 vs 1.43. Chattanooga Red Wolves: 12.5 shots per match, Sarasota Paradise: 12.2.
Match halves
Chattanooga Red Wolves: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 1.07. Sarasota Paradise: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Chattanooga Red Wolves: 46-60 (7 goals). Sarasota Paradise: 46-60 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL League One: 2.85 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 59%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
The favorite is Chattanooga Red Wolves: at home they record an average xG of 1.78 versus the visitors' 1.05 xG on the road and attempt an average of 13 shots per match compared to Sarasota's 8.5. Defensively the hosts look better — they concede an average of 1.00 goal at home, while Sarasota concedes 2.00 goals away and has conceded 10 goals in the last 5 matches versus 7 for Chattanooga. Both teams, however, have clear finishing issues: the hosts average 0 goals in home matches, the visitors 0 goals away, and both sides have scored 3 goals in their last 5 fixtures. Form is poor on both sides — Chattanooga in the last 5 matches is 0-1-4 with 0.2 pts/match, and Sarasota 1-0-4 with 0.6 pts/match. Considering the advantage in quality of chances (xG 1.78 vs 1.05), higher shot volume (13 vs 8.5) and the better defensive profile (xG against 0.80 vs 1.76), I forecast a home win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Chattanooga Red Wolves | Sarasota Paradise | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.42 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Chattanooga Red Wolves is 140% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Chattanooga Red Wolves · 1 pts / match - Sarasota Paradise
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Chattanooga Red Wolves is 105% better for: goals scored per match.
1.93 goals / match - Chattanooga Red Wolves · 0.94 goals / match - Sarasota Paradise
Chattanooga Red Wolves is 29% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.21 goals / match - Chattanooga Red Wolves · 1.56 goals / match - Sarasota Paradise
Chattanooga Red Wolves scores in 86% of matches (12 of 14 matches), while Sarasota Paradise keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).
Sarasota Paradise scores in 67% of matches (12 of 18 matches), while Chattanooga Red Wolves keeps a clean sheet in 29% (4 of 14 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Chattanooga Red Wolves
Over / Under — Sarasota Paradise
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Chattanooga Red Wolves is 60% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Chattanooga Red Wolves · 0.94 pts / match - Sarasota Paradise
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Chattanooga Red Wolves - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Sarasota Paradise - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Chattanooga Red Wolves
Sarasota Paradise
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL League One).
Teams vs league
| Chattanooga Red Wolves | Liga | Sarasota Paradise | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.14 | 2.85 | ▼ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 57% | 55% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 64% | 59% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 26% | ▲ 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 73% | ▼ 44% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 80% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Sarasota Paradise?
The USL League One match finished Chattanooga Red Wolves 4:1 Sarasota Paradise. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Sarasota Paradise?
Chattanooga Red Wolves score 1.93 goals per game on average and Sarasota Paradise 0.94. The USL League One average is 2.85 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Chattanooga Red Wolves's matches and 50% of Sarasota Paradise's.
What form are Chattanooga Red Wolves and Sarasota Paradise in?
Over the last 5 games Chattanooga Red Wolves have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Sarasota Paradise 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Sarasota Paradise?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.