Chelsea vs Burnley: match statistics
As the home team, Chelsea demonstrate significantly higher form and quality compared to Burnley. The hosts occupy 5th place in the table with a 46% win rate at home, while Burnley are in 19th position with only 15% wins away and an alarming goal difference of -16. Chelsea at home score an average of 1.69 goals with an xG of 1.71 and concede only 1.15 goals, keeping 38% clean sheets. Burnley away concede an average of as many as 2.46 goals with an xGA of 2.0 and have not kept a single clean sheet throughout the entire away season. The recent form of both teams also favors Chelsea – the hosts have collected 10 points in their last 5 matches, while Burnley have managed only 4 points. A significant advantage in possession (60% vs 40%), shooting efficiency, and overall defensive organization makes Chelsea the clear favorite for this fixture.
Chelsea vs Burnley: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Chelsea played against Burnley in Premier League (England). The game was played on February 21, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Chelsea has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.60 points per game. Burnley has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Chelsea scores 1.81 goals per game and allows 1.15. Burnley scores 1.08 and allows 1.96. Games in this league average 2.78 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 65% of Chelsea's games and 58% of Burnley's. The Over 2.5 rates are 65% and 54%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 54% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Chelsea has the higher season xG average, 1.60 to 1.06 per game. Chelsea takes 13.7 shots per game, while Burnley takes 9.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Chelsea leads at halftime in 46% of its games and scores 1.04 goals per game after halftime. Burnley leads at halftime in 12% and scores 0.58 after halftime.
When the teams score
Chelsea's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (12 goals). For Burnley, it is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Premier League games average 2.78 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 54% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
As the home team, Chelsea demonstrate significantly higher form and quality compared to Burnley. The hosts occupy 5th place in the table with a 46% win rate at home, while Burnley are in 19th position with only 15% wins away and an alarming goal difference of -16. Chelsea at home score an average of 1.69 goals with an xG of 1.71 and concede only 1.15 goals, keeping 38% clean sheets. Burnley away concede an average of as many as 2.46 goals with an xGA of 2.0 and have not kept a single clean sheet throughout the entire away season. The recent form of both teams also favors Chelsea – the hosts have collected 10 points in their last 5 matches, while Burnley have managed only 4 points. A significant advantage in possession (60% vs 40%), shooting efficiency, and overall defensive organization makes Chelsea the clear favorite for this fixture.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Chelsea | Burnley | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Chelsea is 160% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / game - Chelsea · 1 pts / game - Burnley
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Chelsea is 68% better for: goals scored per game.
1.81 goals / game - Chelsea · 1.08 goals / game - Burnley
Chelsea is 70% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.15 goals / game - Chelsea · 1.96 goals / game - Burnley
Chelsea scores in 92% of games (24 of 26 meczów), while Burnley keeps a clean sheet in 12% (3 of 26 meczów).
Burnley scores in 65% of games (17 of 26 meczów), while Chelsea keeps a clean sheet in 35% (9 of 26 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Chelsea
Over / Under - Burnley
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Chelsea is 132% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.69 pts / game - Chelsea · 0.73 pts / game - Burnley
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Chelsea - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 46% of games and wins 46%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Burnley - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 12% of games and wins 15%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 2.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Chelsea
Burnley
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Chelsea | Liga | Burnley | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.96 | 2.78 | ▲ 3.04 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 56% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 65% | 54% | • 54% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 25% | ▼ 12% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 77% | 72% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | • 81% | 80% | ▼ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Chelsea's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Burnley. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Chelsea vs Burnley?
The Premier League match finished Chelsea 1:0 Burnley. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Chelsea vs Burnley?
Chelsea score 1.81 goals per game on average and Burnley 1.08. The Premier League average is 2.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Chelsea's matches and 58% of Burnley's.
What form are Chelsea and Burnley in?
Over the last 5 games Chelsea have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Burnley 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Chelsea vs Burnley?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Chelsea vs Burnley: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.