Cherno More vs Arda: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a tight contest with a slight edge for the hosts. Cherno More displays solid home form with 55% clean sheets and only 18% losses at their own stadium; however, their last 5 overall matches yielded just 0.6 points per game. Arda is in clearly better shape, earning 2 points per game in their last five fixtures and winning 3 of them. A key factor is Cherno More's high home draw percentage (45%), which, combined with Arda's decent away record (36% wins) and comparable xG values, suggests a draw. However, the hosts' advantage in possession and superior shooting stats could tip the scales in their favor if their finishing proves effective.
Cherno More vs Arda: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Cherno More played against Arda in First League (Bulgaria). The game was played on March 4, 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Recent form
Cherno More has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Arda has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Cherno More scores 1.17 goals per game and allows 0.74. Arda scores 1.04 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 2.34 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 48% of Cherno More's games and 26% of Arda's. The Over 2.5 rates are 35% and 35%, compared with league averages of 46% for BTTS and 45% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Cherno More has the higher season xG average, 1.58 to 1.52 per game. Cherno More takes 12.3 shots per game, while Arda takes 11.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Cherno More leads at halftime in 39% of its games and scores 0.57 goals per game after halftime. Arda leads at halftime in 26% and scores 0.39 after halftime.
When the teams score
Cherno More's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). For Arda, it is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
First League games average 2.34 goals. Both teams score in 46% of games, and 45% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a tight contest with a slight edge for the hosts. Cherno More displays solid home form with 55% clean sheets and only 18% losses at their own stadium; however, their last 5 overall matches yielded just 0.6 points per game. Arda is in clearly better shape, earning 2 points per game in their last five fixtures and winning 3 of them. A key factor is Cherno More's high home draw percentage (45%), which, combined with Arda's decent away record (36% wins) and comparable xG values, suggests a draw. However, the hosts' advantage in possession and superior shooting stats could tip the scales in their favor if their finishing proves effective.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Cherno More | Arda | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Arda is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Cherno More · 2 pts / game - Arda
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cherno More is 13% better for: goals scored per game.
1.17 goals / game - Cherno More · 1.04 goals / game - Arda
Cherno More is 35% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.74 goals / game - Cherno More · 1 goals / game - Arda
Cherno More scores in 70% of games (16 of 23 meczów), while Arda keeps a clean sheet in 43% (10 of 23 meczów).
Arda scores in 52% of games (12 of 23 meczów), while Cherno More keeps a clean sheet in 43% (10 of 23 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Cherno More
Over / Under - Arda
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cherno More is 25% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.57 pts / game - Cherno More · 1.26 pts / game - Arda
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cherno More - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 39% of games and wins 39%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Arda - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 26% of games and wins 35%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Cherno More
Arda
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First League).
Teams vs league
| Cherno More | Liga | Arda | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.91 | 2.34 | ▼ 2.04 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 48% | 46% | ▼ 26% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 35% | 45% | ▼ 35% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 43% | 34% | ▲ 43% |
| Goal before half-time | • 65% | 65% | ▲ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 61% | 70% | ▼ 57% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Cherno More's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Arda. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Cherno More vs Arda?
The First League match finished Cherno More 0:0 Arda. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Cherno More vs Arda?
Cherno More score 1.17 goals per game on average and Arda 1.04. The First League average is 2.34 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Cherno More's matches and 26% of Arda's.
What form are Cherno More and Arda in?
Over the last 5 games Cherno More have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Arda 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cherno More vs Arda?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.