Chicago Fire vs New York City: match statistics
Chicago Fire vs New York City: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Chicago Fire played against New York City in MLS (United States). The game was played on October 10, 2026. Venue: Soldier Field. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Chicago Fire has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. New York City has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Chicago Fire scores 1.81 goals per game and allows 1.44. New York City scores 1.52 and allows 1.33. Games in this league average 3.22 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 70% of Chicago Fire's games and 67% of New York City's. The Over 2.5 rates are 74% and 52%, compared with league averages of 63% for BTTS and 63% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Chicago Fire has the higher season xG average, 1.61 to 1.34 per game. Chicago Fire takes 14.3 shots per game, while New York City takes 11.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Chicago Fire leads at halftime in 41% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. New York City leads at halftime in 41% and scores 0.59 after halftime.
When the teams score
Chicago Fire's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (11 goals). For New York City, it is minutes 16-30 (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
MLS games average 3.22 goals. Both teams score in 63% of games, and 63% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Chicago Fire have a clear home advantage: they have won 58% of their home matches and score an average of 1.83 goals per game there, while New York City have won 31% of their away matches and average 1.15 goals. The hosts also create more chances—their average home xG is 1.76, compared with 1.13 for the visitors away from home, and they record 5.33 shots on target per game to the visitors’ 3.85. New York City’s away defense concedes chances worth an average xG of 1.50, further strengthening the case for a Chicago goal. Caution is warranted, however, as both teams have won just 1 of their last 5 matches, while Chicago conceded 10 goals in that period compared with 5 for their opponents. Despite the hosts’ recent defensive struggles, their superior finishing and chance quality at home make a Chicago win the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS has landed in 64% of Chicago Fire’s matches and 69% of New York City’s, so the full-season data points towards goals for both teams. Chicago average 1.86 goals per match, while New York City concede 1.15, giving the hosts a solid basis for finding the net. The visitors score an average of 1.15 goals, while Chicago concede 1.50; however, their average xG of 1.13 indicates less attacking threat than the hosts, whose xG stands at 1.53. The last five matches warrant caution: BTTS landed in 60% of Chicago’s games, but in only 40% of New York City’s. Despite this weaker recent signal, the season-long BTTS frequency and Chicago’s defensive vulnerability make both teams to score the more likely outcome.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal is Over 1.5 goals: this threshold was reached in 86% of Chicago matches and 85% of New York City matches. The hosts average 1.86 goals scored, while the visitors concede 1.15; meanwhile, Chicago concede 1.50 goals per game, compared with New York City's average of 1.15 goals scored. The hosts' attacking potential is reflected in an average xG of 1.53 and 5.29 shots on target per match, versus 1.13 xG and 3.85 shots on target for the visitors. The Over 2.5 goals line is less reliable, having landed in 64% of Chicago matches but only 38% of New York City matches. Therefore, with a forecast of 2.79 total goals, Over 1.5 goals offers a clearer edge than the higher lines.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A half-time draw is likely, as New York City were level at the break in 3 of their last 5 matches, while Chicago averaged just 0.4 goals before half-time over the same period. The hosts do, however, have the potential to take the lead: their average xG is 1.53 compared with the visitors’ 1.13, and they register 5.29 shots on target per match against 3.85. New York City’s more solid defense also supports the draw, with the hosts conceding an average of 1.15 goals per match, compared with Chicago’s 1.50. In addition, the visitors have drawn 38% of their matches this season, and both teams have recorded 2 draws in their last 5 matches. Therefore, X/X is a slightly stronger pick than a home win, although the hosts’ attacking advantage means a draw cannot be considered a certain outcome.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Chicago Fire | New York City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Chicago Fire is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Chicago Fire · 1 pts / game - New York City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Chicago Fire is 19% better for: goals scored per game.
1.81 goals / game - Chicago Fire · 1.52 goals / game - New York City
New York City is 8% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.44 goals / game - Chicago Fire · 1.33 goals / game - New York City
Chicago Fire scores in 93% of games (25 of 27 games), while New York City keeps a clean sheet in 19% (5 of 27 games).
New York City scores in 81% of games (22 of 27 games), while Chicago Fire keeps a clean sheet in 26% (7 of 27 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Chicago Fire
Over / Under - New York City
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Chicago Fire - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 41% of games and wins 48%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
New York City - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 41% of games and wins 30%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Chicago Fire
New York City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| Chicago Fire | Liga | New York City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 3.26 | 3.22 | ▼ 2.85 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 70% | 63% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 74% | 63% | ▼ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 26% | 21% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 85% | 78% | ▲ 85% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 82% | ▼ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Chicago Fire's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against New York City. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Chicago Fire vs New York City?
The MLS match finished Chicago Fire 2:1 New York City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Chicago Fire vs New York City?
Chicago Fire score 1.81 goals per game on average and New York City 1.52. The MLS average is 3.22 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 70% of Chicago Fire's matches and 67% of New York City's.
What form are Chicago Fire and New York City in?
Over the last 5 games Chicago Fire have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and New York City 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Chicago Fire vs New York City?
The statistical background for Chicago Fire vs New York City — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.