Colchester United vs Notts County: match statistics
Colchester United vs Notts County: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Colchester United play Notts County in EFL League Two (England). The match date is 25 April 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Colchester United: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Notts County: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Colchester United scores 1.35 and concedes 1.07 goals per match. Notts County scores 1.59 and concedes 1.06. League average: 2.57 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Colchester United 50%, Notts County 53%. Over 2.5: Colchester United 35%, Notts County 55%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Colchester United has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.34. Colchester United: 12.4 shots per match, Notts County: 11.0.
Match halves
Colchester United: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.67. Notts County: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.88.
Goals by minute
Colchester United: 0-15 (13 goals). Notts County: 76-90+ (18 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Colchester hold the edge in home metrics: they average 1.59 goals at home with an xG of 1.65, 5.05 shots on target and 58% possession, while Notts County away average 1.27 goals and xG 1.22 with 3.5 shots on target and 54% possession. Defensively the hosts also look stronger — Colchester concede 1.00 goal at home on average and have conceded 5 goals in their last 5 matches, whereas Notts concede 1.23 goals away and have shipped 9 goals in their last five. Form over the last 5: the hosts are 3 wins and 2 losses (7 goals scored and 1.8 points per game), the visitors 2 wins and 3 losses (7 goals, 1.2 points per game). Notts County do, however, possess a superior overall season goal tally — 72 goals vs Colchester’s 58 — and a slightly higher shot conversion rate (12% vs 11%), so they remain a threat offensively. Considering Colchester’s advantage in xG (1.65 vs 1.22), higher home goals average (1.59 vs 1.27) and better defensive form in the last 5 matches (5 conceded vs 9), I favor the home side (58%), draw 20% and Notts win 22%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Colchester United | Notts County | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Notts County is 22% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Colchester United · 2.2 pts / match - Notts County
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Notts County is 18% better for: goals scored per match.
1.35 goals / match - Colchester United · 1.59 goals / match - Notts County
Colchester United scores in 67% of matches (31 of 46 matches), while Notts County keeps a clean sheet in 33% (16 of 49 matches).
Notts County scores in 82% of matches (40 of 49 matches), while Colchester United keeps a clean sheet in 24% (11 of 46 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Colchester United
Over / Under — Notts County
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Notts County is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.22 pts / match - Colchester United · 1.49 pts / match - Notts County
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Colchester United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Notts County - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (13 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (18 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Colchester United
Notts County
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Colchester United | Liga | Notts County | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.41 | 2.57 | • 2.65 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 52% | • 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 35% | 48% | ▲ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 27% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 61% | 67% | • 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 72% | 78% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Colchester United 1 - 0 - 0 Notts County. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Colchester United vs Notts County?
The EFL League Two match finished Colchester United 0:1 Notts County. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Colchester United vs Notts County?
Colchester United score 1.35 goals per game on average and Notts County 1.59. The EFL League Two average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Colchester United's matches and 53% of Notts County's.
What form are Colchester United and Notts County in?
Over the last 5 games Colchester United have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Notts County 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Colchester United vs Notts County?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.