Colchester United vs Swindon Town: match statistics
Colchester United vs Swindon Town: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Colchester United play Swindon Town in EFL League Two (England). The match date is 10 April 2026 at 20:45. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Colchester United: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Swindon Town: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Colchester United scores 1.35 and concedes 1.07 goals per match. Swindon Town scores 1.52 and concedes 1.28. League average: 2.57 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Colchester United 50%, Swindon Town 59%. Over 2.5: Colchester United 35%, Swindon Town 63%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Colchester United has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.35. Colchester United: 12.4 shots per match, Swindon Town: 11.7.
Match halves
Colchester United: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.67. Swindon Town: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.83.
Goals by minute
Colchester United: 0-15 (13 goals). Swindon Town: 76-90+ (19 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Swindon Town (5th) appears to be the favorite: they have 22 wins this season versus Colchester’s 15 and 67 goals scored to the hosts’ 53. In the last 5 matches Swindon have scored 7 goals, with 3 wins and 2 draws (0 losses) and an average of 2.2 pts per match, while Colchester have scored only 3 goals, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses and 0.8 pts per match. Colchester at home record higher possession (57%) and average xG 1.57 with 13.75 shots per game, whereas Swindon away average 53% possession, xG 1.39 and 11.71 shots; however Swindon’s shot conversion is 13% versus Colchester’s 11%, and the visitors fail to score in only 10% of away matches (hosts 30% FTS). Defensively Colchester concede 1.05 goals per game at home with xG against 1.16, while Swindon concede 1.19 goals away with xG against 1.56, suggesting the visitors allow more high-quality chances but nonetheless keep clean sheets more often (33% vs 25%). Considering superior form (2.2 vs 0.8 pts), higher conversion and lower percentage of matches without scoring, I predict a Swindon win; probabilities estimated at 55% for the visitors, 25% for the hosts and 20% for a draw.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Colchester United | Swindon Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Colchester United is 125% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Colchester United · 0.8 pts / match - Swindon Town
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Swindon Town is 13% better for: goals scored per match.
1.35 goals / match - Colchester United · 1.52 goals / match - Swindon Town
Colchester United is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.07 goals / match - Colchester United · 1.28 goals / match - Swindon Town
Colchester United scores in 67% of matches (31 of 46 matches), while Swindon Town keeps a clean sheet in 28% (13 of 46 matches).
Swindon Town scores in 85% of matches (39 of 46 matches), while Colchester United keeps a clean sheet in 24% (11 of 46 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Colchester United
Over / Under — Swindon Town
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Swindon Town is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.22 pts / match - Colchester United · 1.28 pts / match - Swindon Town
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Colchester United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Swindon Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (13 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (19 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Colchester United
Swindon Town
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Colchester United | Liga | Swindon Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.41 | 2.57 | ▲ 2.80 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 52% | ▲ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 35% | 48% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 27% | • 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 61% | 67% | ▲ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 72% | 78% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Colchester United 0 - 1 - 0 Swindon Town. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Colchester United vs Swindon Town?
The EFL League Two match finished Colchester United 3:0 Swindon Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Colchester United vs Swindon Town?
Colchester United score 1.35 goals per game on average and Swindon Town 1.52. The EFL League Two average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Colchester United's matches and 59% of Swindon Town's.
What form are Colchester United and Swindon Town in?
Over the last 5 games Colchester United have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Swindon Town 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Colchester United vs Swindon Town?
The statistical background for Colchester United vs Swindon Town — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.