Colwyn Bay vs Cardiff MU: match statistics
Full analysis and pick in the app
Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Colwyn Bay vs Cardiff MU: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Colwyn Bay plays Cardiff MU in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The game is scheduled for October 23, 2026. Venue: Llanelian Road.
Recent form
Colwyn Bay has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.40 points per game. Cardiff MU has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Colwyn Bay scores 1.69 goals per game and allows 1.15. Cardiff MU scores 1.85 and allows 1.23. Games in this league average 3.29 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 31% of Colwyn Bay's games and 38% of Cardiff MU's. The Over 2.5 rates are 46% and 54%, compared with league averages of 52% for BTTS and 61% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Cardiff MU has the higher season xG average, 1.63 to 1.51 per game. Colwyn Bay takes 12.9 shots per game, while Cardiff MU takes 13.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Colwyn Bay leads at halftime in 46% of its games and scores 0.69 goals per game after halftime. Cardiff MU leads at halftime in 46% and scores 1.15 after halftime.
When the teams score
Colwyn Bay's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). For Cardiff MU, it is minutes 61-75 (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Welsh Premier League games average 3.29 goals. Both teams score in 52% of games, and 61% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Before kickoff
1X2 odds
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Colwyn Bay | Cardiff MU | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Colwyn Bay is 71% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / game - Colwyn Bay · 1.4 pts / game - Cardiff MU
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cardiff MU is 9% better for: goals scored per game.
1.69 goals / game - Colwyn Bay · 1.85 goals / game - Cardiff MU
Colwyn Bay is 7% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.15 goals / game - Colwyn Bay · 1.23 goals / game - Cardiff MU
Colwyn Bay scores in 77% of games (10 of 13 games), while Cardiff MU keeps a clean sheet in 38% (5 of 13 games).
Cardiff MU scores in 77% of games (10 of 13 games), while Colwyn Bay keeps a clean sheet in 46% (6 of 13 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Colwyn Bay
Over / Under - Cardiff MU
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cardiff MU is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.46 pts / game - Colwyn Bay · 1.69 pts / game - Cardiff MU
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Colwyn Bay - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 46% of games and wins 62%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Cardiff MU - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 46% of games and wins 46%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Colwyn Bay
Cardiff MU
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Colwyn Bay | Liga | Cardiff MU | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.85 | 3.29 | ▼ 3.08 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 31% | 52% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 46% | 61% | ▼ 54% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 46% | 25% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 92% | 79% | ▼ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 54% | 85% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Colwyn Bay's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses against Cardiff MU. Games average 2.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
When do Colwyn Bay and Cardiff MU play?
Colwyn Bay face Cardiff MU on October 23, 2026 in Welsh Premier League at Llanelian Road. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Colwyn Bay and Cardiff MU?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Colwyn Bay won 1, Cardiff MU won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Colwyn Bay vs Cardiff MU?
Colwyn Bay score 1.69 goals per game on average and Cardiff MU 1.85. The Welsh Premier League average is 3.29 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 31% of Colwyn Bay's matches and 38% of Cardiff MU's.
What form are Colwyn Bay and Cardiff MU in?
Over the last 5 games Colwyn Bay have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Cardiff MU 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Colwyn Bay vs Cardiff MU?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.


