Wales - Welsh Premier LeagueLlanelian RoadData current as of October 19, 2026

Colwyn Bay vs Cardiff MU: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Colwyn Bay vs Cardiff MU: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Colwyn Bay plays Cardiff MU in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The game is scheduled for October 23, 2026. Venue: Llanelian Road.

Recent form

Colwyn Bay has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.40 points per game. Cardiff MU has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.

Scoring records

Colwyn Bay scores 1.69 goals per game and allows 1.15. Cardiff MU scores 1.85 and allows 1.23. Games in this league average 3.29 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 31% of Colwyn Bay's games and 38% of Cardiff MU's. The Over 2.5 rates are 46% and 54%, compared with league averages of 52% for BTTS and 61% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Cardiff MU has the higher season xG average, 1.63 to 1.51 per game. Colwyn Bay takes 12.9 shots per game, while Cardiff MU takes 13.4.

First-half and second-half trends

Colwyn Bay leads at halftime in 46% of its games and scores 0.69 goals per game after halftime. Cardiff MU leads at halftime in 46% and scores 1.15 after halftime.

When the teams score

Colwyn Bay's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). For Cardiff MU, it is minutes 61-75 (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Welsh Premier League games average 3.29 goals. Both teams score in 52% of games, and 61% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

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Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Colwyn BayCardiff MU
1.69Goals scored / game1.85
Colwyn BayCardiff MU
1.15Goals allowed / game1.23
Colwyn BayCardiff MU
50%Average possession49%
Colwyn BayCardiff MU
4.46Shots on target / game5.38
Colwyn BayCardiff MU

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

12.92Shots per game13.38
Colwyn BayCardiff MU
4.46Shots on target5.38
Colwyn BayCardiff MU
13.1%Shot conversion13.8%
Colwyn BayCardiff MU
50%Possession49%
Colwyn BayCardiff MU
1.51xG for1.63
Colwyn BayCardiff MU
1.08xG against1.56
Colwyn BayCardiff MU

Shooting quality

Colwyn Bay: Efficient finishingCardiff MU: Efficient finishing
Colwyn BayCardiff MU
Accuracy (shots on target)35%40%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.380.34

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Colwyn Bay is 71% better for: last-5 form.

2.4 pts / game - Colwyn Bay · 1.4 pts / game - Cardiff MU

Colwyn Bay
WWWLW
Season result split
62% W8% D31% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-1-4
1.92 pts / game · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-0-0
Last 5 at home
5-0-0
WWWWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.67Opponent xG: 0.86BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%
Cardiff MU
LDWWL
Season result split
46% W23% D31% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-3-4
1.62 pts / game · goal difference +8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
3-1-2
Last 5 away
2-1-2
LWDLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.42Opponent xG: 1.55BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Cardiff MU is 9% better for: goals scored per game.

1.69 goals / game - Colwyn Bay · 1.85 goals / game - Cardiff MU

Colwyn Bay is 7% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.15 goals / game - Colwyn Bay · 1.23 goals / game - Cardiff MU

Colwyn Bay scoring profile: strong

Colwyn Bay scores in 77% of games (10 of 13 games), while Cardiff MU keeps a clean sheet in 38% (5 of 13 games).

Cardiff MU scoring profile: strong

Cardiff MU scores in 77% of games (10 of 13 games), while Colwyn Bay keeps a clean sheet in 46% (6 of 13 games).

22Goals scored (season)24
Colwyn BayCardiff MU
15Goals conceded (season)16
Colwyn BayCardiff MU
2.85Average goals per game3.08
Colwyn BayCardiff MU
12Goals scored (last 5)5
Colwyn BayCardiff MU
3Goals conceded (last 5)6
Colwyn BayCardiff MU

How often they score at least...

77%1 goal77%
Colwyn BayCardiff MU
46%2 goals46%
Colwyn BayCardiff MU
15%3 goals23%
Colwyn BayCardiff MU
15%4 goals15%
Colwyn BayCardiff MU

How often they concede at least...

54%1 goal62%
Colwyn BayCardiff MU
31%2 goals31%
Colwyn BayCardiff MU
15%3 goals15%
Colwyn BayCardiff MU
8%4 goals8%
Colwyn BayCardiff MU

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

8%BTTS at half-time0%
Colwyn BayCardiff MU
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Colwyn BayCardiff MU
15%Scored in both halves46%
Colwyn BayCardiff MU

BTTS and goal count

31%Min. 3 goals and BTTS31%
Colwyn BayCardiff MU
15%Min. 3 goals without BTTS23%
Colwyn BayCardiff MU
20%BTTS - last 540%
Colwyn BayCardiff MU

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

92%Min. 1 goal before half-time69%
Colwyn BayCardiff MU
38%Min. 2 goals before half-time23%
Colwyn BayCardiff MU
23%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
Colwyn BayCardiff MU

2nd half

54%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
Colwyn BayCardiff MU
38%Min. 2 goals after half-time54%
Colwyn BayCardiff MU
15%Min. 3 goals after half-time38%
Colwyn BayCardiff MU

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Cardiff MU is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.46 pts / game - Colwyn Bay · 1.69 pts / game - Cardiff MU

Colwyn Bay - half-time state
46% leading8% draw46% trailing
Cardiff MU - half-time state
46% leading31% draw23% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.46Points per game (1st half)1.69
Colwyn BayCardiff MU
1Goals scored (1st half)0.69
Colwyn BayCardiff MU
0.69Goals conceded (1st half)0.31
Colwyn BayCardiff MU
1.69Average goals (1st half)1
Colwyn BayCardiff MU
54%Clean sheet before half-time77%
Colwyn BayCardiff MU
46%No goal before half-time54%
Colwyn BayCardiff MU

After half-time (2nd half)

1.38Points per game (2nd half)1.69
Colwyn BayCardiff MU
0.69Goals scored (2nd half)1.15
Colwyn BayCardiff MU
0.46Goals conceded (2nd half)0.92
Colwyn BayCardiff MU
1.15Average goals (2nd half)2.08
Colwyn BayCardiff MU
77%Clean sheet after half-time46%
Colwyn BayCardiff MU
62%No goal after half-time23%
Colwyn BayCardiff MU

Colwyn Bay - second-half results

31% W46% D23% L
19
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
18
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.46
PPG before half-time
Lead holding135%

Leads at halftime in 46% of games and wins 62%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.2

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Cardiff MU - second-half results

54% W8% D38% L
22
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
22
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.69
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 46% of games and wins 46%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.6

Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Colwyn Bay - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.401.80
Goals scored / game1.41.0
Goals allowed / game0.60.0
Average goals per game2.01.0
1 goal80%40%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet60%100%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+4+5
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 7
Cardiff MU - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.201.40
Goals scored / game0.20.8
Goals allowed / game0.40.8
Average goals per game0.61.6
1 goal40%100%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-10
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Colwyn Bay
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
4
4
16-30
7
4
31-45
3
3
46-60
4
2
61-75
2
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Cardiff MU
ScoredConceded
4
2
0-15
2
1
16-30
3
1
31-45
2
3
46-60
8
3
61-75
5
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.96
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.5 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
90%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
35%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-16%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
59%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Colwyn Bay

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.43
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.11
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.18
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.07
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
95%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
76%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.48
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
9% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
9%

Cardiff MU

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.55
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.22
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.33
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
123%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
69%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.22
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).

Teams vs league

Colwyn BayLigaCardiff MU
Average goals per game▼ 2.853.29▼ 3.08
Both teams scored▼ 31%52%▼ 38%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 46%61%▼ 54%
Clean sheets▲ 46%25%▲ 38%
Goal before half-time▲ 92%79%▼ 69%
Goal after half-time▼ 54%85%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.29
Average goals per game
52%
Both teams scored
61%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.78
Home goals / game
1.51
Away goals / game
+18%
Home attack advantage
+15%
Home defensive advantage
+12%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
10%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
85%
1 goal
51%
2 goals
25%
3 goals
12%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Colwyn Bay's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses against Cardiff MU. Games average 2.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.

Colwyn Bay FC
0 : 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University FC
Cardiff Metropolitan University FC
1 : 4
Colwyn Bay FC

FAQ

When do Colwyn Bay and Cardiff MU play?

Colwyn Bay face Cardiff MU on October 23, 2026 in Welsh Premier League at Llanelian Road. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Colwyn Bay and Cardiff MU?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Colwyn Bay won 1, Cardiff MU won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Colwyn Bay vs Cardiff MU?

Colwyn Bay score 1.69 goals per game on average and Cardiff MU 1.85. The Welsh Premier League average is 3.29 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 31% of Colwyn Bay's matches and 38% of Cardiff MU's.

What form are Colwyn Bay and Cardiff MU in?

Over the last 5 games Colwyn Bay have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Cardiff MU 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Colwyn Bay vs Cardiff MU?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.