Colwyn Bay vs Connah's Quay: match statistics
Connah's Quay displays decidedly better form and statistics this season. The visitors sit in 2nd place with 14 victories and a goal difference of 48:25, while Colwyn Bay is in 6th position with a balance of 29:25. Connah's Quay's away form is particularly impressive – 64% away wins, 45% clean sheets, and a streak of 4 wins in the last 5 matches overall. The hosts, meanwhile, have lost 3 of their last 5 fixtures and possess weaker scoring efficiency (1.64 goals on average in home matches vs 1.82 for the visitors on the road). Connah's Quay's advantage in possession (56% vs 47%) and higher xG coefficient further support the prediction of an away victory.
Colwyn Bay vs Connah's Quay: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Colwyn Bay played against Connah's Quay in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The game was played on January 24, 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Recent form
Colwyn Bay has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Connah's Quay has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 2.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Colwyn Bay scores 1.32 goals per game and allows 1.14. Connah's Quay scores 2.18 and allows 1.14. Games in this league average 3.09 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Colwyn Bay's games and 64% of Connah's Quay's. The Over 2.5 rates are 41% and 77%, compared with league averages of 53% for BTTS and 58% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Connah's Quay has the higher season xG average, 1.83 to 1.45 per game. Colwyn Bay takes 11.6 shots per game, while Connah's Quay takes 13.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Colwyn Bay leads at halftime in 36% of its games and scores 0.45 goals per game after halftime. Connah's Quay leads at halftime in 41% and scores 1.32 after halftime.
When the teams score
Colwyn Bay's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). For Connah's Quay, it is minutes 76-90+ (12 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Welsh Premier League games average 3.09 goals. Both teams score in 53% of games, and 58% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Connah's Quay displays decidedly better form and statistics this season. The visitors sit in 2nd place with 14 victories and a goal difference of 48:25, while Colwyn Bay is in 6th position with a balance of 29:25. Connah's Quay's away form is particularly impressive – 64% away wins, 45% clean sheets, and a streak of 4 wins in the last 5 matches overall. The hosts, meanwhile, have lost 3 of their last 5 fixtures and possess weaker scoring efficiency (1.64 goals on average in home matches vs 1.82 for the visitors on the road). Connah's Quay's advantage in possession (56% vs 47%) and higher xG coefficient further support the prediction of an away victory.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Colwyn Bay | Connah's Quay | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 44% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Connah's Quay is 117% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Colwyn Bay · 2.6 pts / game - Connah's Quay
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Connah's Quay is 65% better for: goals scored per game.
1.32 goals / game - Colwyn Bay · 2.18 goals / game - Connah's Quay
Colwyn Bay scores in 68% of games (15 of 22 meczów), while Connah's Quay keeps a clean sheet in 32% (7 of 22 meczów).
Connah's Quay scores in 91% of games (20 of 22 meczów), while Colwyn Bay keeps a clean sheet in 27% (6 of 22 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Colwyn Bay
Over / Under - Connah's Quay
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Connah's Quay is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.45 pts / game - Colwyn Bay · 1.64 pts / game - Connah's Quay
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Colwyn Bay - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 36% of games and wins 36%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Connah's Quay - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 41% of games and wins 64%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +6 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Colwyn Bay
Connah's Quay
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Colwyn Bay | Liga | Connah's Quay | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.45 | 3.09 | ▲ 3.32 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 53% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 41% | 58% | ▲ 77% |
| Clean sheets | • 27% | 28% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | • 77% | 77% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 45% | 74% | ▲ 91% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Other recorded players
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Colwyn Bay's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss against Connah's Quay. Games average 2.50 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Colwyn Bay vs Connah's Quay?
The Welsh Premier League match finished Colwyn Bay 2:2 Connah's Quay. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Colwyn Bay and Connah's Quay?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Colwyn Bay won 0, Connah's Quay won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Colwyn Bay vs Connah's Quay?
Colwyn Bay score 1.32 goals per game on average and Connah's Quay 2.18. The Welsh Premier League average is 3.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Colwyn Bay's matches and 64% of Connah's Quay's.
What form are Colwyn Bay and Connah's Quay in?
Over the last 5 games Colwyn Bay have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Connah's Quay 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Colwyn Bay vs Connah's Quay?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Colwyn Bay vs Connah's Quay: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.