Colwyn Bay vs Penybont: match statistics
Penybont demonstrates significantly better away form with a 50% win rate on the road, while Colwyn Bay wins only 31% of their home matches. The visitors hold 3rd place in the table with an 11-7-7 record, placing them clearly above the hosts (6th place, 9-7-9 record). Penybont boasts a better shot conversion rate (16% vs 13%) and a higher average possession (48% vs 46%). Colwyn Bay are in terrible form, averaging just 0.8 points per game over their last 5 matches with an L,D,L,W,L sequence, while Penybont average 1.2 points per game and show more stable form with a W,D,D,L,D run. Although the visitors concede more goals on average away from home (2.25), their advantage in other statistics along with a 42% clean sheet rate in away matches supports their case for victory. The hosts have failed to win 3 of their last 5 matches, further diminishing their chances.
Colwyn Bay vs Penybont: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Colwyn Bay played against Penybont in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The game was played on February 21, 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Recent form
Colwyn Bay has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Penybont has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Colwyn Bay scores 1.28 goals per game and allows 1.16. Penybont scores 1.44 and allows 1.48. Games in this league average 2.99 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 48% of Colwyn Bay's games and 40% of Penybont's. The Over 2.5 rates are 40% and 44%, compared with league averages of 51% for BTTS and 56% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Penybont has the higher season xG average, 1.48 to 1.45 per game. Colwyn Bay takes 11.6 shots per game, while Penybont takes 10.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Colwyn Bay leads at halftime in 32% of its games and scores 0.52 goals per game after halftime. Penybont leads at halftime in 20% and scores 0.96 after halftime.
When the teams score
Colwyn Bay's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). For Penybont, it is minutes 46-60 (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Welsh Premier League games average 2.99 goals. Both teams score in 51% of games, and 56% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Penybont demonstrates significantly better away form with a 50% win rate on the road, while Colwyn Bay wins only 31% of their home matches. The visitors hold 3rd place in the table with an 11-7-7 record, placing them clearly above the hosts (6th place, 9-7-9 record). Penybont boasts a better shot conversion rate (16% vs 13%) and a higher average possession (48% vs 46%). Colwyn Bay are in terrible form, averaging just 0.8 points per game over their last 5 matches with an L,D,L,W,L sequence, while Penybont average 1.2 points per game and show more stable form with a W,D,D,L,D run. Although the visitors concede more goals on average away from home (2.25), their advantage in other statistics along with a 42% clean sheet rate in away matches supports their case for victory. The hosts have failed to win 3 of their last 5 matches, further diminishing their chances.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Colwyn Bay | Penybont | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Penybont is 50% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Colwyn Bay · 1.2 pts / game - Penybont
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Penybont is 13% better for: goals scored per game.
1.28 goals / game - Colwyn Bay · 1.44 goals / game - Penybont
Colwyn Bay is 28% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.16 goals / game - Colwyn Bay · 1.48 goals / game - Penybont
Colwyn Bay scores in 68% of games (17 of 25 meczów), while Penybont keeps a clean sheet in 40% (10 of 25 meczów).
Penybont scores in 64% of games (16 of 25 meczów), while Colwyn Bay keeps a clean sheet in 28% (7 of 25 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Colwyn Bay
Over / Under - Penybont
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Colwyn Bay is 21% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.36 pts / game - Colwyn Bay · 1.12 pts / game - Penybont
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Colwyn Bay - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 32% of games and wins 36%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Penybont - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 44%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Colwyn Bay
Penybont
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Colwyn Bay | Liga | Penybont | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.44 | 2.99 | • 2.92 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 48% | 51% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 56% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | • 28% | 29% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 72% | 75% | ▼ 56% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 52% | 75% | • 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Record from Colwyn Bay's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss against Penybont. Games average 5.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Colwyn Bay vs Penybont?
The Welsh Premier League match finished Colwyn Bay 3:1 Penybont. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Colwyn Bay and Penybont?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Colwyn Bay won 1, Penybont won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Colwyn Bay vs Penybont?
Colwyn Bay score 1.28 goals per game on average and Penybont 1.44. The Welsh Premier League average is 2.99 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Colwyn Bay's matches and 40% of Penybont's.
What form are Colwyn Bay and Penybont in?
Over the last 5 games Colwyn Bay have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Penybont 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Colwyn Bay vs Penybont?
The statistical background for Colwyn Bay vs Penybont — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.