Comerciantes Unidos vs Melgar: match statistics
Comerciantes Unidos vs Melgar: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Comerciantes Unidos played against Melgar in Primera División (Peru). The game was played on May 10, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Comerciantes Unidos has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Melgar has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Comerciantes Unidos scores 1.31 goals per game and allows 1.23. Melgar scores 1.54 and allows 1.23. Games in this league average 2.74 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 62% of Comerciantes Unidos's games and 62% of Melgar's. The Over 2.5 rates are 46% and 62%, compared with league averages of 58% for BTTS and 55% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Melgar has the higher season xG average, 1.33 to 1.18 per game. Comerciantes Unidos takes 11.2 shots per game, while Melgar takes 12.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Comerciantes Unidos leads at halftime in 15% of its games and scores 0.77 goals per game after halftime. Melgar leads at halftime in 46% and scores 0.62 after halftime.
When the teams score
Comerciantes Unidos's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (4 goals). For Melgar, it is minutes 31-45+ (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Primera División games average 2.74 goals. Both teams score in 58% of games, and 55% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 2 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Comerciantes Unidos has a clear defensive edge at home — conceding only 0.57 goals per game on average and keeping a clean sheet in 57% of home matches, while Melgar concedes 1.67 goals away and has registered no clean sheets. Offensively Melgar is more productive (20 goals in the season and 8 in the last 5 matches) versus the hosts’ 17 season goals and 5 in the last 5, yet xG indicates a similar level: 1.28 xG for the home side at home vs 1.20 xG for the visitors away. In the last 5 fixtures Comerciantes has averaged 1.6 points per game (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss), while Melgar averages 1.8 points per game (3 wins, 2 losses), giving a marginal form advantage to the visitors. The hosts average 12 shots and 3.43 on target per match with a 10% conversion rate; the visitors average 11.33 shots and 3.5 on target with a 12% conversion, so the visitors’ efficiency advantage is minimal. Considering 57% home win rate for the hosts versus 33% away win rate for Melgar and the significant gap in average goals conceded (0.57 vs 1.67), I favor a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I favor the "both teams to score" scenario primarily due to Melgar's high BTTS rate: 83% this season versus Comerciantes' 43%, a 40 percentage point gap. xG models corroborate this technically — home xG 1.44 and xG against Melgar 1.73 yield an expected ~1.59 goals for Comerciantes, while the combination of Melgar xG 1.20 and xG against hosts 1.20 suggests ~1.20 goals for the away side. In the last 5 matches Melgar averaged 1.6 goals scored (8 in 5) and conceded 1.2, whereas Comerciantes averaged 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded, indicating the visitors regularly find the net while the hosts also have goal-scoring potential. The counterargument is that 57% of Comerciantes' home games have finished with a clean sheet, while Melgar has 0% clean sheets away, so I remain moderately cautious. Considering all figures, I assess BTTS probability at 70% vs 30% and back "yes".
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG and goals-per-game analysis points to a moderately high-scoring match: home side have xG_for 1.44 and average 1.71 goals scored per match, visitors xG_for 1.20 and average 1.33; combining 1.44 (home xG_for) with 1.73 (away xG_against) I estimate an expected 1.59 goals for Comerciantes, and for Melgar (1.20+1.20)/2 = 1.20, total 2.79. Seasonal percentages strongly support Over 1.5 — Comerciantes have Over 1.5 in 86% of matches, Melgar in 83%, therefore I rate Over 1.5 at 88%. For the 2.5 line, the home side record Over 2.5 in 57% of cases, the visitors in 67%, and a Poisson model for mean 2.79 gives roughly 53% for 3+ goals; after adjusting for form (last 5: Melgar 1.6 goals, Comerciantes 1.0) I assign 56% for Over 2.5. For 3.5, seasonal values 29% (home) and 50% (away) and Poisson (~31% for 4+ goals) suggest Under 3.5 is safer (69%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I back 1/1 (home team leads at the break and wins) because Comerciantes Unidos led at half-time in 4 of their home matches (57%) and average 1.0 goals before the break with 0.43 conceded. The home side posts a higher xG (1.44 vs 1.20 for Melgar), average 14 shots per game versus the visitors’ 11.33, and score 1.71 goals per match compared to Melgar’s 1.33, confirming an attacking edge. Conversely, Melgar concedes 1.67 goals per match on average and has 0% clean sheets this season (0.0%); in second halves they record 100% of matches with at least 0.5 goals conceded and average 1.33 goals conceded in the second half, indicating vulnerability after the break. Given the 57% rate of home leads at half-time, the higher xG (1.44 vs 1.20) and Melgar’s tendency to concede after the break, the 1/1 scenario is the strongest; alternatives (e.g. X/1 or X/X) are possible but less supported by the numbers.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Comerciantes Unidos | Melgar | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Melgar is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Comerciantes Unidos · 1.8 pts / game - Melgar
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Melgar is 18% better for: goals scored per game.
1.31 goals / game - Comerciantes Unidos · 1.54 goals / game - Melgar
Comerciantes Unidos scores in 85% of games (11 of 13 meczów), while Melgar keeps a clean sheet in 31% (4 of 13 meczów).
Melgar scores in 85% of games (11 of 13 meczów), while Comerciantes Unidos keeps a clean sheet in 31% (4 of 13 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Comerciantes Unidos
Over / Under - Melgar
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Melgar is 64% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.08 pts / game - Comerciantes Unidos · 1.77 pts / game - Melgar
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Comerciantes Unidos - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 15% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Melgar - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 46% of games and wins 46%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Comerciantes Unidos
Melgar
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Comerciantes Unidos | Liga | Melgar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.54 | 2.74 | • 2.77 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 62% | 58% | ▲ 62% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 46% | 55% | ▲ 62% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 31% | 24% | ▲ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 62% | 66% | ▲ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 77% | 81% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Comerciantes Unidos's perspective: 0 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses against Melgar. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Comerciantes Unidos vs Melgar?
The Primera División match finished Comerciantes Unidos 1:1 Melgar. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Comerciantes Unidos and Melgar?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Comerciantes Unidos won 0, Melgar won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Comerciantes Unidos vs Melgar?
Comerciantes Unidos score 1.31 goals per game on average and Melgar 1.54. The Primera División average is 2.74 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Comerciantes Unidos's matches and 62% of Melgar's.
What form are Comerciantes Unidos and Melgar in?
Over the last 5 games Comerciantes Unidos have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Melgar 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Comerciantes Unidos vs Melgar?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.