Consadole Sapporo vs Fagiano Okayama: match statistics

Fagiano Okayama have been in better form over their last five matches, winning 3 games and scoring 9 goals, while Consadole Sapporo have recorded just 1 victory and 5 goals. The visitors averaged 1.8 points per match during this period, clearly exceeding the hosts’ 1.0. Both teams conceded 8 goals in their last five appearances, indicating similar defensive issues and increasing the likelihood of both teams finding the net. Sapporo have drawn their last two matches, but their preceding results included two defeats, whereas Okayama won three of the four games before their most recent loss. The visitors’ edge in finishing and number of wins supports an away victory, although their defensive frailties reduce confidence in this prediction.

The latest form clearly points to goals from both sides: BTTS occurred in 80% of Consadole Sapporo’s last five matches and in 100% of Fagiano Okayama’s games. The hosts averaged 1.0 goal scored during this period but conceded 1.6, while the visitors scored 1.8 goals and conceded an identical average of 1.6. Their attacking potential is confirmed by xG figures of 1.45 for Sapporo and 1.31 for Okayama, while both defenses allowed opponents approximately 1.40 and 1.43 xG, respectively. Sapporo conceded 8 goals in five matches, as did Okayama, increasing the likelihood that both teams will find the back of the net. Although the league-wide BTTS average is only 36%, the current data for both teams are significantly more goal-oriented, making BTTS - Yes the best choice.

Consadole’s last five matches produced an average of 2.6 goals, with the team scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.6, while Okayama’s games had an even higher average of 3.4 goals. Okayama scored 9 goals over this period, and both teams conceded 8 goals each across their five appearances, which weakens the case for a tight match. The average xG figures point to balanced attacking potential: 1.45 for the hosts and 1.31 for the visitors, with xG conceded standing at 1.40 and 1.43, respectively. The visitors recorded at least 3 goals in 100% of their last five matches, while both teams scored in 100% of their games, compared with 80% for Consadole. The strongest selection is Over 1.5 goals, as the projected total of 2.80 goals provides a clear margin above this line, even if finishing efficiency falls below recent trends.

Fagiano Okayama are in clearly better current form: they have won 3 of their last 5 matches and averaged 1.8 goals, while Consadole Sapporo have won only 1 match and averaged 1.0 goal. The visitors’ advantage is particularly evident before half-time, when they averaged 1.2 goals compared with Sapporo’s 0.4, while their first-half goal difference stood at +1 versus -1 for Sapporo. Okayama led at the break in 20% of their matches, but they were not trailing at half-time in any of their last five fixtures, limiting the risk of scenarios favourable to the hosts. Sapporo conceded an average of 1.6 goals per match, including 1.0 after the break, so even if the opening stages are evenly matched, the visitors have solid grounds to take control of the result. The most likely outcome remains Okayama leading at half-time and winning at full-time, although the high proportion of half-time draws recorded by both teams also strengthens the draw/away alternative.