Corpus Christi vs Sarasota Paradise: match statistics
Corpus Christi vs Sarasota Paradise: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Corpus Christi play Sarasota Paradise in USL League One (United States). The match date is 21 June 2026 at 02:30. Final score: 4:1.
Current form
Corpus Christi: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Sarasota Paradise: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Corpus Christi scores 1.18 and concedes 1.53 goals per match. Sarasota Paradise scores 0.94 and concedes 1.56. League average: 2.85 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Corpus Christi 65%, Sarasota Paradise 50%. Over 2.5: Corpus Christi 65%, Sarasota Paradise 50%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 59%.
xG, shots and style
Sarasota Paradise has higher xG: 1.43 vs 1.28. Corpus Christi: 10.5 shots per match, Sarasota Paradise: 12.2.
Match halves
Corpus Christi: half-time lead 12%, second-half goals 0.71. Sarasota Paradise: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Corpus Christi: 76-90+ (7 goals). Sarasota Paradise: 46-60 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL League One: 2.85 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 59%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I predict a home win. Corpus Christi averages 1.4 goals per home match with xG 1.41, records 4.6 shots on target and has a 12% conversion rate, while Sarasota on the road scores only 0.67 goals on average and fails to score in 50% of away matches. The visitors are in good overall form (4 wins in the last 5 and 9 goals scored, 2.4 points per game in that period), but their away numbers are poor: only 17% away wins, 2.0 goals conceded on average and 17% clean sheets. Corpus did concede 10 goals in the last 5 matches (2.0 per game), but their season home concession average is 1.4 and they have 40% clean sheets and 40% home wins. Considering the home advantage in xG (1.41 vs 1.27), higher shots on target (4.6 vs 3.33) and Sarasota’s markedly worse away stats, I assign a higher probability to the home side.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Corpus Christi | Sarasota Paradise | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Corpus Christi is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Corpus Christi · 1 pts / match - Sarasota Paradise
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Corpus Christi is 26% better for: goals scored per match.
1.18 goals / match - Corpus Christi · 0.94 goals / match - Sarasota Paradise
Corpus Christi scores in 71% of matches (12 of 17 matches), while Sarasota Paradise keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).
Sarasota Paradise scores in 67% of matches (12 of 18 matches), while Corpus Christi keeps a clean sheet in 29% (5 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Corpus Christi
Over / Under — Sarasota Paradise
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sarasota Paradise is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.82 pts / match - Corpus Christi · 0.94 pts / match - Sarasota Paradise
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Corpus Christi - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 12% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Sarasota Paradise - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Corpus Christi
Sarasota Paradise
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL League One).
Teams vs league
| Corpus Christi | Liga | Sarasota Paradise | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.71 | 2.85 | ▼ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 55% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 65% | 59% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 26% | ▲ 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 73% | ▼ 44% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 80% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Corpus Christi 0 - 0 - 1 Sarasota Paradise. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Corpus Christi vs Sarasota Paradise?
The USL League One match finished Corpus Christi 4:1 Sarasota Paradise. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Corpus Christi vs Sarasota Paradise?
Corpus Christi score 1.18 goals per game on average and Sarasota Paradise 0.94. The USL League One average is 2.85 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Corpus Christi's matches and 50% of Sarasota Paradise's.
What form are Corpus Christi and Sarasota Paradise in?
Over the last 5 games Corpus Christi have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Sarasota Paradise 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Corpus Christi vs Sarasota Paradise?
The statistical background for Corpus Christi vs Sarasota Paradise — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.