CR Belouizdad vs ES Sétif: match statistics

CR Belouizdad remain unbeaten in their last five matches, recording 2 wins and 3 draws, while ES Sétif have lost 2 of their 5 games. The hosts have scored 10 goals during this period, 3 more than the visitors, indicating a clearly stronger attacking potential. Both teams have identical returns of 1.8 points per game across their last five outings, but Belouizdad are showing a more stable trend by avoiding defeat. ES Sétif have scored 7 and conceded 7 goals in their last five matches, whereas the hosts’ record stands at 10 goals scored and 6 conceded. The season is still in its very early stages, so a draw remains a realistic scenario, but superior finishing and home advantage slightly favor CR Belouizdad.

The latest form of both teams points towards a scenario with goals at both ends: CR Belouizdad recorded BTTS in 80% of their last 5 matches, while ES Sétif did so in 40%. During this period, the hosts averaged 2.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded, while the visitors scored 1.4 and allowed their opponents 1.4 goals. Their attacking potential is supported by xG figures of 1.50 for Belouizdad and 1.41 for Sétif, with xG conceded at 1.31 and 1.24 respectively. CR Belouizdad also averages 5 shots on target per match, increasing the likelihood of finding the net, while both teams’ defenses conceded 6 and 7 goals respectively across their last five fixtures. Although the league-wide BTTS rate stands at just 33%, the current data for both sides is clearly more goal-oriented, so BTTS - Yes is slightly preferred.

CR Belouizdad’s last five matches produced an average of 2.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded, while ES Sétif averaged 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded, pointing to a game with goals, but not necessarily a very high-scoring affair. The attacking potential is supported by xG: 1.50 for the home side and 1.41 for the visitors across their last five matches, with xG conceded figures of 1.31 and 1.24, respectively. The combined projection of 2.55 goals is well below the four-goal threshold required to lose an Under 3.5 bet. In addition, the league-wide average is just 2.0 goals per match, and only 17% of games go over 2.5 goals. Under 3.5 therefore has the edge, as the data allows for a 2:1 or 1:1 result but does not strongly support a scenario with at least four goals.

The strongest HT/FT scenario is CR Belouizdad leading at the break and holding on for the win, as the home side have averaged 1.6 goals before half-time in their last five matches, compared with 1.0 for ES Sétif. CR Belouizdad were ahead at half-time in 60% of those games and never went into the break behind, while the visitors were trailing at half-time in 20% of their matches. The hosts remain unbeaten in their last five outings, recording two wins and three draws, whereas ES Sétif suffered two defeats during that period. After the break, both teams play much more cautiously: CR Belouizdad average 0.4 goals in the second half, and 60% of their second halves end level, supporting the preservation of a favourable result. The home advantage is not overwhelming, however, as ES Sétif have won three of their last five matches; therefore, draw and away-win scenarios still retain a significant share of the probability.