Cremonese vs Fiorentina: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates even chances for both teams, which speaks in favor of a draw. Cremonese presents poor form with only 0.2 points per game in their last 5 matches and hasn't won any of them, however, they play at home, where they have a 46% draw rate this season. Fiorentina is in a similar position in the table (17th place) and also struggles away from home, losing half of their matches (50%) and scoring only 0.86 goals on average. Both teams are characterized by a high FTS% (46% for the hosts, 43% for the visitors) and similar xG values (1.15 vs 1.14), suggesting a marginal advantage in chance creation. Fiorentina has better form over the last 5 matches (1.4 PPG), giving them a slight edge, but poor away results and both teams' tendency to draw point to shared points as the most likely scenario.
Cremonese vs Fiorentina: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Cremonese played against Fiorentina in Serie A (Italy). The game was played on March 16, 2026. Final score: 1:4.
Recent form
Cremonese has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.20 points per game. Fiorentina has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Cremonese scores 0.79 goals per game and allows 1.43. Fiorentina scores 1.07 and allows 1.50. Games in this league average 2.44 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 43% of Cremonese's games and 64% of Fiorentina's. The Over 2.5 rates are 39% and 61%, compared with league averages of 47% for BTTS and 47% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Fiorentina has the higher season xG average, 1.41 to 1.05 per game. Cremonese takes 9.1 shots per game, while Fiorentina takes 13.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Cremonese leads at halftime in 18% of its games and scores 0.46 goals per game after halftime. Fiorentina leads at halftime in 18% and scores 0.68 after halftime.
When the teams score
Cremonese's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). For Fiorentina, it is minutes 46-60 (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie A games average 2.44 goals. Both teams score in 47% of games, and 47% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates even chances for both teams, which speaks in favor of a draw. Cremonese presents poor form with only 0.2 points per game in their last 5 matches and hasn't won any of them, however, they play at home, where they have a 46% draw rate this season. Fiorentina is in a similar position in the table (17th place) and also struggles away from home, losing half of their matches (50%) and scoring only 0.86 goals on average. Both teams are characterized by a high FTS% (46% for the hosts, 43% for the visitors) and similar xG values (1.15 vs 1.14), suggesting a marginal advantage in chance creation. Fiorentina has better form over the last 5 matches (1.4 PPG), giving them a slight edge, but poor away results and both teams' tendency to draw point to shared points as the most likely scenario.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Cremonese | Fiorentina | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 26% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Fiorentina is 700% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / game - Cremonese · 1.6 pts / game - Fiorentina
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Fiorentina is 35% better for: goals scored per game.
0.79 goals / game - Cremonese · 1.07 goals / game - Fiorentina
Cremonese is 5% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.43 goals / game - Cremonese · 1.5 goals / game - Fiorentina
Cremonese scores in 50% of games (14 of 28 meczów), while Fiorentina keeps a clean sheet in 18% (5 of 28 meczów).
Fiorentina scores in 71% of games (20 of 28 meczów), while Cremonese keeps a clean sheet in 25% (7 of 28 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Cremonese
Over / Under - Fiorentina
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cremonese - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 18% of games and wins 18%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Fiorentina - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 18% of games and wins 18%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Cremonese
Fiorentina
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Cremonese | Liga | Fiorentina | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.21 | 2.44 | ▲ 2.57 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 47% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 39% | 47% | ▲ 61% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 31% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 61% | 65% | • 64% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 68% | 77% | ▲ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Cremonese's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Fiorentina. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Cremonese vs Fiorentina?
The Serie A match finished Cremonese 1:4 Fiorentina. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Cremonese vs Fiorentina?
Cremonese score 0.79 goals per game on average and Fiorentina 1.07. The Serie A average is 2.44 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Cremonese's matches and 64% of Fiorentina's.
What form are Cremonese and Fiorentina in?
Over the last 5 games Cremonese have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Fiorentina 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cremonese vs Fiorentina?
The statistical background for Cremonese vs Fiorentina — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.